[quote 1dayatatime]@octoegg
"https://fullfact.org/health/economist-vaccination-status/?s=09
This link seems to be talking about hospitalisations, not ICU patients in particular though (not that I know the data for the latter; just pointing it out)"
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Therein lies the debate. There is a fact check available that shows 70% of those hospitalised and who die of Covid have been vaccinated. But this is only logical given that 83% of the UK has been vaccinated and over 90% vaccinated for the over 80's that make the majority of deaths.
There is clear transparent and open data available and fact checks to show that vaccination makes a big difference on your chances of a severe reaction, hospitalisation or death from Covid.
What there is not available is data on what percentage of patients in ICU / ITU suffering from Covid are unvaccinated. Instead we have reports from various doctors / medical officials around the world stating that in their particular hospital 90 to 95% of patients in ICU are unvaccinated.
Now I am sure that vaccination status makes a big difference to your chances of being in ICU, but the 90 to 95% figure simply doesn't add up.
It would mean that 70%of patients hospitalised with Covid are vaccinated and 30% unvaccinated. However this then radically goes down for ICU to 5 to 10% vaccinated. But it then radically goes back up again for deaths with 70% vaccinated. This makes no sense at all and casts major doubt on the 90 to 95% in ICU are unvaccinated claim.
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The recent 90% figure in the Time seems to relate to quite small numbers and a specific and extreme form of intensive care which wouldn't be appropriate for people who are old and frail. ICUs in general aren't full of octogenarians - they're full of forty-to-seventy year olds because they're the people who have a chance of surviving them.
That's why you might plausibly get a lot of vaccinated people coming into hospital with Covid and a lot of vaccinated people dying of Covid, because they're mostly the people so frail that even a 95% reduction in risk still leaves a lot of risk. But you don't see a lot of vaccinated people getting extreme treatment in ICU because the vaccinated people in hospital who'd be considered for ICU are disproportionately from a demographic too frail to benefit.