Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 23rd JULY

[boys3]

This is the DATA thread. We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
PHE Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variant-variant-of-concern-20201201
PHE Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/government/publications/phe-monitoring-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

LFT numbers are down but it could be that it's only the most conscientious (and probably least likely to have covid) that are still regularly taking them and reporting.

@YouthfulIndiscretion

I can’t find the PCR positivity rate on the dashboard. I’ve seen snips showing it finally reducing, thank god, but can’t find the actual link. Could anyone please point me in the right direction please?

Positivity for England does look like it us going down, whichnis great news.

Data being “strongly managed” by No. 10 et al:
bylinetimes.com/2021/06/10/independent-public-health-england-data-very-strongly-managed-by-government-documents-reveal/?fbclid=IwAR0LpdV7OrINlC6Sct0lgac1lJ-HSUtJvlhsIxMsdQ8_eQO8h_9hDtplbKk

the timing seems so strangely coincidental right after the 19th
The 19th was selected as specifically being after a certain percentage of vaccines, plus meaning Euros was during restrictions. It's not fully coincidental.

[quote JanFebAnyMonth]Data being “strongly managed” by No. 10 et al:
bylinetimes.com/2021/06/10/independent-public-health-england-data-very-strongly-managed-by-government-documents-reveal/?fbclid=IwAR0LpdV7OrINlC6Sct0lgac1lJ-HSUtJvlhsIxMsdQ8_eQO8h_9hDtplbKk[/quote]
I'm sure there is some truth to there being careful management of information; during a pandemic that can lead to currency crash, stock market crash, comments on variants in other countries can create international issues etc. That said, the author is not someone I can take seriously; in this article he's states of a government organisation JCB that has a key role managing the pandemic "they’re run by spies" with no backup, nor detail about who/ why/ impact, nor requests for comment from government. He likes to try to get attention, but I would like other sources because he's too loose with his words to be a reputable journalist (a very short time at the Guardian, for very good reasons). I can't quite get past when he asserted many times that NASA funded a review into the collapse of industrial society because someone used their research platform (i.e. a clear lie, never apologised).

Thread about child hospitalisations which is worrying.

mobile.twitter.com/jneill/status/1419698284835311617

Do we know whether those child hospitalisations are because of Covid, or children in hospital who have tested positive for Covid but admitted for another reason?

@ThereIsAGreenHillFarAway

Do we know whether those child hospitalisations are because of Covid, or children in hospital who have tested positive for Covid but admitted for another reason?

No, nor how long they were in hospital. But there are currently 50 child covid admissions a day, compared to a peak of 52 in the last wave. Let's hope we are peaking on this too.

If it’s children in hospital who test positive the next stage will likely see increase

Up until now this age group have been managed to keep adults’ infection lower but once this ends we’ll see a surge

It wouldn’t concern me if it’s not those who are being treated for Covid

BREAKING: More than half of Covid hospitalisations are patients who only tested positive AFTER admission and went in with other non-Covid ailments, leaked data reveal.

ground.news/article/exclusive-over-half-of-covid-hospitalisations-tested-positive-after-admission?utm_source=pfa&utm_medium=partner

@EasterIssland

BREAKING: More than half of Covid hospitalisations are patients who only tested positive AFTER admission and went in with other non-Covid ailments, leaked data reveal.

Wow, thats pretty important news!

But is not going to help the cause of those hospitals having to cancel planned operations because of lack of ICU beds.....

On child hospital admissions, we only have data to 30th June as these stats are only in the monthly report, but those figures have gone up quickly. For the split... 10 admitted with confirmed covid + 17 diagnosed with covid in hospital, suggests over half had have originally arrived for something else. Lower in the file were 12 discharges in the same 24 hours.
www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/

For adults + children, the report estimated on 29th June 267 hospital acquired cases, 272 community acquired cases and c3 from nursing/ care home.

@EasterIssland

BREAKING: More than half of Covid hospitalisations are patients who only tested positive AFTER admission and went in with other non-Covid ailments, leaked data reveal.

It’s a bit more uncertain than that I think:

“ The majority of cases were not detected until patients underwent standard Covid tests, carried out on everyone admitted to hospital for any reason.

Overall, 56 per cent of Covid hospitalisations fell into this category, the data, seen by The Telegraph, show.

Crucially, this group does not distinguish between those admitted because of severe illness, later found to be caused by the virus, and those in hospital for different reasons who might otherwise never have known that they had picked it up. “

@JanFebAnyMonth

But is not going to help the cause of those hospitals having to cancel planned operations because of lack of ICU beds.....

It doesn't say anything about them being on icu though. Just a hospital admission which could be and overnight stay for a broken leg and test positive 2 days later at home and you go down as a covid hospital admissions.

It's also interesting to see more people are admitted to hospital in the last 7 days than are currently in hospital. Which suggests more people are discharged a day than are admitted. Which will hopefully mean if hospitalisations start to decline along with cases than people in hospital should drop pretty quickly aswell.

@Tuba437 but I didn’t mean that, I meant just in terms of MSM headlines and what the public (Tory backbenchers?) will understand.

We've got almost 50% more people in mechanical ventilation beds than when we first hit this number of people in hospital in the Autumn wave (13/10/2020 - 5,293 in hospital, 516 in mechanical ventilation beds; 23/07/2021 - 5238 in hospital, 715 in mechanical ventilation beds) so it doesn't look like a case of people being less sick this time or more often being in for something else.

Ventilation was discussion recently- in the previous wave a lot of the seriously ill were elderly and too frail for ventilation. This time around as the admissions seem to be younger then they would be more likely to have a better outcome from ventilation which may explain the relatively higher numbers

The issue of going to hospital already having had a positive test vs testing positive in hospital is not as straightforward as that. It's not always the case they go in with a broken leg and test positive with no symptoms; lots of people go to hospital for breathing difficulties or other covid-related symptoms but have not had a test yet either because they don't know how to get one, can't easily do so or just didn't think they needed it. A lot of the areas that were affected so badly are highly deprived, for example Newham in London. If someone doesn't have a car to get to a test centre and no broadband connection at home, it's not as easy to get a test.

Plus PCR tests aren't all that reliable, especially when not done by a HCP.

I know two people admitted to hospital recently. One had a fractured ankle, one a miscarriage and neither were tested for covid. I don't think it's true they just test everyone admitted.

neither were tested for covid

I'm guessing those were hospitals high in the list of hospital acquired covid infections...

I was in hospital recently and was only tested for covid because I had a temperature. I was sent through the amber route (covid possible wards) I didn't have covid. If I hadn't had symptoms I would have gone through the green route and I don't think I would have been tested.