Westministenders: The Election Car Crash

[RedToothBrush]

I was thinking about how I could sum up the general election campaign and well. This said it all.

^

We are forecasting four Lib Dem gains. All of these are in Scotland.
Projected: Caithness, Sutherland & Easter Ross 81% chance of a Liberal Democrat victory
Projected: Dunbartonshire East 99% chance of a Liberal Democrat victory
Projected: Edinburgh West 99% chance of a Liberal Democrat victory
Projected: Ross, Skye & Lochaber 90% chance of a Liberal Democrat victory

NOT what I was expecting.

Too close to call:
Leeds North West, Labour has a 56% chance of victory, the Liberal Democrats have a 44% chance of victory
Sheffield Hallam, Labour has a 33% chance of victory, the Liberal Democrats have a 67% chance of victory
Southport, the Conservatives have a 10% chance of victory, Labour has a 14% chance of victory, the Liberal Democrats have a 76% chance of victory
Twickenham, the Conservatives have a 67% chance of victory, the Liberal Democrats have a 33% chance of victory
Richmond Park, the Conservatives have a 77% chance of victory, the Liberal Democrats have a 23% chance of victory
Kingston & Surbiton, the Conservatives have a 76% chance of victory, the Liberal Democrats have a 24% chance of victory

Looks like Farron and Norman Lamb, both safe.

Don't get excited. Gove.

When will we have an idea on turnout?

Just heard Sunderland is scrabbling to keep up because the turnout was so huge

Hoping your lib dems get in too. What a night. Was all set to pack this in at 10! Sinn Fein could be really important tonight.

Our area not for turning then. A bit sad, but it was always a long shot.

Could it be possible we end up with a coalition of most of the parties representing the U.K?

Ah gutted that my constituency isn't on the too close to call list.

Pleased that my autocorrect is coming up with ' constituency' much more quickly now.

Suppose we end up like Belgium once did, without a government for , what was it, 9 months?

Wouldn't that make Brexit fun?

....meanwhile in a land far far away ok, just across the channel the A50 clock is still ticking......

bigchoc If they all agree, isn't it possible for them to extend the negotiating period post article 50? Thought I had read something about that ie if they though GE 'inconclusive'.

Chingford and Woodgreen 2015

CON - 20999
LAB - 12613
UKIP - 5644
LD - 2400
Green - 1854
49% Leave

That shouldn't even be close.

Paisley & Renfrewshire South looking close. Mhairi Black (SNP) in trouble.

Yes, they can extend. I don't know of course, but I get the feeling they may be more flexible with a UK Government that is also looking like it will be more flexible. Or they just give a gallic shrug and say "your problem, deal with it".

@stephenkb
WE ARE STAYING IN THE SINGLE MARKET!

@stephenkb
There is no point worrying if it's not true. Just feel the joy.

There are going to be LOTS of deposits lost for the LDs tonight.

Kitty Donaldson of Bloomberg tweets
"Source at Tory HQ says 'knives are out' for @theresa_may over '' campaign #GE17"

That looks like a big Labour swing to me.

67% turnout.

I believe all the E27 would have to agree an extension - they'd almost certainly do so, if it were to negotiate an EEA / EFTA soft Brexit, not a WTO one.

Newcastle confirmed labour

This time
UKIP 1482
CON 9134
LAB 24071
LD 1812
Missed the green one.

Last time

UKIP 5214
CON 6628
LD 2218
Green 1724
LAB 19301

Tomorrow's right wing press paper headlines are a laugh. Wonder if people still want to burn them.

I'm off to bed - full-on day tomorrow. See you on the other side.

I'm glad a Newcastle constituency declared first.

Increased majority for labour, but not as big as the exit poll predicted

Yeah... it's going to be a nail biter.