Do you really really think the exponential growth of the initial outbreak would have subsided spontaneously?
Or that the reductions in case numbers that followed a week or so after tightening of restrictions were all coincidence?
Or that jobs, economy, mental health blah blah blah would have been just fine and dandy if the exponential growth had been allowed to continue?
I have 3 major construction projects which were doing ok despite covid stuff, which are now facing delays because of the number of site operatives off sick with covid. Not isolating, not being forced off, but actually too unwell to be able to work. Most of these subcontractors are self employed so if they don’t work they don’t get paid. The contractor faces a penalty for any delay, so it’s not as if people can say “ahh, that’s just people being lazy” People want to call it minor and throw about statistics but when you are talking about high numbers of infections, if even a small percentage of those can’t work, that affects the economy.
There won’t be any further lockdowns because even if the science showed it was necessary, people just want to ignore that and bleat about their ‘uman rights, and flex bravado that they wont be following no lockdown.
Largely this is because of government failing in managing the previous lockdowns and not doing the other things they should have done in tandem with those periods of suppression. People are weary of the whole thing and are willing for others to sacrifice things so life can go back to normal. It’s a shitty situation but there we are.
I wouldn’t support a further lockdown in the way have been used before (but if they did, I’d follow the rules) But I would support a month long lockdown if the government also put in place the things they should have done before. Closed borders, mass testing, proper quarantine and isolation. If I thought it could eradicate it from the U.K., with quarantine for anyone coming in. That’s expensive, and people don’t want it, and it would never happen anyway.
In the meantime, pushing vaccinations, keeping up with other mitigations such as improved ventilation and distancing where appropriate would help in this situation. But, they won’t do that either because for some reason people are against these really easy fixes.