Data & analysis thread, started 9th April 2022

[Jenasaurus]

Welcome to another instalment of the DATA thread.

Our preference is for factual, data driven and analytical contributions.
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
UKHSA Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-sars-cov-2-variants-technical-briefing
UKHSA Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/guidance/monitoring-reports-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ includes R estimates
UKHSA Weekly Flu & Covid Surveiilance Reports 2021-22 Season www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2021-to-2022-season
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Sewage www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Sewage reports www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths
PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

Midlands

North East and Yorkshire

North West

**

South East

South West

Thanks @boys3

For anyone on Zoe - I wonder what's happening in London?

Gosh, nuts

@containsnuts - it’s the same line upwards in every region from what I can see, although some (West Midlands as an example) is showing very early signs of another fairly sharp dip back down.

overall estimates have slowed too.

I had a couple of days where I couldn't get the app to register my "health" and I wonder if that corresponded with the drop as people just didn't do it for a couple of days.
That seems more likely than every region having a sudden drop off followed by huge rise.

Ah balls

@MargaretThursday I couldn't report for few days either (and stopped trying until today).

www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-32366-1

Analysis of the Events Research Programme last year.

Omicron Booster

www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-62548336

"Experiments on 437 people showed the updated vaccine was safe and gave better immune protection against newer variants".

I'm reading this wrong and they've tested it on more than 437 people surely?

Does anyone know whether it will only be available for boosters for those eligible to receive them? How about for kids receiving their first dose? I haven't had my age 7 DC vaxed as yet because it just seemed pointless. They have both had covid twice and not been particularly unwell. If it doesn't stop them catching or spreading it, just stops them becoming seriously ill and they don't anyway, what's the point? I was waiting in the hope that they might get the new one which might actually protect them from catching it at all.

No word yet on who'll get the bivalent (great word!) vaccine.

Vaccines still make them less likely to get it and less likely to pass it on.

@JanglyBeads yes I do understand that. Doesn't seem to be much of a difference though, and my thoughts were it would be better to wait for the newer one because young kids won't get a booster, so getting the old style will mean they won't get the new. Obviously if they won't get the new anyway then I'll probably go ahead and get them jabbed with the old one.

JCVI statement on the new bivalent booster
@JanglyBeads it doesn't seem to be approved for under 18s if that answers your question?

The article I linked above states:

"Moderna thinks 13 million doses of its new vaccine will be available this year, but 26 million people are eligible for some form of booster.

Health officials say people should take whichever booster they are offered as all jabs provide protection".

So they don't know and possibly not many people will actually be able to access it. I'm guessing priority will be given to over 75s as with previous doses.

health metrics in England from the weekly dashboard update this afternoon. All continue to head in the right direction. Admissions first.

number in hospital

number on mechanical ventilators

deaths within 28 days of a positive test by date of death

Today's announcement re the autumn booster prog includes the fact that only the bivalent vaccine will be used.

twitter.com/hugogye/status/1560224174265737217?s=21&t=CfO6OBoYswW04agp5k_3nQ

Hello data bods,
I thought some of you here might know.
Did the Great Barrington lot expect this many covid deaths (200,000 in the U.K., a million in the US etc) or were they just wrong? I got the impression their plan was to tuck the over 80s away and let it rip for a short while and then they expected covid to be over because we'd all have immunity. That would never have worked, would it?