Westministenders: The Election Car Crash

[RedToothBrush]

I was thinking about how I could sum up the general election campaign and well. This said it all.

Looks like many Scots took SLab leader KD's advice and voted Tory to defeat the SNP.

Will we end up with a Tory govt because SLabour advised Scots to vote in several Tory MPs ?

There's another leader who should certainly be toast - KD.
SNP MPs would almost certainly have agreed to confidence and supply for a minority Labour govt

It's the Sun wot won it ?!

Sunderland 2017
Lab 24000 ish
Con 12324
UKIP 2379
LD 908
Green 725
Ind 479

2015
LAB 20959
CON 9780
UKIP 7997
Green 1706
LD 1105

Night all.
I'm off to bed.
I have become quite accustomed to being woken up on results day with the words "it doesn't look good, squish" from a sombre dh.
Hopefully not again!

Happy to see UKIP have lost their deposit in Houghton & Sunderland South.

Bbc suggesting that the exit poll is showing a bigger swing to Labour than the polls are, but still a small swing to Labour.

Re the exit polls, I was going to point out that Gideon has said they tend to be predicated on lower youth turnout, and it looks like the 18-24 turnout will be higher than expected. So could even underestimate the Labour vote.

Otoh, less of a swing to Labour in the first two constituencies than would have been expected with those exit polls.

But the swings are much smaller than the exit poll was predicting. On the other hand, it's hard to infer much from safe Labour seats.

I'm off to bed now, or I'll never make Friday morning gym class
< fingers crossed for good news >

Apologies 2015 figures above. Sunderland central not Sunderland south. whoops.

These are they:
LAB 21218
UKIP 8280
CON 7105
GREEN 1095
LD 791

But the swings are much smaller than the exit poll was predicting

So far, 2/2 results are showing the exit polls are slightly wrong, in favour of the Tories. Early days yet, but might imply they've overestimated the Labour swing nationwide and we could end up with a significant Tory majority after all? Trying not to get prematurely confident, else the disappointment will be worse tomorrow morning.

May is toast, no matter what.

My mum needed a lift to the polling station today.

The (sitting) Tory candidate turned up to drive her to the vote.

Is that a bit desperate? (Here's hoping ... but in his defence he was a lovely chap).

First too close to calls:

Battersea 1.00am
London seat.
23% Leave.
Battersea, the Conservatives have a 40% chance of victory, Labour has a 60% chance of victory

Nuneaton. 1.00am
64.7% Leave
Nuneaton, the Conservatives have a 69% chance of victory, Labour has a 31% chance of victory

Putney. 1.00am (Not on the list but some talk of being worried)
Justin Greening
26% Leave

Just a point. The Exit Poll does not have Putney on the worry list. But talk is, it could be close.

London blood bath?

Battersea? Too close to call Con/Lab? I find that very odd

Sorry I'm being stupid - they have Tory MP now. In that case makes total sense!

Rupert Myers‏*@RupertMyers*

I'd love to be a fly on the wall in David Cameron's living room

Please please please get rid of IDS and Jeremy hunt

BigChoc - I did suggest that Scottish Labour could have been instrumental in ushering in another Conservative Government yesterday or the day before

Will Kezia Dugdale expel herself from the Labour Party because supporting another political party is not allowed under their own rules?

Britain Elects‏*@britainelects*
Sheffield Hallam looking closer than 2015.

If the exit polls are accurate (and I realise that's a big IF), do you think treeza will put a call in to tim farrow anyway, just on the off chance ?

They are talking about postal votes on the BBC and how the exit poll picked this up.

Worth pointing out: The seats that have declared have nearly 50% postal votes. They are highest level of postal votes in the country.

I think the LDs would take great delight in telling Treeza to FUCK OFF.

I'm in Nuneaton.

I saw a hell of a lot more voters than usual in my poor areas of town.

Mostly young, so fingers crossed