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Data, Stats Thread June 11

986 replies

PatriciaHolm · 11/06/2021 15:05

UK govt pressers Slides & data

www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history

Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Covid 19 Variant Mapping Sanger Institute covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths
PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

OP posts:
Thread gallery
125
ThereIsAGreenHillFarAway · 23/06/2021 17:55

[quote herecomesthsun]Patients with covid on ventilators rose by 41% last week, numbers are apparently now back to where they were at the end of April.

www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jun/23/nhs-alarm-rise-number-uk-covid-patients-ventilators[/quote]
I think that this type of reporting shows just how figures can be manipulated depending on media narrative.

It is true last week numbers on ventilators in England rose by 41% if we compare the figures from Thursday 10 June (140) and Thursday 17 June (197).

But if we compare the figures this week, so today Wednesday 23 June (227) with Wednesday 16 June (192) then the increase week on week is 18%.

JanFebAnyMonth · 23/06/2021 17:56

Should we assume that a patient is only given a bed capable of mechanical ventilation if they’re deemed likely to be needing it very shortly?

TheSunIsStillShining · 23/06/2021 17:56

@MarshaBradyo
Monty Python? :)
and reference to the 16k number today and constantly rising all numbers.
Yes, there is a lot of good things, but still en route to mess up what we gained with football being so effing important.....
but never mind me...
And now DE calling for UK to be barred from simple entry to any EU country... makes sense from their point of view. If I'd be really pessimistic and depressed I'd say very soon we'll be the pariah's of Europe. But I'm neither, so I'll just reference MP :)

NotDonna · 23/06/2021 18:27

Sorry to revert back to the possible university numbers - are university students routinely doing LFTs twice weekly like secondary students please?

Wakeupin2022 · 23/06/2021 18:43

If I'd be really pessimistic and depressed I'd say very soon we'll be the pariah's of Europe

I hope so! It might be an unpopular opinion but I think we should see out the rest of this year with limited international travel. And I am not sure it's a good idea to have so much travel within the EU. I see that Delta now represents 9-10 % of cases in France. Up.from 2 -4 % last week. That's concerning & in heading same way as UK but with fewer people vaccinated.

MargaretThursday · 23/06/2021 18:54

@NotDonna

Can't speak for all unis but dd has to have 2 (supervised) negative tests before she can attend any uni things.

moimichme · 23/06/2021 19:00

My university is not quite as strict as that, Margaret, even though we're in the North West. Fingers crossed numbers will stay low amongst our students while they all move house.

TheSunIsStillShining · 23/06/2021 19:05

@Wakeupin2022
I am with you on that. The only reason we are travelling to EU is because our son can get the vaccine there. Otherwise we would stay put. again.

boys3 · 23/06/2021 19:25

Rolling seven day rate per 100,000 for English councils, using a two day lag so starting 7th June and ending Monday 21st June spec date.

For ease just shown aphabetically with the final column showing the absolute change in case rate between 7th June and 21st June.

Starting with councils whose rate has decreased as compared with 7th June position.

Data, Stats Thread June 11
boys3 · 23/06/2021 19:27

Now the first of several slides with councils whose rates have increased.

Adur to Bury

Data, Stats Thread June 11
boys3 · 23/06/2021 19:27

Calderdale to Dover

Data, Stats Thread June 11
boys3 · 23/06/2021 19:28

Dudley to Hambleton

Data, Stats Thread June 11
boys3 · 23/06/2021 19:29

Hammersmith to Lichfield

Data, Stats Thread June 11
boys3 · 23/06/2021 19:30

Lincoln to Nottingham

Data, Stats Thread June 11
boys3 · 23/06/2021 19:30

Nuneaton to Solihull

Data, Stats Thread June 11
boys3 · 23/06/2021 19:31

Somerset West & Taunton to Tendring

Data, Stats Thread June 11
boys3 · 23/06/2021 19:32

Test Valley to Worcester

Data, Stats Thread June 11
boys3 · 23/06/2021 19:35

and finally Worthing to York

plus

figures for each Region

plus

overall England figures

plus

for some reason Test Valley to Tonbridge repeated at the top. Confused No idea why I did that.

Data, Stats Thread June 11
Quartz2208 · 23/06/2021 19:38

I think mainland Europe is just behind us sadly - France now has Landes near the Spanish border with 70% Delta cases and the only area of growth. It sounds a lot like Bolton 5-6 weeks ago

EasterIssland · 23/06/2021 19:47

[quote herecomesthsun]@EasterIssland

If the increase in cases won't be connected to an increase in serious illness & death (as we are hoping), then I wouldn't be expecting a 40% increase in people on mechanical ventilators in the space of a week.

So it's worthy of note.

It would be great if it just turns out to be an insignificant anomaly. Let's hope so.[/quote]
If it’s as you’re saying I’d be expecting instead of 200 people on ventilators to be more like 1k.
Of course some people will end up in ventilators … but before we were expecting higher numbers of people to be in icu whilst not that many end up in hospital and even less in icu.

EasterIssland · 23/06/2021 19:48

It’s just the way data is being manipulated. Before it could be 10 and now it’s 40. The increase is of 40% but still low numbers

EasterIssland · 23/06/2021 19:50

@Quartz2208

I think mainland Europe is just behind us sadly - France now has Landes near the Spanish border with 70% Delta cases and the only area of growth. It sounds a lot like Bolton 5-6 weeks ago
@Quartz2208 do you mean 70% cases in Spain belong to the delta ? Where have you read this ? Last week it was only 1% of the Spanish cases.
Wakeupin2022 · 23/06/2021 19:59

Easter I think *Quartzz was talking about the French side of the Border.

But this article suggests that the 1% is probably out of date.

www.google.com/amp/s/english.elpais.com/society/2021-06-21/experts-calculate-that-coronavirus-delta-strain-will-be-predominant-in-spain-in-a-month.html%3foutputType=amp

herecomesthsun · 23/06/2021 20:05

@EasterIssland

Well, it is sensible to keep a wary eye on how the numbers of seriously ill people with covid are mounting up. We know pretty well now that with exponential growth we can quickly go from very low numbers to surprisingly high numbers.

I am quite interested in the rate of increase of hospitalisations (and deaths) because these figures indicate where the trend is going.

It wasn't the Guardian providing their own niche interpretation of the ventilation figures, they were reporting Saffron Cordery, the deputy CEO of NHS Providers (an organisation which has all NHS membership Trusts in voluntary membership and is led by them). She was basically saying that the NHS is very concerned about the rise in serious Covid cases. I would be inclined to take that quite seriously.

If the increases in case figures aren't going to be linked to more serious illness and death, then you wouldn't expect very much rise in hospitalisations. You also wouldn't necessarily expect the number of covid patients being allocated mechanical ventilation beds (if we express it like that) to be a higher proportion of the overall hospitalisation figures than at the peak.

Of course, we can't altogether predict how things will pan out, but you would hope that if vaccines have paved the way for covid to be experienced as a largely innocuous illness, then the number of hospitalisations might be low and the number of critically ill covid patients would be relatively lower.

Waiting here for more figures with thoughtful interest.