Data & analysis thread, started 9th April 2022

[Jenasaurus]

Welcome to another instalment of the DATA thread.

Our preference is for factual, data driven and analytical contributions.
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
UKHSA Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-sars-cov-2-variants-technical-briefing
UKHSA Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/guidance/monitoring-reports-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ includes R estimates
UKHSA Weekly Flu & Covid Surveiilance Reports 2021-22 Season www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2021-to-2022-season
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Sewage www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Sewage reports www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths
PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

At least they haven't abolished them altogether.

Not yet!

There will still be an unofficial source however (how will he get the data?)

twitter.com/lawrencegilder/status/1523738760063504384?s=21&t=9yS9pHPXk4rSmmerOiROhQ

the dashboard change is of course only at Scotland level (and thereby impacting the largely meaninglessUK wide figures). Figures for England continue to be published each weekday.

Therefore, a temporary tho' welcome respite from the first Eurovision semi-final, the latest health metrics for England - all heading in the right direction, although well above the levels this time last year still. All seven day averages unless stated otherwise.

Starting with numbers on mechanical ventilator beds which have taken a more marked downward movement

hospital admissions

number in hospital

deaths within 28 days by date of death with a week's lag applied

and then the daily numbers up to the latest published and seven day average, dashed line indicating incomplete data

NHS England regional admissions East of England, London and Midlands

North East and Yorkshire, North West and South East

South West

concluding admissions with regional rates per million

moving onto numbers in hospital by NHS England region. East of England

London

Midlands

North East and Yorkshire

North West

South East

South West

combined regions rates per million

Thank you for those graphs!

Update on hepatitis cases fron ECDC:
"As of 13 May 2022, 232 cases of acute hepatitis of unknown aetiology in children aged 16 years or below have been reported, of which 229 were classified as probable and three as epidemiologically linked, by 14 countries (Belgium (12), Cyprus (two), Denmark (six), Greece (two), Ireland (six), Italy (24), the Netherlands (six), Norway (five), Poland (one), Serbia (one), Slovenia (one), Spain (26), Sweden (nine), and the United Kingdom (131)."

www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/increase-severe-acute-hepatitis-cases-unknown-aetiology-children

5-11 vac stats (for England) now appearing in the weekly NHS data publication.

Perhaps not surprisingly a spectacularly slow and low uptake. Article in the Graun (so the usual caveats, although it does not plumb Fail like depths). www.theguardian.com/world/2022/may/14/young-children-england-covid-jab-vaccine-rollout-7-per-cent-parents-usefulness

In this age band very little difference in the NIMs and ONS population estimates. 6.9% uptake based on NIMS, 7.0% based on ONS.

These are the 20 council areas with the highest uptake based on NIMS, and are the same 20, with slight re-ordering if ONS is used).

then 21-40 and 41-60. Again little difference if NIMs or ONS based calcs. Only exception is City Of London - which I though might have had its figures suppressed. Obviously a small total population, never mind just the 5-11s. However ONS 5-11 figure is 843 and NIMs 395. Giving a 10.6% uptake based on NIMS and 5% using ONS.

The other interesting piece is although the higher (relatively speaking) are largely councils with lower levels of deprivation, Leicester features in second of these tables.

then 241st onward