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General election 2024

See all MNHQ comments on this thread

How confident do you feel that the Tories will lose?

1000 replies

pinklite · 23/05/2024 23:04

Do you feel confident? Going off what I see on social media, there is no way that they don't lose by a massive majority.

However I worry that this is just a small snapshot of the public and is not an accurate representation.

It really wouldn't surprise me if we don't have a Labour majority.

What does everybody else think the result will be?

OP posts:
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31
US2gether · 26/05/2024 16:24

dreamstates · 26/05/2024 01:12

Not very confident.

I asked my boomer parents about voting today. I said I'd probably go Labour this time.

They were utterly horrified. We live in a traditionally Tory safe seat

  • remember Blair! Remember the one that left no money.
  • Liz truss was ok - she may have been right after all
  • we love Maggie thatcher!
  • labour will ruin this country etc etc
  • labour will mean your small business will shut down

Even after all the current lot done they are the lesser of two evils in their eyes

Strange isn't it. Soundbites. Do they read the Daily Mail or Sun by any chance?

TooBigForMyBoots · 26/05/2024 16:58

US2gether · 26/05/2024 16:17

This.

Some arrogant people on here cannot understand that a variety of people despise the Tories.

That's because they're Tory voters. Oblivious to the most obvious of facts.🙄

Papyrophile · 26/05/2024 18:38

We are all allowed to vote with our purses; for most people, it is the only sensible way to vote. My purse tells me that a progressive government is going to take more, and as I have retired (18 months ago) so will not be refilling it with earnings every month, and both my parents are still alive and quite well in their 90s. I expect to eke out what I have saved to accumulate to have and make it last me for 25-30 years.

Papyrophile · 26/05/2024 18:43

@TooBigForMyBoots do you ever reflect on the effect your words have? Some Labour posters really do not have any opinion that's more nuanced than my way or the highway. And many are unnecessarily objectionable with it. So, kindly and respectfully, I disagree with you very strongly.

Papyrophile · 26/05/2024 18:51

If I might observe, there is more than a skim of arrogance in many of the Labour posts.

"I have a degree (maybe media studies) so I must be right cos I'm eddicated."

ODFOD. Only in the last 20 years has anyone considered people with degrees brighter than their cohort. Before that we rated people on their achievements. Guess which is the better guide.

BIossomtoes · 26/05/2024 19:06

I doubt very much that anyone with a degree would misspell educated. Graduates have always been regarded as brighter than their cohort, that was particularly the case when only 5% of us had them, they don’t just tear them off a roll and hand them to anyone who shows up.

RufustheFactualReindeer · 26/05/2024 19:23

Papyrophile · 26/05/2024 18:51

If I might observe, there is more than a skim of arrogance in many of the Labour posts.

"I have a degree (maybe media studies) so I must be right cos I'm eddicated."

ODFOD. Only in the last 20 years has anyone considered people with degrees brighter than their cohort. Before that we rated people on their achievements. Guess which is the better guide.

honestly if id have known that people would think i wasn't very bright if i didn’t have a degree i might have got one

Papyrophile · 26/05/2024 19:23

@Blossomtoes... I was taking the mick. You and I often go back and forth (though I name change more than you). When have I ever misspelt a word, unless deliberately. I have edited more posts for SPaG than content. Like you, I am part of the 5% graduate generation. Still not convinced that a degree ought to be a minimum entry level qualification though.

A friend, who works for a major IT multinational's HQ in Brussels in HR said that any CV without a degree goes straight into the bin, unread. Given that one of my closest friends spent their university years in prison, and only has an MBA and has created a highly regarded IT company, the paper qualifications are clearly inhibiting and restricting the ability to hire well.

CovertPiggery · 26/05/2024 19:27

TooBigForMyBoots · 24/05/2024 10:26

I'm pretty sure the Tories are going to lose for loads of reasons.

  1. They have done zero planning for this election. They're going to struggle to fill the seats of the 100(?) MPs stepping down nevermind getting a proper strategy in place in 6 weeks.
  2. They have alienated their core voters including farmers, business owners and even Tory MPs.
  3. They've failed. They had 14 years in government and have only succeeded in making life worse for most UK citizens and destabilising the Union.
  4. Sunak. No one likes him, not even his own party.
  5. Sunak. How can anyone possibly vote for a party when we know that the day after the GE the leader is gone, but we don't know who will replace him.
  6. THEY PARTIED WHILE PEOPLE SUFFERED AND DIED ALONE.Angry
  7. Rwanda, Brexit, the trans shitshow.

THEY PARTIED WHILE PEOPLE SUFFERED AND DIED ALONE.

I will never forgive or forget that. Fucking bastards.

Papyrophile · 26/05/2024 19:37

I don't believe the Tories want to win this election. It has to happen because the five year term is nearly up. So the old guard are getting out by resigning. early Five or 10 years in opposition, and I will make a fresh judgement on the new talent.

pointythings · 26/05/2024 19:49

@Papyrophile I think they're going to need 10 years to rebuild themselves into a right leaning centrist party that people can respect. If I were advising them, I'd tell them to go and talk to the likes of John Major, Damian Green, Ken Clark, even William Hague and listen very seriously, because those Tories understood what the British electorate are looking for.

OnarealhorseIride · 26/05/2024 20:02

There will be a very low turn out I think. This will play to the conservatives not labour but only to the extent of labours majority not being very big

BIossomtoes · 26/05/2024 20:06

pointythings · 26/05/2024 19:49

@Papyrophile I think they're going to need 10 years to rebuild themselves into a right leaning centrist party that people can respect. If I were advising them, I'd tell them to go and talk to the likes of John Major, Damian Green, Ken Clark, even William Hague and listen very seriously, because those Tories understood what the British electorate are looking for.

Absolutely this. If they talked to all the people Johnson kicked out and what’s left of the old guard they might stand a chance. I doubt that they will though.

pointythings · 26/05/2024 20:40

OnarealhorseIride · 26/05/2024 20:02

There will be a very low turn out I think. This will play to the conservatives not labour but only to the extent of labours majority not being very big

I think you may be very wrong about that. There is a hell of a lot of anger towards the Tories - much of it from Tories. I strongly suspect it will be a case of Tory voters not turning out.

Shinyandnew1 · 26/05/2024 20:44

OnarealhorseIride · 26/05/2024 20:02

There will be a very low turn out I think. This will play to the conservatives not labour but only to the extent of labours majority not being very big

I don’t agree, I think turnout will be high-there are a lot of very pissed off people out there.

AmpleFatball · 26/05/2024 20:58

My grandparents, in their 90s, are lifelong Tories and have voted for them in every general election since the 1960s (and always vote in the local elections too).

They can’t bring themselves to vote for anyone else but this will be the first time they won’t vote at all.

Obviously it’s just one anecdote about 2 Conservative voters but I do think the Tories are fucked.

BIossomtoes · 26/05/2024 21:00

There are a lot of very pissed off people. My money’s on a high turnout.

pointythings · 26/05/2024 21:08

@AmpleFatball my cousin has been a party member since she was old enough to join and has always voted loyally Tory. Her MP is Liz Truss.

She's not voting for them this time, she is furious with them.

Lottelenya · 27/05/2024 00:11

Papyrophile · 26/05/2024 18:43

@TooBigForMyBoots do you ever reflect on the effect your words have? Some Labour posters really do not have any opinion that's more nuanced than my way or the highway. And many are unnecessarily objectionable with it. So, kindly and respectfully, I disagree with you very strongly.

Maybe we should know our place if voting labour. I don’t think people are being arrogant. You just don’t like being told that the tories are incompetent and a busted flush.
I’ve also had to draw my work pension at 58 although will have to work until I’m 67 because it’s not amazing. I don’t have parents in their 90s that I would inherit off. Most went in rest home fees of 300k. So I also have to eke out what I have. But you know, I don’t mind voting for a Government that might invest more in public services and our young people, level up north and south. I know that means paying more tax, so be it.

TooBigForMyBoots · 27/05/2024 00:18

Papyrophile · 26/05/2024 18:43

@TooBigForMyBoots do you ever reflect on the effect your words have? Some Labour posters really do not have any opinion that's more nuanced than my way or the highway. And many are unnecessarily objectionable with it. So, kindly and respectfully, I disagree with you very strongly.

I am not a Labour poster and I have no idea what you are talking about.Confused What effects are my words having? What are you disagreeing with me about in such a kindly, respectful and strong manner?

BrownTroutBluesAgain · 27/05/2024 00:26

TooBigForMyBoots · 26/05/2024 00:07

It would be much cheaper and effective to retrieve money from the beneficiaries of Tory sleaze than carers.

Whilst I agree it would be cheaper

It would mean we should accept fraud on some levels.
We really shouldn’t accept it on any level.

emmag1925 · 27/05/2024 01:38

noblegiraffe · 24/05/2024 07:46

There are people who thought that Jeremy Corbyn had a chance of winning in 2019? Really? Aside from the antisemitism stuff (I couldn't vote for him on that basis) he had a terrible campaign where he was just promising loads of freebies, like randomly coming out with free WiFi. People were genuinely worried about his policies.

Starmer doesn't sound mad. The policy he has that seems to be worrying people is the private school VAT one, but that only affects a small minority

What would be the cost difference between the social tariffs for WIFI now compared to free WIFI?

emmag1925 · 27/05/2024 02:25

MissScarletInTheBallroom · 24/05/2024 12:37

You misunderstand me.

I'm not someone who would vote Tory because I don't want to pay VAT on my children's private school fees and pretend it was about women's rights. I have no financial skin in the game at the moment.

I have always voted in every general election since I was old enough to vote, including since I left the UK. Democracy is really important to me and the idea of being disenfranchised is unacceptable.

And up until now I have always voted for the candidate most likely to unseat the Tory in my constituency (which has sadly never happened).

But right now I am no longer able to do that because the alternative candidate is the Lib Dem, and I find the Lib Dems absolutely intolerable. I have usually voted for them previously, but not now, and probably never again. If Labour were in with a chance of winning I might have to hold my nose and vote for them, but they aren't, and on balance (knowing that Labour will almost certainly win a large majority) I'd rather have a Tory MP in my consistency than a Lib Dem.

Enough to actually vote for the Tory candidate?

I don't know. I would rather spoil my ballot. But I also really really don't want the Lib Dem to get in.

Either way, my vote is not going to contribute to a Labour victory.

So as I said, my options appear to be vote Tory, spoil my ballot or don't vote.

I have just recently gained the right to vote in the country where I live, so I might not vote, or "give" my vote to my mum (who is my proxy) to do what she likes with.

Edited

Hmmmmmmmm

Alexandra2001 · 27/05/2024 06:38

BIossomtoes · 26/05/2024 20:06

Absolutely this. If they talked to all the people Johnson kicked out and what’s left of the old guard they might stand a chance. I doubt that they will though.

TBH, that "old guard" also wrecked the country, the nhs, industry, housing... hence the Con's were in opposition for 13 years.

Bululu · 27/05/2024 07:38

Having read the absolute vitriol to Tory voters. I don’t think anybody voting Tory would say it these days. I actually do not know anybody voting Labour. Most people I have spoken to are politically homeless. They rather spoilt the vote. Labour still scares people and KS did not do himself many favours with his divisive policy on private education. For me personally I find the majority of Labour voters very scary, brainwashed and ignorant. KS would be moulding himself to appease those voters. So expect quite a lot of more politics of envy and division coming our way once KS is in.

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