Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 1st January 2022

[boys3]

Whilst I'd love to say all is quiet on New Years Day the reality is:

Welcome to yet another DATA thread.

Our preference is - still - for factual, data driven and analytical contributions.

Please try to keep discussion focused on these.

All the usual links below; New for '22 suggestions always welcome, and there may well be some that just need to go.

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
UKHSA Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-sars-cov-2-variants-technical-briefing
UKHSA Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/guidance/monitoring-reports-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ includes R estimates
UKHSA Weekly Flu & Covid Surveiilance Reports 2021-22 Season www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2021-to-2022-season
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Sewage www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Sewage reports www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

[quote JanglyBeads]From a brilliant thread by John Burn Murdoch re current state of play, which is worth reading in its entirety:

twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1478339769646166019?s=21[/quote]
So who is it they want to reduce isolation to 5 days with testing? I thought Tim Spector was referring to positive but asymptomatic cases but here is says close contacts.

I thought the 5 or 7 day difference internationally was down to which day is considered day 1. So in some places it starts from the day of the positive test in others it's the first day of symptoms so either way pretty much the same time is spent isolating when infectious however you count it.

It appears we have a press conference at 5!

Meant to attach this

What a great data thread re J BM

Yes @containsnuts I thought that too.

I'm confused by all I've seen about it because there's whether it's

• proposed or already introduced
• For positive cases or just close contacts;
• 5 or 7 days
• With daily testing or just at the end
HCPs or everyone
• UK or other countries!

@Ohsofedupwiththis

It appears we have a press conference at 5!

I can't see anything online about this ?

Just saw about the presser on line !
Sorry , it is at 5.
Seems to be an up date

According to the DM they want the isolation period to be cut down to five days.

Ta for the JBM thread. Ties in a bit with this one from a US doctor
twitter.com/Craig_A_Spencer/status/1478217081959108614?t=0PfN798H9Xr3Xi9OQWA4sQ&s=19

Essentially fewer ppl being ventilated because it now doesn't attack in the same way (I'm paraphrasing) but badly exacerbating underlying conditions like diabetes is a real concern.

Backs up what I've read in recent discussions re the difficulty of differentiating between "with covid" and "of covid".

@the80sweregreat

According to the DM they want the isolation period to be cut down to five days.

80s do you mean this is what will be announced?

Or someone else wants it

@Ohsofedupwiththis

It appears we have a press conference at 5!

With Sir Patrick Vallance and Prof Sir Chris Whitty.

also, from the BBC...
No 10 refuses to rule out rationing tests
Earlier, we brought you the latest from Downing Street on Covid tests - with the prime minister's spokesman refusing to rule out rationing tests.

The government has drawn up a contingency plan to prioritise vulnerable people and some key workers in case there's a shortage of Covid tests - after reports of patchy supplies of lateral flow kits in recent weeks.

Asked whether the government was preparing to ration tests, the spokesman said: "We have one of the highest testing capacities in the world, certainly the highest in Europe. We would obviously need to keep under review, as prevalence is incredibly high, what the right approach might be and we continue to take advice on whether that is necessary."

I hope we aren't following the USA for the sake of public pressure on the 5 days. Their isolation periods begin form a different moment from ours. Effectively, their '5th day' comes after ours in a lot of cases.

And, I've just seen this on BBC

Israel reports first case of flurona

The challenge is how to do both simultaneously - reduce isolation and ration tests.

MPs want it to be decreased ; those very scientific MPs who know all about the science behind isolation times and infection controls.
(The comments page on the DM want testing to be stopped completely and the ' cold ' to go away of course )

I'm all for it if they can prove it will work. Otherwise it seems very disruptive to isolate half the population for 5 days for them to go out on day 6 and spread it anyway. How does that help schools and workplaces?

You’d have to look at when people are most infectious

If Royal Mail moan about not enough staff...

I have today received a vital piece of correspondence.

A dominos pizza leaflet.

No mail...and it was our RM postie in uniform/hi viz, not just a random leaflet drop.🤷‍♀️

I don't understand the 5 day thing. NHS staff who have been close contacts can go into work as soon as they get a negative PCR which is usually under 5 days anyway!

I'm almost certain that Royal Mail, as a universal carrier, cannot reject or set aside items of mail. You'd have to complain to Domino's.

@Chersfrozenface

I'm almost certain that Royal Mail, as a universal carrier, cannot reject or set aside items of mail. You'd have to complain to Domino's.

Not sure a leaflet counts as "Mail" as it's not addressed to anyone...anyway, it's in the bin and I dutifully washed my hands (and sang a song) afterwards.

218k reported today with the caveat that it covers various time periods for different nations.

48 deaths reported- cant help thinking we are due a big catch up on those figures soon

@Bordois

218k reported today with the caveat that it covers various time periods for different nations.

48 deaths reported- cant help thinking we are due a big catch up on those figures soon

But look at Dec 29th for specimens by date (instead of by reported).

That’s at 226k.

I have no idea anymore if these numbers and good/bad/ indifferent. The huge numbers seem like a concern but there is so much opposition to more restrictions i dont see what they can really do? Should i be concerned or not! Thats all i want to know at this point.

Im not expexting any actual answers from boris on this ‘