Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 26th June

[boys3]

UK govt press conferences Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
PHE Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variant-variant-of-concern-20201201
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

Age rates for 0-4s through to 15-19*s

5-9s and 10-14 starkly higher. 15-19s not matching the steep rise seen into last October; although of course most Uni terms will have finished, as compared with all the Fresh Meat heading in the other direction.

@boys3 - may I copy that and quote you on any anti-vax threads please?

Age rates for 20-24s through to 30-39s

Age rates for 40-44s through to 55-59s

age rates for 60-64s through to 75-79s

and finally the 80 to 84s through to those Aged 90 and over

Stark difference in the vaccinated age groups, isn't there. Scary.

[quote MRex]@boys3 - may I copy that and quote you on any anti-vax threads please?[/quote]
@Mrex* absolutely! although reasoned argument may not be enough

@boys3 I can't read the graph axes very well - where did you get these from please?

And I assume we are testing more as well so finding more cases?

The 15- 19s isn't uni students is it though , if we match against your MSOAs, they ares till testing positive in their droves. The fall in known cases is surely that 16 year olds, many 17 year olds and all 18 year olds are not in school at the moment. That may be keeping them cosied away and actually safer from the virus, or they may not be testing, or both!

To give my school as an obvious example -as we only have years 9 and above, all our cases are in Year 9 (so 10-14 year old graph) , a few in year 10 and year 12 but they are on study leave atm. So the vast majority of what we are dealing with is year 9 aka the 10-14 age group. We have very little oversight of anyone in year 11 -13 at the moment.

I don't know ,therefore, whether that is a genuine drop, or an unknown quantity.

@Piggywaspushed

The 15- 19s isn't uni students is it though , if we match against your MSOAs, they ares till testing positive in their droves. The fall in known cases is surely that 16 year olds, many 17 year olds and all 18 year olds are not in school at the moment. That may be keeping them cosied away and actually safer from the virus, or they may not be testing, or both!

To give my school as an obvious example -as we only have years 9 and above, all our cases are in Year 9 (so 10-14 year old graph) , a few in year 10 and year 12 but they are on study leave atm. So the vast majority of what we are dealing with is year 9 aka the 10-14 age group. We have very little oversight of anyone in year 11 -13 at the moment.

I don't know ,therefore, whether that is a genuine drop, or an unknown quantity.

15-19yo is a very mixed bunch currently for what they will be doing. Typically: 15yos in school. 16yos broken up for the term, but may be having proms etc, 17yos in school (but smaller classes), 18yos same as 16yos, 19yos working/uni. There might also be localised herd immunity in those 19yos at uni, because if it went round the halls in September/October (and 19yo would be disproportionally in halls as 1st years) then that should give some protection to any who avoided it then.

Those graphs are interesting. Approximately, not vaccinated, climbing quicker, 1 dose, climbing the same, 2 doses much reduced. That has to be good news.

[quote herecomesthsun]@boys3 I can't read the graph axes very well - where did you get these from please?[/quote]
@herecomesthsun

Where did I get them from? - the hard drive of my laptop :).

The base data is all from the dashboard (so only stuff out in the public domain is used). I don't tend to post graphics that I haven't personally created.

Four graphs per slide can make the axes a bit blurred, and MN has a daily upload limit; although showing comparative data on one page does have advantages. I'll look at font sizing though next time round to see if they can be a bit clearer.

@MRex

That gives me visions of a doctor scribbling 49 years 3 months into my maternity notes... So no, I don't think that expected lifespan commonly exists as a field in medical notes.

It would be useful for a research study where the researchers are allowed to gather all relevant data and then present back whatever's relevant. E.g. 15% were receiving end of life care, 5% had controlled conditions but were on immunosuppressive drugs etc.

Sadly thousands of people are opting out of providing this kind of information though, due to I would contend, misplaced concern about data privacy. It's a shame.

17yos in school (but smaller classes) I wish! My A Level classes are 25! But there are still fewer in because a lot are doing end of year exams in many schools.

I think MN makes it seem that there are more proms going on than really are. Not a single local school is having a prom. Even then, I am not sure kids would be testing quite as assiduously if not in school and/or be contact traced via schools. One of the main reason a prom couldn't happen was the nightmare of contact tracing!

@Quartz2208

And I assume we are testing more as well so finding more cases?

@Quartz2208 hence my caveat obviously not quite the same testing regime at play, No LFTs for example to contribute to numbers last September and October. The dashboard case type breakdown for England is quite interesting to look at. coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/cases?areaType=nation%26areaName=England#card-cases_by_test_type_and_specimen_date

@Piggywaspushed

The 15- 19s isn't uni students is it though , if we match against your MSOAs, they ares till testing positive in their droves. The fall in known cases is surely that 16 year olds, many 17 year olds and all 18 year olds are not in school at the moment. That may be keeping them cosied away and actually safer from the virus, or they may not be testing, or both!

To give my school as an obvious example -as we only have years 9 and above, all our cases are in Year 9 (so 10-14 year old graph) , a few in year 10 and year 12 but they are on study leave atm. So the vast majority of what we are dealing with is year 9 aka the 10-14 age group. We have very little oversight of anyone in year 11 -13 at the moment.

I don't know ,therefore, whether that is a genuine drop, or an unknown quantity.

@Piggywaspushed I'm not suggesting the current 15-19 rates is Uni students, although part of it still will be. However I am suggesting that Uni students in that age group played a much larger part in the rapid rise in that age group at the end of last September and into October.

Yes, I think they probably did but obviously uni students were getting mass testing in September/Oct and school pupils weren't.

I think there always seems to be a reason why we don't get very clear data on the older end of school age group! Haven't seen a surveillance report for a while butt hey do break things down by year group.

The problem with that age group is that they're all doing a real mix of different things; school, college, away at uni, working at home for uni, working full time, working part time, cash in hand bits and bobs of work, partying, hiding in their room... One 18 year old and another don't have lives that necessarily bear much resemblance to each other, but they each could have high risk in different ways.

It's what Jenny harries said a while back about al their interactions being the highest risk to society whilst pretending they didn't somehow interact in schools at the time

We don't see much of JH or JVT these days.

@Piggywaspushed
17yos in school (but smaller classes) I wish! My A Level classes are 25! But there are still fewer in because a lot are doing end of year exams in many schools.

That is still smaller classes. My year 9 has 35 in some of his classes, and I don't think any as small as 25.

But on average A-level classes are smaller. Dd2 has only 2 in one of her classes (Further maths) and I think the largest is 15. (state 6th form) so there are some that are much smaller.

Warwick modelling on hospitalisations if we opened up fully on June 21st versus what actually happened when we didn't:

35 is mad. Something very off about funding there, presumably to offset those small sixth form class sixes. We don't run a subject on less than 8/10.

@PrincessNutNuts

Warwick modelling on hospitalisations if we opened up fully on June 21st versus what actually happened when we didn't:

Will be interesting to know what their 19th July opening projections are.

Will probably make for sobering reading.

Data:
In several London boroughs for the last week of term in December, school attendance was below 25%, one had 17%:

Bloody hell. It is good to get the figures as there was a lot of: my school is in meltdown verses my school is fine so I don't see a problem posts. (We were a WMids meltdown school, 29.5 days missed due Covid) Thank you for posting that.