Anyone want to predict when the next lockdown will be?

[MagicSummer]

I am guessing last week of August/beginning of September, and schools won't be going back when they are due to!

You do realise that casewise we are in the same place as 1st Jan don't you?
Only back then there were 26400 people in hospital as opposed to under 4000 now. Plus around 3500/day being admitted, against 650 (average). 2100 on ventilation as opposed to 500 (average). 7 day average deaths 1st Jan 560, today 40.5.

Unless the infection goes up by a factor of 6 in those at risk of illness serious enough to need hospital which is extremely unlikely, since there is a limited pool of that demographic who haven't been vaccinated or aren't protected by the vaccine, its unlikely that we'll go back in to lockdown.

@SonnetForSpring

Why are there so many people who are fed up with covid, on the covid mn board??

Sorry, didn't see it had been renamed 'The Covid Fanclub' board

I honestly do not believe there will be another lock down.

I think the route of personal responsibility is going to come into play here.

Sorry, didn't see it had been renamed 'The Covid Fanclub' board

@Clutterbugsmum

End of August

But I think Boris will 'go spend time with his family' before so he can declare it not his fault.

The conservatives will swear undying loyalty to Boris but they’ll have him out on his arse as soon as they decently can.

Sorry, didn't see it had been renamed 'The Covid Fanclub' board

I don't seek out the covid threads but if I see one when I'm strolling down the talk page I will dip into it to look at what batshittery is being propagated - particularly when they are titled like this one!

@SonnetForSpring

Why are there so many people who are fed up with covid, on the covid mn board??

Isn't EVERYONE fed up with covid? No? Oh my mistake, better leave you doom-mongers to it then 👋

@Whatever9999

You do realise that casewise we are in the same place as 1st Jan don't you? Only back then there were 26400 people in hospital as opposed to under 4000 now. Plus around 3500/day being admitted, against 650 (average). 2100 on ventilation as opposed to 500 (average). 7 day average deaths 1st Jan 560, today 40.5.

Unless the infection goes up by a factor of 6 in those at risk of illness serious enough to need hospital which is extremely unlikely, since there is a limited pool of that demographic who haven't been vaccinated or aren't protected by the vaccine, its unlikely that we'll go back in to lockdown.

I think your last paragraph is a hope, not necessarily something that can't happen.

We have to remember that that group contains those least likely to be well protected by a vaccine (very elderly / immunocompromised) and all the evidence we have at the moment is that the double vaccinated CAN catch the delta variant. Without any of the other protections that have been in place up to now - masks, social distancing, reduced contact between people due to restrictions - their risk of exposure will be higher.

September - then parents and teaching unions will finally wake up and wonder why their DC are unvaccinated and lockdown at home again.
Obviously boarding schools will have vaccinated their pupils as residential settings, so the Tories' kids will be OK.

@MagicSummer

Well, when you hear that supermarkets are taking away the social distancing marking on the floors, you do worry about what the hell is going to happen!

No one has ever followed them 😭 in fact, people LOVE standing between the distancing ones

I think end of August. I don’t want it but I think it will happen.

First week of september just went the universities are due to start and 2 weeks after scottish schools have returned.

@Wizzbangfizz fair enough, still strikes me as slightly masochistic and goady to join a thread solely to tell everyone exactly how much disdain you have for them (I say ‘you’ but I mean anyone whose only motivation to join a discussion is to sneer).

I find not spending time on threads that wind me up from the off is a much more enjoyable way to spend my time personally rather than informing everyone exactly how much of a shit I don’t give.

Ah, the veil has been lifted: so SonnetforSpring has admitted that they are not fed up with covid. There are a few others in this gang - they’re just loving it…. weirdos.

When all the MPs are back at 'work' and have had their lockdown free break.

So pps might be right, no more lockdowns, but what about the infection rates in schools? When secondary school aged children already have a vaccine licensed for them right now (since early June)?
The JCVI are wrong and since they are all vaccinated, it will be the unvaccinated school children who are once again locked up while the adults are free.

@CovidKingfisher

There won't be any more bloody lockdowns. We have to live with it now.

I swear some posters on here love to be locked up and get excited about having an excuse to stay indoors

I know. Well they can stay in and do own lockdown.

There won’t be another lockdown. Numbers are high but it is not having the same impact on deaths so we need to carry on with life now.

Mid August

Really hope I’m wrong.

I hope people dont stand for another lockdown. It isnt a viable way to handle a virus. Vaccination of the vulnerable was our way out, that was the deal.

depends what your definition of lockdown is - but I don't think there will be one

I think August. The level of cases we have at the moment is not workable and it will only get higher after the end of restrictions. My council has already had to reduce services due to lack of staff.

@MagicSummer

I am guessing last week of August/beginning of September, and schools won't be going back when they are due to!

Why do you sound so gleeful, OP? I think you deliberately want to rile people.