Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 1st January 2022

[boys3]

Whilst I'd love to say all is quiet on New Years Day the reality is:

Welcome to yet another DATA thread.

Our preference is - still - for factual, data driven and analytical contributions.

Please try to keep discussion focused on these.

All the usual links below; New for '22 suggestions always welcome, and there may well be some that just need to go.

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
UKHSA Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-sars-cov-2-variants-technical-briefing
UKHSA Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/guidance/monitoring-reports-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ includes R estimates
UKHSA Weekly Flu & Covid Surveiilance Reports 2021-22 Season www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2021-to-2022-season
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Sewage www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Sewage reports www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

@sirfredfredgeorge

Denmark possibly turning the peak again, but of course they did that over NY but it turned out to be reporting/behaviour change, I really can't imagine how much longer it can go (7 day rate of over 5.6% detected cases, and it's been at least 3% since beginning of December, which means 20% of Danes have recorded a positive case of omicron, let alone all the undetected cases.)

I do have to wonder why Germany / Netherlands etc. are continuing their lockdown strategies, why the difference in approach given that it's not stopping the spread of omicron, why not either tighten restrictions so it is (if you believe spread is more harmful than restrictions) or loosen restrictions (if you believe spread is less harmful than restrictions). Leaving severe but ultimately pointless restrictions seems the worse all round?

Being locked in to harmful but ineffective restrictions like this was a fear for here.

How do you release? So relieved we didn’t go down that route.

Re falling cases in my London borough the decline is marked - about half way down the other side of the peak

I'm on the North in a job where I deal with lots of people every day. We have loads of cases at work anecdotally but the are almost all asymptomatic kids or people taking tests for work that come back positive with few symptoms..I think we are maybe just on a different point of the curve as just before Xmas rates were lower...same happened in earlier waves

Everything in England still moving in the right direction (in patients down across the country again as well as admissions and cases, further fall in ventilation)

Except covid deaths including hospital deaths.

Re falling cases in my London borough the decline is marked - about half way down the other side of the peak

7 day rates in London; Inner London boroughs in this set. All peaked ahead of Christmas and in most cases were coming down from 20th / 21st December onwards. Something of a flattening from Christmas into early New Year, with a more gradual decline thereafter.

Newham something of an outlier. Joint lowest peak of any inner borough but with that peak not occurring until 4th Jan - again on a seven day rate basis.

Into the soulless suburbs or Outer London boroughs as I believe they are also known as.

This lot again split by geography - SW, NW etc. Based on comments last time Hounslow added into SW London grouping. Not wholly convinced by that, always felt the river best defined North and South London

Here are South West outer boroughs. Hounslow a markedly different trajectory, hence my musing as to whether it would have been better left with the NW London group.

Here are the NW outer boroughs, which I'd suggest are more akin to the Hounslow profile.

Moving round the North Circular to the North East Outer boroughs

and into the badlands of South East London - in the broader sense of south east.

badlands 😹

@boys3 How is Cheshire doing? given sometimes we're "northern", but sometimes not...even though we're not "Metro" Liverpool/Manchester or Welsh or Midlanders. 🤷‍♀️ who knows, we don't have "local news" on the BBC either

In the early days of the pandemic the north and the NE particularly always had the highest rates of death due to generalised health of the population compared to other areas. As far as I can remember anyway.

I know Newcastle rvi check vit d on admission for Covid issues and treat

@pussycatunpickingcrossesagain

badlands 😹

@boys3 How is Cheshire doing? given sometimes we're "northern", but sometimes not...even though we're not "Metro" Liverpool/Manchester or Welsh or Midlanders. 🤷‍♀️ who knows, we don't have "local news" on the BBC either

still producing trash reality TV, which at least Bexley has not succumbed to yet.

But in terms of cases @pussycatunpickingcrossesagain

Rest of the North West unitary councils. Greater Manchester councils

Merseyside (ish) and then Blackburn and Blackpool

Regions (excl London) graphs in England

North East council graphs

South West -unitary councils spread in alphabetical order over 3 graphs. Swindon is the stand out, its graph has a y-axis up to 2,200 per 100,000; as opposed to 1800 on the other two graphs.

Staying in the South West with Devon's eight borough councils split over two graphs, one needs a y-axis up to 1600 per 100,000, the other 1300.

Gloucestershire and Somerset borough councils

Unitary councils in the South East

Surrey councils

boys3 thank you

Van-Tam to leave role as deputy chief medical officer

Jonathan Van-Tam is leaving is his job as England's deputy chief medical officer, the health secretary has revealed.

Sajid Javid tweeted it had been an honour to work with the scientist, adding he was "grateful for his advice" and the "vital role he has played in our vaccination programme".

from BBC Website.

Greater Manchester hospitals are asking for military help and say the number of people in hospital with Covid is higher than it was last year. They say there aren't as many people in intensive care though and about 800 people in hospital across the region could be discharged but there is no capacity on nursing homes to take them. Hospitals have about 15% of staff off with Covid.

I'm wondering if a reduced provision generally of nursing home type care in the North is behind the hospitalisation peak being similar to last Jan, compared to a much reduced peak to last year in other regions.

Isolation requirement is changing to five days with negative tests, from next Monday