This is something that’s been happening for a number of years. But applicants often don’t realise that courses take students with significantly below the standard published grades…because they only look at the grades being offered for their year of application. Once courses are full, what was available in Clearing the previous year vanished and you can’t see which grades were accepted. Even UCAS info doesn’t distinguish between contextual offers, clearing and standard offers, so it’s hard to know.
It’s def worth those in yr12 screenshotting clearing availability now and first thing on results day, when a clearer picture will be available.
I agree though, that a tiered system is opening up even more. The applicant who has predicted grades of AAB and who has an offer of a middling RG course with those grades, is disappointed to find that lots with BBC are on the course. It does make it feel devalued.
What it also means is that more and more students go through Clearing. They trade up. So that AAB student, if they get their grades, might find they can get a place at a better uni on results day. Lots won’t be willing to think about it, research it or enter in the risks if accommodation, but more and more will…because they will get a better deal. So the uni market shifts increasingly to a post-results situation…but one which has to happen within 48 hours for top unis. It’s v stressful for all concerned.
But for those suggesting unis take fewer students at higher grades to retain their status….well that’s naieve in terms of the funding model isn’t it. Of course they have to fill. They are in crisis of funding already. It’s all demand and supply.