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Brexit

What do you THINK the final result will be on Thursday? (As opposed to what you want to happen)

505 replies

LikeDylanInTheMovies · 20/06/2016 23:47

I'm going Remain - 54% Leave 46% .

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mrsvilliers · 21/06/2016 18:29

MrsBlackthorn while those countries were geographically Europe they were also behind the Iron Curtain so really incomparable to Spain etc. They might consider reintroducing visas for non EU members but really, getting a visa is not that difficult.

LikeDylanInTheMovies · 21/06/2016 18:33

Going against what you are told to believe by authority figures doesn't make you a conspirasist for not believing this

But when you make extraordinary claims without extraordinary evidence you are dealing in conspiracy theories.

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LikeDylanInTheMovies · 21/06/2016 18:38

The Remain campaign have done a very good job of painting Brexit supporters as pig ignorant racists

Of course not all Brexit voters are pig ignorant racists, but all pig ignorant racists will be voting for Brexit. That's the thing with yes/no referendums, you end up having to make common cause with people you fundamental disagree on on almost every other issue.

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RedToothBrush · 21/06/2016 18:44

So will there be a secret army of fixers armed with erasers and pencils coming in between 10pm and 5am to get to work?

A secret army without one single person who has come out to expose it.

Pretty amazing feat really, when you consider that the government seems to have more leaks than a broken sieve usually.

NewLife4Me · 21/06/2016 19:08

Like

You can also be part of a conspiracy theory if you go along with anything that you can't prove.
People think conspiracists are those who don't follow what we are told to believe.
Those who question believe those who go along to be conspiracists.
Thus one persons conspiracy theory is anothers reality, another person's reality is somebody else's conspiracy.

Millyonthefloss2 · 21/06/2016 19:11

all pig ignorant racists will be voting for Brexit Only the poor ones. Rich ones like Clarkson vote Remain. And which PM was it who got into trouble for calling refugees "a bunch of migrants"?

flippinada · 21/06/2016 19:23

Spoke to XP (we were at a school thing for DS)

He's an economist and is voting Remain (although he may have just said that to shut me up).

He mentioned that some of his family are voting leave and have being posting some fairly alarming stuff on FB. Quotes from Enoch Powell and the like.

On the way home, DS was telling me he wants out of the EU because we give them "all this money we spend on hospitals". He doesn't have a vote though as he's still at Primary school.

I think it's going to be very close.

flippinada · 21/06/2016 19:28

ThroughThickandThin

Good question. I think it's going to decided by the undecided - if you see what I mean. I suspect people who aren't sure at this stage will go with the status quo.

I think their methodology is pretty rigorous and they are as neutral as it's possible to be.

scarlets · 21/06/2016 19:44

I think that Leave will win by 52-55pc. I think that the working class Leave vote will be important.

OddBoots · 21/06/2016 20:02

I think it will be Leave, sadly.

TheDowagerCuntess · 21/06/2016 20:31

I would've thought a lot of the postal voters would be expats, who'd be far more likely to vote to remain.

Fink · 21/06/2016 20:39

Close but remain win. Under 50%.

I was in a tattoo shop earlier today with tattooist and classic white working class middle aged man. One was remain, one leave. I would have expected from the demographic both to be leave. Otoh, some of my uni friends have unexpectedly come out as leave, even lefties. So, based on admittedly anecdotal 'evidence', I think it will be tight but a narrow remain victory.

Viviennemary · 21/06/2016 21:07

I am hoping for a leave vote but have always thought it will be remain. But we could be in for a surprise. A large number of quiet people just fed up of the situation and being scaremongered by politicans may be voting leave. In the end do we want Brussels in charge of the UK. I'd say no.

LaBelleOtero · 21/06/2016 21:19

I think Remain 52% Leave 48%. Either way I have a suspicion that it will be close enough to infuriate the losing side.

SouthWestmom · 21/06/2016 21:20

I listening to LBC with Farage and Heseltine earlier and tbh I'm glad I voted out. Talk of a European tax code and army (we have a veto for this) really concerns me about what Europe will be in ten years time.

Salene · 21/06/2016 21:21

I did think remain but I'm think leave now

Our local station just did a poll on Facebook , comment in or out type thing on this post

There was barely any in's and 100's commented

They were all out. Quite shocked to be honest but has made me think out is going to win

squoosh · 21/06/2016 21:24

Facebook polls really don't really mean anything.

Salene · 21/06/2016 21:28

Any way my prediction is 58% leave

LineyReborn · 21/06/2016 21:34

My take on people I have spoken to lately is that most of the potential Leave 'voters' don't quite know where the polling stations are and won't find out either. All hot air.

Which means I'm going for a Remain prediction. Probably about 55%.

Salene · 21/06/2016 21:36

I wouldn't be so sure that's what was said about the Scottish Indy ref and the turn out was amazing , many had never voted before but they made sure their vote was being counted , both sides.

I think the turnout for this across the board will be very high.

RedToothBrush · 21/06/2016 21:41

Our survey in a local area, which you leave your name to says this result, therefore the national result will be the same.

Wow. I do wonder about people who do not question sources and how the information they see might be flawed.

Facebook says it, therefore I trust it over and above the national pollsters who all say they can't call it, despite demographic weighing and balancing.

Just take five minutes to think about it.

raisedbyguineapigs · 21/06/2016 21:42

I think remain will win by quite a large margin, larger than the opinion polls say. I think people will make their minds up at the last minute, and won't risk voting leave. My mum was going to vote leave, and would have done but she thought my kids would be better off in. I think other people when push comes to shove will not want to take the risk.

OrangesandLemonsNow · 21/06/2016 22:07

My take on people I have spoken to lately is that most of the potential Leave 'voters' don't quite know where the polling stations are and won't find out either. All hot air.

Many of the young people that I know that are Remainers say they are either haven't bothered to register or aren't bothering to vote (and in quite a few cases can't now as at Glastonbury, on holiday and a fair number away at conference)

GhostofFrankGrimes · 21/06/2016 22:10

Remain with a 10% margin.

Maursh · 21/06/2016 22:11

60-80% to leave
Based on every online poll I have entered, polling far more than 2000 sample polls.