Will UK govt covid strategy stop another wave?

[CarrieAntoinette]

According to the last Warwick University modelling I've seen, numbers are due to start ticking upwards soon. (Graph below)

Do you think the current government covid strategy will prevent another wave like the last two?

And if so, how?

(My view is that there'll be a honeymoon period where it all looks ok for a bit, and then it will kick off again, much like it has before.)

Wonder why they didn't say where the four who've died from the Indian variant were? Assuming it's not Bolton as I think they would've said if it had been there?

I imagine it's a privacy thing, if it's very few people they can easily be identified.

Maybe. It's a bit odd though. The other day we were told 18 people in Bolton were in hospital with it. That's a low enough figure to be indentifying too

Would it be identifying? They're not the only ones dying of Covid. Just that they had the Indian variant.

The common cold presumably has varieties that are more infectious than covid as each time my kids go back to school I have been catching them. Though flu hasn't been able to circulate as usual.

Is it not quite possible if not likely covid will just get more and more transmissible up to normal common cold levels.

Thank god for the vaccines.

Op did you know this is the coldest May in 20 years. Fucking Boris! So incompetent blah, blah, blah.

AlMummy yes it's been here since February.

Lots of concern around what's going on in Bolton, but it's worth noting that there are only 18 people in hospital with Covid there, and only one has been fully vaccinated, and they were already "quite frail" . The rest are vulnerable people who have not been vaccinated.

The response of getting out there and getting more jabs into arms for those who want it is entirely proportional and there is no evidence at this stage that this variant evades the vaccine.

Is that yay or nay to

Do you think the current government covid strategy will prevent another wave like the last two?

@blueangel19?

Shall we have a vote?

Is anyone prepared to stick their neck out and declare their confidence in the government's covid strategy to prevent another wave?

Or are you all out getting as much in as you can before the next lockdown?

I vote no.

The essential basics of fighting pandemics are border controls and quarantine, and test trace and isolate.

And the UK's are still a farce.

So

(whilst it might look ok for a little while to those who don't remember that it looked ok for a while the last two times too, and who are operating under a ton of illogical false assumptions about the vaccines)

I'm wondering when the irreversible will be reversed, whether the three weddings we've got this summer will go ahead, and how long before the government let the next "even worse than the last" variant in and give it a few weeks to spread all over the country before they do anything.

(And don't forget the South African variant is still here - and still growing steadily during lockdown.)