Data & analysis thread, started 9th April 2022

[Jenasaurus]

Welcome to another instalment of the DATA thread.

Our preference is for factual, data driven and analytical contributions.
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
UKHSA Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-sars-cov-2-variants-technical-briefing
UKHSA Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/guidance/monitoring-reports-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ includes R estimates
UKHSA Weekly Flu & Covid Surveiilance Reports 2021-22 Season www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2021-to-2022-season
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Sewage www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Sewage reports www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths
PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

I get free tests as I qualify for treatment. I got covid last week and experimented with different tests. I always do throat even on nose only tests.
Tested with different tests on day 2 after a positive on day 1.
The strongest positive by far came from Flowflex tests. Instant dark red line.
All the other tests i have were unbranded from the same Chinese factory. I got a very faint line on one and negative on another.This was with a scrupulous swab of throat and nose.

Thanks @Blix

@Blix

That's really interesting.

Perhapse I should change my official line from "never had covid" to "never tested positive". 🤔So odd especially with DCs at school surely we should have succumbed by now.

I haven't had covid either to my knowledge.

I do think I may have had it in early March 2020. Ds had a cough and a temperature for a day, then I had a cough and a temperature for a day. About a week later I commented that things were tasting funny, and everyone else eating them said they were fine. So I suspect that may have been covid.

However I haven't ever tested positive despite testing at least 2x a week while we could still get tests and now I test once a week (or if I'm feeling ill).

I may just have tempted fate. My DDs BF who lives with us, has just tested positive for COVID. He has had flu/cold symptoms for a couple of days, yesterday he was negative but had night nurse as he couldn't sleep, and today after work my DD suggested he test again as he is coughing and feeling rough, went straight to bed feeling awful and its a very clear positive.

I had my booster 6 days ago as I have NALD and diabetic, fingers cross it kicks in and protects me, not sure how long after having it, it should work though, if indeed it works at all.

@Jenasaurus

Good luck! Hope you avoid it.

When dd2 had it, I'd spent an hour in the car with her next to me the day before she tested positive and didn't catch it. Hopefully you'll be the same.

Oh thats reassuring, so not a done deal then. Actually my DD has had it in the past and no one else caught it :)

Not a done deal at all. My older daughter had it at uni. They were a house of 3 and she'd spent the evening before with a group of friends in a small room. As far as she knows she passed it onto no one. The university was insisting everyone tested (at their site and they checked the results) before doing anything at uni, so it wasn't even as though people weren't testing.

Another friend of mine, her husband caught it, she nursed him-he was quite ill. She didn't catch it. Then she caught it three weeks after he'd recovered goodness knows where from!

It does seem to have a thoroughly random element to it.

shifting momentarily from anecdote the latest health data for England

The ONS survey published today showed another upward move; although is tracking not much above this time last year - in terms of report publication date. Whether we reach a not too high peak towards end October then a slight easing remains to be seen.

deaths within 28 days of a positive test starting to edge up slightly - although, with a greater lag, deaths with C19 on the death cert, not quite reflecting that yet - next week should start to provide a better view.

both on a more recent timescale

finally daily numbers as well as the seven day average

ventilator numbers also edging up, but are still a long way below this time last year, let alone some of the peak numbers seen.

back to anecdotes my DS2 and DS3 both back at their unis, both have briefly succumbed to freshers' flu, although neither are freshers. DS2 claims he could be classed as such as he's starting a masters. I don't think that counts though. Not sure if either took a C19 test. DS3 also quite under the weather a few weeks before heading off, sore throat, headache and did take several LFTs - all negative. No one else is the house picked up whatever it was he had thankfully.

enough of that, disappointed with the extra slice dress code from a certain contestant as well, so back to data.

Hospital admissions in England continued to increase, although the seven day average percentage increase has slowed slightly; in contrast to that for the number in hospital.

just focusing on admissions

regional rates all on one graph

two of the stand out regions for admissions. On the longer term rate per million graph worth remembering that the x-axis starts at the beginning of last November.

South East first

and South West

number in hospital in England, close to the 10,000 mark in absolute number, and just about double the figure at this point last year

getting into the NHS England regions.

East of England

London, less markedly above last year at the moment

Midlands

North East and Yorkshire

North West