What is going on in Bolton?

[Cloudsurfing]

Over 300/100,000 rate now, and still rising. This surely can't just be the Indian variant can it? Nowhere else seems to be this high and 86 counties now have the variant. Will the government do a local lockdown? surely they can't let people meet inside when cases are so high there?

My thoughts are we know cases lag 3 weeks between hospitalisation and deaths.
We know the old covid original edition and Kent meant groups 1 to 9 were hospitalised.
What we don't know is effects of Indian varient.
Maybe has longer quarantine /incubation period .
Maybe it affects younger people.

We don't know really do we.
Because of life expectancy in India, theur healthcare system or lack of it.
We don't know what effect this variennt will have.
We acting like all varients are the same.

I have really uneasy feeling.
May 17th unlock shouldn't have happened.
If Indian varient more transmissible than Kent then it could get bad in half the time.

[quote Bluntness100]I have seen the numbers, I check them daily. They have plateaued.

coronavirus.data.gov.uk/[/quote]
They have not. 280 new cases reported today, Monday's specimen date total is 248. Last week there were 100-150 cases a day.

X2boys

Yes I wasn’t dismissing underlying issues Just pointing out that the majority will have been vaccinated
To those going on about cases and doubling etc - It’s been made clear at every press conference that it’s hospitalisation and deaths that will influence measures

Not cases!

And that ‘we will reach a point where there’s an acceptable level of deaths’

Currently nhs is fine and with so many of the at risk groups vaccinated there’s hardly any risk of nhs being overwhelmes so cases could go 50x and we may not lockdown ever again

Check out this chart from tonight’s men.
Cases far higher in primary school children than any other age group and the highest at any point in the pandemic.

@Frazzled2207

Check out this chart from tonight’s men. Cases far higher in primary school children than any other age group and the highest at any point in the pandemic.

But issue we have is bit more complex We never consistently tested primary age children or even seniors before xmas. I'm sure they were highly infected last year.. But we just dident know it as we were not testing unless they had main 3 symptoms which lots kids dident present. Only now with lateral flow testing , wider pcr testing and now surge testing that its becoming more apparent.

We don't know what hospital cases be like in 3 weeks time at the moment they appear be manageable.

@3asAbird we don't lateral flow test primary children.

We're not routinely lateral flow testing primary pupils now either

No but where i am lots families are doing lateral flow tests for primary age kids as you can pick free tests up at chemists..
All primary staff should be doing lateral flow still.
So in Bolton some primary kids especially senior siblings may tests or more recently i suspect surgery testing all age groups shown the scale of primary transmission.

The only way they got these stats is pcr testing so

1. postive lateral flow follow up pcr test
2. child displays symptoms so pcr test
3. member of household tested postive that would make me test everyone. 4)most Likley surge testing which is pcr as they tested specific postcodes including kids.

@3asAbird

No but where i am lots families are doing lateral flow tests for primary age kids as you can pick free tests up at chemists.. All primary staff should be doing lateral flow still. So in Bolton some primary kids especially senior siblings may tests or more recently i suspect surgery testing all age groups shown the scale of primary transmission.

Quite. Everyone I know with KS2 DC and some KS1 are doing lateral flow tests. Some have only recently started as we're a hotspot.