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General election 2024

I don't think the Tories will do nearly as badly as predicted?

251 replies

Kendodd · 03/07/2024 12:17

What do you think?

OP posts:
AnotherbutcoolerJaneAusten · 04/07/2024 23:16

Anyone else watching CH4 and Sunderland? Happy for the new MP but shocked at the Reform votes!! Over 11,000 people voted for Reform. But only 51% turnout.

gosh. I hope I misheard the 11,000

NoWordForFluffy · 04/07/2024 23:17

Thingscanonlygetsunk · 04/07/2024 23:12

The exit poll has 125 seats that are too close to call. So 131 could be 99, or 80.
Much as the other polls were saying.

Could also go up!

NoWordForFluffy · 04/07/2024 23:18

AnotherbutcoolerJaneAusten · 04/07/2024 23:16

Anyone else watching CH4 and Sunderland? Happy for the new MP but shocked at the Reform votes!! Over 11,000 people voted for Reform. But only 51% turnout.

gosh. I hope I misheard the 11,000

51% turnout is appalling.

Franzkafkascat · 04/07/2024 23:19

NoWordForFluffy · 04/07/2024 22:56

No. Because they were predicted fewer than 100. So 136 would be better than anticipated.

Oh dear. Why can’t Tory supporters just for once say yup, we take criticism on board.
I guess old habits die hard.

Thingscanonlygetsunk · 04/07/2024 23:19

NoWordForFluffy · 04/07/2024 23:17

Could also go up!

Lets be optimistic and dismiss that thought?

AnotherbutcoolerJaneAusten · 04/07/2024 23:19

@NoWordForFluffy I keep asking DH to confirm what I heard and he says I heard it right. I gasped!

NoWordForFluffy · 04/07/2024 23:21

Franzkafkascat · 04/07/2024 23:19

Oh dear. Why can’t Tory supporters just for once say yup, we take criticism on board.
I guess old habits die hard.

I'm not a Tory supporter. I'm playing devil's advocate. Especially as there's a very odd poster I'm enjoying annoying!

SwordToFlamethrower · 04/07/2024 23:21

I think you were wrong 😄

TheFormidableMrsC · 04/07/2024 23:23

This hasn't gone well and I'm glad 🤣

AnotherbutcoolerJaneAusten · 04/07/2024 23:24

Sam Woods-Brass - Reform UK: 11,668

oooff that’s a lot of votes! :(

FundingitallHow · 04/07/2024 23:26

It's a lot of votes in the in the context of a very new party.
Voters have brought a truncheon out to bash the tories on the head punch and Judy style.

Thingscanonlygetsunk · 04/07/2024 23:30

FundingitallHow · 04/07/2024 23:26

It's a lot of votes in the in the context of a very new party.
Voters have brought a truncheon out to bash the tories on the head punch and Judy style.

Worth noting that Reform Ltd + Reform lite Con is less than Labour.

Thingscanonlygetsunk · 05/07/2024 00:42

The Tories will have fewer MPs tomorrow morning than in anyone who is alive's lifetime.

Rejoice!

2X4B523P · 05/07/2024 03:44

2X4B523P · 03/07/2024 14:04

I don’t think on the day they’ll fare as bad as predicted. Think support for Reform will be less than predicted and boost conservative votes, I would guess somewhere in the region of 160 seats.

BBC just updated their estimate for Conservative seats at 154, if so I wasn’t far off!

Thingscanonlygetsunk · 05/07/2024 04:02

2X4B523P · 05/07/2024 03:44

BBC just updated their estimate for Conservative seats at 154, if so I wasn’t far off!

So Sunak will have managed to more than half the number of MPs his party has.
A triumph.

lljkk · 05/07/2024 04:06

A very big majority means government backbenchers have almost no power to influence policy and ministers can act as unchecked dictators. That's a big issue. It's not just the opposition who hold ministers to account.

Literally nobody warned that when Boris Johnson got his huge majority. BoJo was forced out... Truss was forced out. BoJo's Govt payroll was said to be quite large to keep his lot happy. The 2019 intake of RedWall Tories seemed to have a lot of influence. Quite a few accountability mechanisms in view.

Emmanuelll · 05/07/2024 04:09

Thingscanonlygetsunk · 05/07/2024 00:42

The Tories will have fewer MPs tomorrow morning than in anyone who is alive's lifetime.

Rejoice!

Indeed 🤩

TakeOnFlea · 05/07/2024 06:13

This went well Grin

Thingscanonlygetsunk · 05/07/2024 06:15

In elections over the past 50 years 13 cabinet ministers have lost their seats.
This time Rish! has managed to assist 8 of his colleagues to join that number.

Make no mistake, this is a huge defeat.

Rejoice.

LawrieForShepherdsBoy · 05/07/2024 06:51

Good morning all 😁

SallyWD · 05/07/2024 07:10

LawrieForShepherdsBoy · 05/07/2024 06:51

Good morning all 😁

What a beautiful morning

kirinm · 05/07/2024 08:05

@2X4B523P they're not going to be anywhere near 150!

Grumpyoldpersonwithcats · 05/07/2024 08:50

Morning all 😁.
Stayed up until 5.00 to see Labour over the line and Rees-Mogg losing his seat.
Labour now on 411 and the Tories on 119 with only 5 seats to go.

Boomer55 · 05/07/2024 08:54

2X4B523P · 05/07/2024 03:44

BBC just updated their estimate for Conservative seats at 154, if so I wasn’t far off!

The Tories have lost 254 seats, so it’s a huge defeat.

Fightthepower · 05/07/2024 09:01

I think thank goodness the British public delivered, the polling indicators were right and the Tories have been shown the door!