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General election 2024

Labour can't win

904 replies

verdantverdure · 29/06/2024 18:46

Unless absolutely SHEDLOADS of people who voted Conservative in 2019 vote Labour this time.

That's right, isn't it?

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MrsCobbit · 29/06/2024 22:17

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Jungkooky · 29/06/2024 22:17

FeelingHotHotHotFeelingHotHotHot · 29/06/2024 21:58

I don't know one single person under 30 who says they are voting Reform. We must move in different social circles. Wink

I have seen this at work and social circle. Mainly young people who have grown up with well informed, quite left wing parents. I don't know if it is a form of later than usual teenage rebellion, a general sense of unhappiness at the world they've inherited, or an opportunity to 'stick' it to someone/something.

But it is very concerning. I believe our youth may be tipping further to the right and as an immigrant it genuinely scares me.

Porkmarket · 29/06/2024 22:17

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verdantverdure · 29/06/2024 22:18

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Why? What will that achieve for our country?

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TheShellBeach · 29/06/2024 22:18

brunettemic · 29/06/2024 22:16

They will win on the basis they’re the big party that aren’t the tories. I’d argue they’re not winning it, the tories are simply losing it.

I don't agree.
I think the electorate are keen to give Starmer a chance.

We've had a series of utterly frightful PMs.

Porkmarket · 29/06/2024 22:18

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FitAt50 · 29/06/2024 22:18

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Not rude at all, it would certainly reduce the Reform votes.

cavalier · 29/06/2024 22:19

Bobbotgegrinch · 29/06/2024 21:58

They see it, and thats what they want. They smell blood, and want the Tories wiped out. Tice and Farage aren't worried about this election, they're looking to a future where they can either replace the Tories or combine and eat them from the inside out.

I agree but I actually don’t think they realise this will weaken their hold ..
theuve stuffed it now with the vile word that was used against Rishi so they can’t make a pact and keep Stalin out and Elton is backing Labour so .. he will win it for them .. how weak is Labour that they have to get a superstar to lean on 🤷🏻‍♀️

Porkmarket · 29/06/2024 22:19

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VoteOutToHelpOut · 29/06/2024 22:20

Xtraincome · 29/06/2024 21:53

Labour will win, but probably by a small margin. The tories will always be tory, but the on-the-fence tories, will go reform.

Labour chose a really unappealing leader unfortunately. They are not as left as they make out and I am nervous about what lies beneath. I do think Corbyn put me off Labour- really made me uneasy. Knowing Starmer supported him isn't a good sign- but politics? So maybe Keir had no choice but to back him?

It won't be smooth sailing for the party, they will need to stay in for 8 years to make a dent. English voters are impatient, I worry the Conservative party will creep back in 2028!

Why 2028?

MikeRafone · 29/06/2024 22:20

Do you mean when loads of people got repossessed on the 1990s because mortgage interest rates went up to 15%?

People were getting the properties repossessed due to 110 % & 100% mortgages by the banks - so when the prices crashed in 1989 and house prices dropped by 15%/20% the interest rates went to 15% people had to sell their homes as they couldn't afford the mortgages - but their homes were worth less than there mortgage.

We brought a house in 1990 that had first been marketed for 15% more than it was marketed when we looked at the property and we negotiated a price 4% lower than then then marketed price.

NerdWhoEatsMedlar · 29/06/2024 22:22

BrendaSmall · 29/06/2024 21:53

Labour screwed over an awful lot of people in the 80’s & 90’s with the recession
A lot of people lost everything!
They haven’t forgotten about it, so they’ll all be voting for tories

1980's Maggie Thatcher - generally considered to be a Tory { torie }
1990's John Major - also generally considered to be a Conservative.

What are you smoking / drinking?

All those people with negative equity problems were to a small extent saved by Blair.

Re the 2008 crisis, was Sunak or Brown more influential?

MyOpenCoralDreamer · 29/06/2024 22:22

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ArseInTheCoOpWindow · 29/06/2024 22:22

BloodyHellKenAgain · 29/06/2024 21:15

I find it really hard to believe that as older voters die the UK is going to turn into a Labour/socialist utopia.

I could be wrong but I suspect it's just wishful thinking.

No it isn’t.

Its swapped round. The Conservatives were the party of business and the establishment. But now they aren’t. They are the party of the working class. And Labour has stepped into their shoes.

Plus the higher level of education, the more likely someone is going to be left wing. And more people have degrees.

Plus people are used to globalism and apart from a few right wing nut jobs don’t really care that much about immigration.

So the core Tory voter is disappearing. Mainly dying off and won’t be replaced.

Popettypop · 29/06/2024 22:22

Jaydafran · 29/06/2024 21:44

A reform/tory coalition would be great

That would be absolutely awful.

We must learn from previous coalitions and accept that the only way to get rid of the corrupt Tories is to vote Labour in.

We have suffered enough surely!

BIossomtoes · 29/06/2024 22:24

how weak is Labour that they have to get a superstar to lean on

They don’t. That’s the beauty of one of the world’s wealthiest men backing them.

Porkmarket · 29/06/2024 22:24

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brunettemic · 29/06/2024 22:24

TheShellBeach · 29/06/2024 22:18

I don't agree.
I think the electorate are keen to give Starmer a chance.

We've had a series of utterly frightful PMs.

Fair enough. I have no idea what any of the parties are standing for and all I hear to “get the tories out” (which I don’t disagree with) rather than get Labour in. It’s just my opinion. I live in a Labour area where they could quite literally burn everyone’s house down, kill the youngest child in every family and they’d still get in so it doesn’t matter anyway.

VoteOutToHelpOut · 29/06/2024 22:24

HauntedPollingBooth · 29/06/2024 21:56

In the 80s and 90s, there was a Conservative government. From 1979 until 1997, to be exact.

If you're going to spout anti-Labour bollocks, at least get your facts right!

Isn't it odd that some of the anti Labour posts on this thread get certain detail wrong? Polling history. Dates of elections. Dates of who was in power when. Length of a Parliamentary term ,(five years in UK not four).

Most puzzling.

ActivePeony · 29/06/2024 22:25

TheShellBeach · 29/06/2024 22:18

I don't agree.
I think the electorate are keen to give Starmer a chance.

We've had a series of utterly frightful PMs.

And he will be the next dreadful PM.

BIossomtoes · 29/06/2024 22:25

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🤣

MikeRafone · 29/06/2024 22:25

Re the 2008 crisis, was Sunak or Brown more influential?

sunak made his millions betting on the crisis in 2008 - so whilst everyone else suffered he made millions on the back of it.

Harrysarseinthedogbowl · 29/06/2024 22:26

ArseInTheCoOpWindow · 29/06/2024 22:22

No it isn’t.

Its swapped round. The Conservatives were the party of business and the establishment. But now they aren’t. They are the party of the working class. And Labour has stepped into their shoes.

Plus the higher level of education, the more likely someone is going to be left wing. And more people have degrees.

Plus people are used to globalism and apart from a few right wing nut jobs don’t really care that much about immigration.

So the core Tory voter is disappearing. Mainly dying off and won’t be replaced.

It's a bit ironic that the Tory government's ineptitude in the early days of the Covid pandemic actually led to the decease of some of its core vote.

EdithStourton · 29/06/2024 22:26

FitAt50 · 29/06/2024 22:18

Not rude at all, it would certainly reduce the Reform votes.

It's this attitude, that Reform voters must be imbeciles, that helps to drive people into the arms of Populist parties. If you sneer at people and ignore their concerns, they'll eventually tell you to fuck off and find another option.

Look at the constituency where Farage is standing.

And for the avoidance of doubt I am NOT voting Reform and can't imagine a situation in which I ever would. But I can see why there is a massive rift between a whole tranche of voters and the mainstream political class.

BIossomtoes · 29/06/2024 22:26

VoteOutToHelpOut · 29/06/2024 22:24

Isn't it odd that some of the anti Labour posts on this thread get certain detail wrong? Polling history. Dates of elections. Dates of who was in power when. Length of a Parliamentary term ,(five years in UK not four).

Most puzzling.

Edited

It’s also notable how incredibly tetchy they’re getting. The next week is going to be fun.