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Brexit

To think we're not going to brexit?

103 replies

SandysMom · 28/06/2016 15:32

Thoughts?

I am convinced...

OP posts:
scaryteacher · 27/07/2016 14:09

Barnier has just been appointed as EU commissioner for Brexit.

smallfox2002 · 27/07/2016 21:25

Which means that it certainly won't be an easy negotiation.

There almost certainly won't be the full access without concessions deal the leave campaign seem to imagine.

Out may mean out, which will mean bye bye to lots of industries based here, and lots of trade.

SapphireStrange · 31/07/2016 17:35

I really don't know at this stage.

Hard Brexit, Brexit-light (Fudgit) or long-grass-and-eventual-stay-in?

Really can't decide.

Hard Brexit (tough border controls, WTO rules, out of single market) would appease the more swivel-eyed Tory party lot and hard-Brexit Leave voters; but can any politician really think that a) losing the single market would be good for the UK and b) tough border controls would be comfortably sustainable, practically or politically?

long-grass-and-eventual-stay-in: unlikely but stranger things have happened. May actually be long-grass and then eventually gets taken to the electorate in the form of a general election, presenting us with clear Brexit plans.

Fudgit: seems the most likely to me, but depends on how hardball the EU and May both want to play. I think this would involve something like an emergency brake on immigration of the kind floated around Brussels recently, but the details of it I can't envision.

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