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Whitehall “braced for private schools collapse” 3

1000 replies

ICouldBeVioletSky · 23/02/2025 09:16

Starting a third thread to discuss impact of VAT on private school fees, as the topic looks likely to run (and run). Though probably best to finish off the second thread before posting here, thx.

OP posts:
Thread gallery
34
Barbadossunset · 03/03/2025 18:23

Shame- this thread has been mostly free of offensive comments. Oh, well

@CurlewKate did you miss Baital’s comments about ‘plebs’?

twistyizzy · 03/03/2025 18:29

RafaistheKingofClay · 03/03/2025 17:58

It’s not a triple whammy though is it.

By the look of the table just posted the biggest thing that looks like it has had an impact is Liz Truss crashing the economy.

In the 6 months leading up to Labour getting in and the 6 months after when people on here have repeatedly been saying that parents are already pulling kids out of school in fear of Labour getting in or have pulled them out for this academic year once Labour got in the number of independent school closures halved from the year before.
Highlighting every school closure as being due to VAT or claiming that the VAT is the straw that broke the camels back isn’t helping much either.

Already 10000 fewer started in September 24 Vs 23 and LAs cumulatively say about 5000 asked for places in year in first half term. Over 3000 from ISC schools handed their notice in before Xmas and currently awaiting data for this term

FixItFi · 03/03/2025 18:48

RafaistheKingofClay · 03/03/2025 17:58

It’s not a triple whammy though is it.

By the look of the table just posted the biggest thing that looks like it has had an impact is Liz Truss crashing the economy.

In the 6 months leading up to Labour getting in and the 6 months after when people on here have repeatedly been saying that parents are already pulling kids out of school in fear of Labour getting in or have pulled them out for this academic year once Labour got in the number of independent school closures halved from the year before.
Highlighting every school closure as being due to VAT or claiming that the VAT is the straw that broke the camels back isn’t helping much either.

Ah, so only some schools closing are because of the education tax? Great.Out of interest, just how many schools closing because of this policy is acceptable?

It’s pretty obvious taxing education is going to push pupils into the state and cause schools to close, it’s the point of the policy so it seems an odd argument to say yeah but schools have also closed because of the cost of living crisis.

FixItFi · 03/03/2025 19:14

@twistyizzy Assuming all these children went into the state sector (and assuming my maths isn’t dodgy), that will cost the tax payer around 82 million a year. Bonkers Government.

Araminta1003 · 03/03/2025 19:27

It is secondary school allocation day today and acceptances are due for us mid March. There will be some cold hard undeniable facts coming the way of the Labour Party shortly.

Araminta1003 · 03/03/2025 19:28

We got our London superselective grammar together with all of DS’ friends from orchestra (high level) some of whom in normal years pre VAT would have gone private. But who cares, right? Meanwhile DS primary definitely fewer grammar offers than normal, but people are saying the tests were harder.

Treacletoots · 03/03/2025 19:30

strawberrybubblegum · 02/03/2025 17:30

Education is a human right, just as much as housing is.

Home ownership is not a human right by any stretch of the imagination.

The right to government non-interference in providing your child with an education in accordance with your values is an EHRC human right.

I never said home ownership was a right. I said housing.

Nobody is denying your child education. They're just asking you to pay 20% extra for what is quite clearly a luxury item.

If 20% tax has made it unaffordable then I maintain my position that you were over stretched in the first place.

twistyizzy · 03/03/2025 19:33

Treacletoots · 03/03/2025 19:30

I never said home ownership was a right. I said housing.

Nobody is denying your child education. They're just asking you to pay 20% extra for what is quite clearly a luxury item.

If 20% tax has made it unaffordable then I maintain my position that you were over stretched in the first place.

VAT isn't a luxury tax. This isn't about taxing a 'luxury' because VAT doesn't work like that

Treacletoots · 03/03/2025 19:34

SoaringKitty · 02/03/2025 17:22

Not flawed at all. Education is also a human right. The method of being educated, like housing, should be a choice we make, between state and alternative options. Somehow, you like having choice for housing, but not for education.

I'm sure you would love it if the state suddenly decided tomorrow that your family of 4 (and all others similarly sized) must live in only a 2 bed flat of their choosing because there's a shortage of housing and no private or alternative options are allowed. Or if they are, the flats are charged at a 20% premium because you are greedy for wanting more space.

But housing is also based on what you can afford.

You can afford a nice house in a nice area. Good for you. You can't? Then cut your cloth accordingly.

Education is exactly the same. You can either afford private education or you can't. But don't try and say private schooling is a basic right. It is a privilege, pure and simple.

Treacletoots · 03/03/2025 19:36

twistyizzy · 03/03/2025 19:33

VAT isn't a luxury tax. This isn't about taxing a 'luxury' because VAT doesn't work like that

Actually it is. VAT is only added on items considered to be a luxury. I recall the uproar when tampons and sanitary pads were subject to VAT and the argument was quite clearly they are a necessity, not a luxury.

twistyizzy · 03/03/2025 19:48

Treacletoots · 03/03/2025 19:36

Actually it is. VAT is only added on items considered to be a luxury. I recall the uproar when tampons and sanitary pads were subject to VAT and the argument was quite clearly they are a necessity, not a luxury.

Actually it isn't.
That's why kids designer clothes, caviar etc are VAT exempt. It has nothing to do with luxury. Or are you claiming that caviar is an essential?

ICouldBeVioletSky · 03/03/2025 19:55

Treacletoots · 03/03/2025 19:36

Actually it is. VAT is only added on items considered to be a luxury. I recall the uproar when tampons and sanitary pads were subject to VAT and the argument was quite clearly they are a necessity, not a luxury.

VAT is added to toilet paper. Do you consider toilet paper a luxury?

OP posts:
FixItFi · 03/03/2025 19:55

Treacletoots · 03/03/2025 19:30

I never said home ownership was a right. I said housing.

Nobody is denying your child education. They're just asking you to pay 20% extra for what is quite clearly a luxury item.

If 20% tax has made it unaffordable then I maintain my position that you were over stretched in the first place.

Nobody is denying your child education. They're just asking you to pay 20% extra for what is quite clearly a luxury item.

The policy is denying education choice through taxation, that’s the crux of the ECHR legal action.

JohnofWessex · 03/03/2025 20:38

In some nations you are not allowed to have fee paying schools.

Barbadossunset · 03/03/2025 20:53

JohnofWessex · 03/03/2025 20:38

In some nations you are not allowed to have fee paying schools.

Which nations?

Viviennemary · 03/03/2025 20:55

A few schools will go under but a lot will survive. I don't see the big deal for folk not personally affected.

FixItFi · 03/03/2025 20:59

JohnofWessex · 03/03/2025 20:38

In some nations you are not allowed to have fee paying schools.

North Korea. Finland doesn't have any, but I’m not sure if this is because they aren’t allowed.

Australia, Canada, Denmark, Spain, Italy, Ireland, France, Norway, Netherlands, Spain and some US states all support independent school parents through education vouchers or tax benefits. Imagine a Government actually encouraging education choice as well as taking the education burden off the state!! Not the opposite like in Labour Britain.

twistyizzy · 03/03/2025 21:05

FixItFi · 03/03/2025 20:59

North Korea. Finland doesn't have any, but I’m not sure if this is because they aren’t allowed.

Australia, Canada, Denmark, Spain, Italy, Ireland, France, Norway, Netherlands, Spain and some US states all support independent school parents through education vouchers or tax benefits. Imagine a Government actually encouraging education choice as well as taking the education burden off the state!! Not the opposite like in Labour Britain.

Finland does have independent schools

twistyizzy · 03/03/2025 21:06

JohnofWessex · 03/03/2025 20:38

In some nations you are not allowed to have fee paying schools.

Please state which countries?

FixItFi · 03/03/2025 21:24

twistyizzy · 03/03/2025 21:05

Finland does have independent schools

I stand corrected.

FixItFi · 03/03/2025 21:27

Viviennemary · 03/03/2025 20:55

A few schools will go under but a lot will survive. I don't see the big deal for folk not personally affected.

It’s likely to end up being a net cost to the state.

Independent schools produce a lot of qualified people the U.K. needs and we currently have a shortage I.e. over half of our Drs.

Closing schools means job losses and hits to the economy, particularly in rural areas where a school can be a major employer.

High net tax payers will leave for countries with plurality of education choice, where their children’s education is not taxed and their children do not have worrying rhetoric aimed at them.

British private school education is one of our few remaining success stories and internationally respected, this could change.

Forcing children out of their schools can cause dire issues for the children and their parents and possibly wider society.

Generally nothing good comes out of reducing education choice, its why no one else does it.

ICouldBeVioletSky · 03/03/2025 21:36

FixItFi · 03/03/2025 21:24

I stand corrected.

In Finland schools are not allowed to charge parents fees. However, there are “private schools” which are not run by the state, but which receive state funding.

OP posts:
Talkwhilstyouwalk · 03/03/2025 21:43

CurlewKate · 03/03/2025 17:25

@Talkwhilstyouwalk "I'm seriously considering private from year 5 onwards for my kids, that's the latest I want to risk it in the state system and it will give them time to catch up with their peers before senior school starts"

Shame- this thread has been mostly free of offensive comments. Oh, well.

Apologies for generalising, I didn't mean to offend and am aware that there are many state school children who are thriving and doing well.

Of course there is no difference in natural intelligence between private and state school kids but the average private schools do tend to get better academic results than the average state schools, so there is a clear disparity. I fully expect that my child will initially struggle to keep up with the faster pace and higher expectations when she moves to private, hence why I want to move her in year 5 not year 7.

I'm also sick of the poor behaviour that goes down in her current classroom, it simply wouldn't be accepted in a private school and it is very distracting.

Barbadossunset · 03/03/2025 21:47

North Korea

I’m sure the children of the ruling Kim family and other North Korean bigwigs have a superior education to the rest of the population. Kim Jong Un went to school in Switzerland - not sure about his siblings.

Lebr · 03/03/2025 22:39

Viviennemary · 03/03/2025 20:55

A few schools will go under but a lot will survive. I don't see the big deal for folk not personally affected.

One of the eye-openers in the parliamentary debate this afternoon was that the treasury expects that there will be 100 excess school closures (i.e. more than would have been the case without the VAT policy) over the next three years. Not a few. That may turn out to be an underestimate.
Another statistic was that the government expect 0.5% of children in UK schools to switch from private to state. If you say it's 1 in 12 kids in private school, or 40,000 kids, it sounds rather different. That may also be an underestimate. And each of those 40,000 may be an individual tragedy for the child and family concerned.
It will only take 15% of kids to move from private to state for this policy to raise nothing at all and start to cost the taxpayer money

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