Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 26th June

[boys3]

UK govt press conferences Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
PHE Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variant-variant-of-concern-20201201
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

@Wakeupin2022

Should also mention that I don't think the Sii batches will be a real issue.

I think this is probably more a case of poor communication by EU as these decisions are made at national level.

yeah dent think it'll be a problem, many countries have said they'll use it. Just surprised he's saying that they've not been used in the country when some of you have had that batch,

Hi,

Sorry if this has been spoken about already, but it's obviously a very long thread and I couldn't see it after skimming. Although I suspect I'd just missed it...

What percentage of patients who have been hospitalised with Covid have received both jabs? Also, is there data on when those hospitalised actually caught covid after having the second jab? That's surely quite important.

I'm currently trying to reassure my very anxious dm, who has had both jabs, but is getting increasingly concerned by the reports of breakthrough infections and hospitalisations and I fear is going to go back to hiding away.

TIA

I thought he was just making the point that it was an Astra Zeneca vaccine (and whilst it may have been produced by SII it remains so) similar to an M&S rotisserie chicken made in the O’Kane’s factory which also makes say an Asda chicken is still an M&S chicken as it’s to the recipe and butchery treatments etc. specified by M&S and gets the M&S label on it at the end. Hopefully once SII submit documents to EMA it’ll be resolved fairly quickly for everyone involved worldwide.

I'm really wondering if Newcastle will not scrap bubbles on the 19th. One week left. I actually anticipate many parents pulling kids out of school.

Several out of school clubs have cancelled summer care over concerns and a soft play party was cancelled by the venue due to worries over rising rates at the weekend.

@MakeminealargeSauvignon

Hi,

Sorry if this has been spoken about already, but it's obviously a very long thread and I couldn't see it after skimming. Although I suspect I'd just missed it...

What percentage of patients who have been hospitalised with Covid have received both jabs? Also, is there data on when those hospitalised actually caught covid after having the second jab? That's surely quite important.

I'm currently trying to reassure my very anxious dm, who has had both jabs, but is getting increasingly concerned by the reports of breakthrough infections and hospitalisations and I fear is going to go back to hiding away.

TIA

@MakeminealargeSauvignon excellent wine choice. 2nd link in the OP is what you need

@boys3, thanks. I probably choose it a little too much

Hmm, 2nd? Isn't that the variants of concern data?

Heads are allowed to keep measures until end of term @WarriorN

[quote MakeminealargeSauvignon]@boys3, thanks. I probably choose it a little too much

Hmm, 2nd? Isn't that the variants of concern data?[/quote]
@MakeminealargeSauvignon table 4 in that has Delta numbers for attendance to emergency care and deaths by vaccination status. So a starting point at least.

@JanFebAnyMonth

Heads are allowed to keep measures until end of term *@WarriorN*

Good. Based on parent's expressions at pick up, bubble closure will be over their dead bodies!

Some positive signs in Scotland?

2363 cases and positivity of 10.2% compared to 3118 and positivity rate of 11.6% last Sunday.

Still a long way to go but hopefully it's a turning point.

[quote EasterIssland]England will be entering “uncharted territory” in its wholesale scrapping of Covid lockdown rules and infection numbers could easily rise above 100,000 a day over the summer, the health secretary has said.

some restrictions might have to be reimposed in the future.

Asked about government projections that infection rates were likely to reach 50,000 a day by 19 July, Javid accepted it was “fair to say” that even this figure could double or more. The highest daily infection rate for the UK thus far recorded was just over 81,000, seen in late December.
www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jul/06/covid-cases-rise-above-100000-a-day-sajid-javid-concedes-england[/quote]
Well, it's more sensible to go by the ONS survey figures, and it's very likely that the actual figures were higher in December; it's also highly likely that the figures were higher than that back in March 2020 though we don't have confirmation of that.

1998 patients in hospital in England.

So for the week from 3rd. 1636 to 1998. 22% increase, with 4x days to go. Need a miracle to avoid 30% for the week I think. (2126).

37 deaths

28,773 cases.

Those deaths have jumped a bit . Was really surprised to see it so high but I suppose this is to be expected. Really beginning to worry we will see deaths in the three digits again in the not so distant future.

@Beebityboo

Those deaths have jumped a bit . Was really surprised to see it so high but I suppose this is to be expected. Really beginning to worry we will see deaths in the three digits again in the not so distant future.

Week on week it's very stable though. Try not to focus on daily figures any more. Also look at ONS which although only up to June 25th, shows that deaths continue to be low, and very flat.

@Itsprobablynotcominghome

1998 patients in hospital in England.

So for the week from 3rd. 1636 to 1998. 22% increase, with 4x days to go. Need a miracle to avoid 30% for the week I think. (2126).

Always trying to be positive I know, but also look at the daily admissions, which are much higher. So although 400 odd are recently being admitted every day, total in hospital is only rising between 50 and 100. So, assuming shorter stays and less ill, higher turnaround.

@Wakeupin2022

Some positive signs in Scotland?

2363 cases and positivity of 10.2% compared to 3118 and positivity rate of 11.6% last Sunday.

Still a long way to go but hopefully it's a turning point.

Not sure that the main (and only big) hospital in the Highlands and Islands going to Code Black today is very good news, however.

BigWoolly
I was wondering about length of stay etc

I appreciate info

Deaths appear to be a catching up of historic data again so I'd not worry too desperately about that just yet. (This from the gov.uk site...unless we don't think their data is reliable any more?)

Date United Kingdom daily United Kingdom total
05-07-2021 3 128,268
04-07-2021 12 128,265
03-07-2021 16 128,253
02-07-2021 20 128,237
01-07-2021 13 128,217
30-06-2021 18 128,204
29-06-2021 21 128,186
28-06-2021 12 128,165

@BigWoollyJumpers

Look back to the first week in October. Looks the same to me. I think you always had quite a high level of discharges.

[quote Itsprobablynotcominghome]@BigWoollyJumpers

Look back to the first week in October. Looks the same to me. I think you always had quite a high level of discharges.[/quote]
Or maybe last week in September*

@BanditoShipman

37 deaths

28,773 cases.

Told you so.

@NannyAndJohn

Didn’t the doubling time take a hit with today’s cases?

Not sure that the main (and only big) hospital in the Highlands and Islands going to Code Black today is very good news, however.

Nope probably not. And it's a problem that will hit may hospitals in England I'm a couple if weeks.

It looks to be self isolations and planned annual leave that is the main problem.

And cases in Scotland are at a very high level. There is a lot less natural immunity although the repot does mention that the virus is in care homes which is never good news, even if the residents are vaccinated.

I will still continue to look on the bright side though. If the growth in daily case rates falls then it takes the pressure of the hospitals sooner.

I don't know remaining capacity is in other areas. It does make you wonder what her different tiers are for. Highlands and Islands are Tier 1 / 0. Glasgow and surrounding areas, Tier 2 but there is a greater hospital capacity.

Didn’t the doubling time take a hit with today’s cases?

Yes but only slightly - England is now doubling every 10 days (vs 9).