Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 17th December

[boys3]

Welcome to the DATA thread.

Best wishes for the festive season to all contributors and lurkers

The preference for this thread is for factual, data driven and analytical contributions.
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Please try to keep discussion focused on these.

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
UKHSA Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-sars-cov-2-variants-technical-briefing
UKHSA Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/guidance/monitoring-reports-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ includes R estimates
UKHSA Weekly Flu & Covid Surveiilance Reports 2021-22 Season www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2021-to-2022-season
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Sewage www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Sewage reports www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

Probably, yes. Although I did see a report from South Africa which suggested people with prior Delta infection were seeing more breakthrough cases than those who'd had Beta. Not sure about impact on hospitalisations.

@MarshaBradyo

Ah he comes the joy 😂 don’t worry California

To be perfectly honest I have no scientific background and am crap at stats, so often need these scientific papers spelled out in the popular press for me. By popular press I mean the BBC or Guardian or similar....

Sorry I didn’t mean you California! Just the idea it’s about to go pear shaped in following post.

I normally follow but I think you may have posted too soon NutNuts

What about Alpha and Original though as well we had big waves of those and our Delta was bigger than South Africa on paper

If a tiny snippet of data is of any use, I had my antibodies measured after my booster. I originally had 2 AstraZeneca. One month after my Moderna booster my levels were over 2500, which is the highest they measure to.

@OldposterNewname that's ever so reassuring for you!

@Quartz2208

I normally follow but I think you may have posted too soon NutNuts

What about Alpha and Original though as well we had big waves of those and our Delta was bigger than South Africa on paper

Different variants have different mutations don't they?

I'm wondering if having had Beta confers more protection against Omicron than having had Delta.

Whilst acknowledging the absurdity encapsulated in this cartoon:

@OldposterNewname

If a tiny snippet of data is of any use, I had my antibodies measured after my booster. I originally had 2 AstraZeneca. One month after my Moderna booster my levels were over 2500, which is the highest they measure to.

That can only be good news. Well done your immune system.

@MarshaBradyo

Sorry I didn’t mean you California! Just the idea it’s about to go pear shaped in following post.

You still don't think it is, Marsha?

Ah the cartoon didn’t appear it was a England positivity chart!

Well I know who to listen to for predictions And it’s not the typically most doom-y tf

Even the Guardian are being a bit positive today ..

I still think nothing is certain but the data we've seen so far seems to fall more toward the positive than the negative. Whether it's positive enough to avoid restrictions remains to be seen but my fingers are firmly crossed!

I agree we are in a period of uncertainty I’m not sure what the take out will be from latest data

I do appreciate anyone who posts rationally and with facts though

It's maths though isn't it?

If omicron is intrinsically quite a bit less severe

(which we won't know for sure for a while.)

then that can be negated by having loads more cases than we've ever had.

Which we've got.

@MarshaBradyo

I agree we are in a period of uncertainty I’m not sure what the take out will be from latest data

I do appreciate anyone who posts rationally and with facts though

I posted a 15% test positivity chart a minute ago.

And here are some more charts:

@Quartz2208

Ah the cartoon didn’t appear it was a England positivity chart!

I meant to post that.

I just added an unrelated opinion to the post.

@IWannaWishYouANutNutsChristmas

It's maths though isn't it?

If omicron is intrinsically quite a bit less severe

(which we won't know for sure for a while.)

then that can be negated by having loads more cases than we've ever had.

Which we've got.

Depends how many more, growth rate of cases seems to be slowing down, if it peaks reasonably soon in London (and that pattern is replicated throughout the country) it might be manageable without further restrictions. Personally I don't think we can say that any one outcome is inevitable.

Latest data may have an impact but up to today over last couple of days listening to experts on R4 the biggest message has been it’s uncertain

I’ll take their expertise first, then some posts on here help further inform

Plus UKHSA Sara out tomorrow iirc on severity

Data..

Thanks for the link to the Spectator data, @AlexandraEiffel - some good charts that I hadn't seen before.

Good summary of the findings about Omicron severity here twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1473772679425581069?t=R8lOt39mRqf_SkZ7qQrNBQ&s=19

@Quarantino

Thanks for the link to the Spectator data, *@AlexandraEiffel* - some good charts that I hadn't seen before.

Adam Kucharski’s critique of The Spectator’s graphs

twitter.com/adamjkucharski/status/1473575940932448256?s=21

This seems like a useful one for us here on the data thread:

twitter.com/adamjkucharski/status/1473575940932448256?s=21