Meet the Other Phone. Protection built in.

Meet the Other Phone.
Protection built in.

Buy now

Please or to access all these features

Brexit

Westministenders: The Election Car Crash

999 replies

RedToothBrush · 06/06/2017 15:42

I was thinking about how I could sum up the general election campaign and well. This said it all.

Westministenders: The Election Car Crash
OP posts:
Thread gallery
30
RedToothBrush · 08/06/2017 23:54

They were talking about the methodology earlier. The exit poll took an estimate from today only. They estimated the postal vote.

If things changed a lot in the last two weeks (which they did massively) this could make a difference.

I think postal voters tend to be older voters. Though also a high number of students.

OP posts:
Motheroffourdragons · 08/06/2017 23:55

This reply has been withdrawn

This has been withdrawn by MNHQ on behalf of the poster.

RedToothBrush · 08/06/2017 23:57

Newcastle East the most remain of the four so far. 41% Leave.

Swindon should be more representative I would imagine.

OP posts:
Badders123 · 08/06/2017 23:59

First Tory win...swindon

RedToothBrush · 08/06/2017 23:59

Swindon North
CON 29431
LAB 21096
UKIP 1564
Grn 858

CON HOLD

OP posts:
Badders123 · 08/06/2017 23:59

11% swing to labour though...

Eeeeeowwwfftz · 08/06/2017 23:59

But what a swing to Labour!

Motheroffourdragons · 09/06/2017 00:00

This reply has been withdrawn

This has been withdrawn by MNHQ on behalf of the poster.

RedToothBrush · 09/06/2017 00:00

Swindon North.
57% Leave.

OP posts:
BiglyBadgers · 09/06/2017 00:01

Oh goodness, so these are better than the exit poll for labour.

Motheroffourdragons · 09/06/2017 00:03

This reply has been withdrawn

This has been withdrawn by MNHQ on behalf of the poster.

RandomlyGenerated · 09/06/2017 00:03

Liking the Independent online headline - Corbyn could be PM of progressive alliance.

Eeeeeowwwfftz · 09/06/2017 00:04

We need some more results. The NE ones never contain any information content.

Everytimeref · 09/06/2017 00:05

BBC said Swindon better for Labour than exist poll suggested.

RedToothBrush · 09/06/2017 00:06

Paul Waugh‏*@paulwaugh*

Lab gain in Kensington & Chelsea now expected, source on ground says.
That's KENSINGTON AND CHELSEA, people.
If only Portillo was still MP.

31.4% Leave.

OP posts:
Badders123 · 09/06/2017 00:07

Please
Please
Please
Please
[Bites knuckles]

Badders123 · 09/06/2017 00:08

UKIP having a disastrous night

ElenaGreco123 · 09/06/2017 00:12

I need to stop cleaning the house. I.am keeping the neighbours up, but I can't kerp still.

woman12345 · 09/06/2017 00:13

Labour up 18.1% Newcastle East

RedToothBrush · 09/06/2017 00:14

I'd say UKIP is having a disastrous night. But where they are standing they are holding more votes than the CONs might like and its not disastrous enough!

OP posts:
ElenaGreco123 · 09/06/2017 00:16

Agreed. NE seats are different from the rest of the country even for the Labour party. The Tynemouth candidate, in a dicey seat, got himself endorsed by none other than David Miliband. It was good to see him on my FB feed. [sigh]

Badders123 · 09/06/2017 00:17

Even if the Tories gain a majority this is the end for may

RedToothBrush · 09/06/2017 00:20

Faisal Islam‏*@faisalislam* 1m
Turnout estimated at 70% - big rise, this is what is being picked up in exit poll

Ashcroft stated if the turnout was higher than 2015 it was bad news for the Tories.

His lower end estimate midpoint:
If everyone who claims to have voted in the EU referendum turns up to vote, implying a higher turnout than the other two models, the biggest probability is a Conservative majority between 40 and 59.

EU Ref turnout 72%.

OP posts:
ElenaGreco123 · 09/06/2017 00:20

They will never forgive her. Also Osborne is already agitating against her. She really should have kept an eye on him.

RedToothBrush · 09/06/2017 00:22

Bad news for the LDs:

Adrian Masters‏*@adrianmasters84*

Woah! Plaid Cymru sources say Ceredigion is now a four-way fight. 'Labour and the Tories have come from nowhere.'

OP posts: