Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 18th January 2022

[boys3]

Welcome to another instalment of the DATA thread.

Our preference is for factual, data driven and analytical contributions.
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
UKHSA Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-sars-cov-2-variants-technical-briefing
UKHSA Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/guidance/monitoring-reports-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ includes R estimates
UKHSA Weekly Flu & Covid Surveiilance Reports 2021-22 Season www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2021-to-2022-season
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Sewage www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Sewage reports www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

From the Scottish dashboard. Anyone know what this means?

They only count hospitalisations if it's the first infection???

containsnuts I think that just means someone who goes out and comes in (ie someone attends A&E "admission, goes home, later returns to hospital.) are only counted as one admission, not that it only counts if it was covid in 2020.

But of course I could be wrong.

@sirfredfredgeorge

containsnuts I think that just means someone who goes out and comes in (ie someone attends A&E "admission, goes home, later returns to hospital.) are only counted as one admission, not that it only counts if it was covid in 2020.

But of course I could be wrong.

I wondered if it meant they don't count hospitalisations if it's a reinfection, only if it's the first time a person tests positive via PCR?

@containsnuts I think you’re right. Until today they only counted cases/deaths if it was the first infection and the hospital data is a couple of days behind. I’ve just clicked through the (nightmare of a) website and can’t find anything that says either way other than the detailed analysis that says “a patient’s first positive test for COVID-19 up to 14 days prior to admission to hospital, on the day of their admission, or during their stay in hospital.”

Like the above poster I could be wrong though. It’s very confusing wording.

health metrics for England; overall and by NHS regions. 2020, 2021, 2022 figures comparisons and the current Feb/March vs the 2021 position.

Starting with probably the most positive of all numbers in mechanical ventilator beds. 7 day average now at 250, around seven times lower than the equivalent point last year.

as a follow up this slightly odd looking graph shows when the ventilator bed number has fallen below a 250 seven day average

in 2020 between end June and end September

in 2021 between last week of April and end of June.

As this graph makes a bit clearer the lowest level in 2020 was 55; and 113 in 2021 - again seven day average figures

deaths within 28 days by date of death continue to fall - again seven day average with just over a week's lag built in to reflect how deaths get reported through.

hospital admissions the seven day average in England now above the equivalent point in 2021 - as regional graphs will show this is not the case everywhere; and needs to be seen in the context of ventilator bed numbers, deaths and

number in hospital - which remains some way - although not in the SW - below the equivalent point last year.

NHS regions in England - just admissions and number in hospital for the Feb/Mar period. As usual both daily and seven day average numbers shown.

Starting with East of England

London

Midlands

North East and Yorkshire

North West

South East

South West

It just shows what a difference vaccinations have made and how dangerous this virus still is:
www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-01/hong-kong-virus-deaths-among-world-s-worst-on-at-risk-elderly

Sorry that I'm popping in and out of these threads now but the SW hospital numbers (and the others, to a lesser extent) are surprising to me - is it that it's hitting more now than it was last year (with a more contagious variant)?

I'm in the SW and it feels like everyone I know only started getting it here in recent months. But I guess I'm surprised people are in hospital in such large numbers compared to the tail end of last winter's huge peak.

Ons report on long covid:

www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/prevalenceofongoingsymptomsfollowingcoronaviruscovid19infectionintheuk/3march2022

England's hospital admissions are rising.
twitter.com/john_actuary/status/1499775616312385543

…so what are the causes for this, are the actual numbers of people currently infected increasing (but no longer being recorded in any meaningful way to reflect this.)
Or has the virus changed again?
Anyone here that can enlighten us?

According to the ons cases in England are decreasing.

Maybe to do with this this?

twitter.com/theosanderson/status/1499761361492000768

Further discussion on this here:
twitter.com/PaulMainwood/status/1499788523867627531

Possibly vaccine waning.

Cases in England have gone up this week based on the dashboard data.
Looks like the recent increase in hospitalisations might be a combination of the (i) general increase in prevalence and (ii) waning boosters.