Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 6th April 2021

[boys3]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control) rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

Ah, that makes sense, thanks. Be interesting to know if that RoI system is thought to have curbed transmission, have they always had that?

@Boph
I understand why they want healthy, young ppl in trials. Cautious.
What I don't understand is, that after having 40m ppl have the jab why isn't someone doing meta analysis? The only clinical trial I found has started in Italy and even though they start off from the meta analysis, they follow up IBD patients. But first results are said to be 9+months from now....

In general I find it weird that we have so much data on vaccinated/non-vaccinated people and we have powerful and easy to use BI tools (in general) and yet simple queries don't seem to be done. Gdpr and lack of funding is really screwing us over. in general.
Yes, I know that eg Tableau is freaking costly, but they have spent so much more in vanity/stupid things.....

I am sure that any large scale, non-scientific meta analysis would result in hundreds on potential correlations/causation that will be false, but have a small team of smes to evaluate and spot which to look into. It's not that hard.

And guys, please don't say that there are probably ppl looking at it in the background, blabla... during the past year it shows that they aren't.

ps.: good to hear that you had no adverse side effects + some immunity! :) Could you come back from time to time to update what your monthly tests are showing?

I haven’t closely followed it, but it seems they (ROI) were doing close contact testing until testing became overwhelmed in December, and resumed it late Jan and since Feb have been doing day 0 testing and “early release” for a negative test on day 10 of isolation. I know they had very high cases/100K at a point (possibly highest in Europe for a period), but their lockdown seems to have got cases right down now to a level broadly similar to NI

www.irishtimes.com/news/health/covid-19-changes-to-close-contact-testing-may-shorten-personal-restriction-period-1.4481113%3fmode=amp

Reading testing of close contacts in NI, I imagine with pcr testing now coming down a bit (and hopefully will come down more with the summer approaching) it would make sense to not waste the excess lab capacity if there is any. Interesting to see if this happens in rest of UK.

btw, if anyone is interested, here are the EU initiatives and projects

ec.europa.eu/info/research-and-innovation/research-area/health-research-and-innovation/coronavirus-research-and-innovation_en

@Frazzled2207

Reading testing of close contacts in NI, I imagine with pcr testing now coming down a bit (and hopefully will come down more with the summer approaching) it would make sense to not waste the excess lab capacity if there is any. Interesting to see if this happens in rest of UK.

I think the plan might be more to scale back lab capacity. DS's lab is closing at the end if this month. It's one of the smaller Covid testing labs though - I'm not sure whether they're closing any of the larger labs.

@Firefliess
fair enough. Let's hope they have the capability to ramp back up though if needed!

I don't think they're reducing capacity, just moving it to the new government labs: www.gov.uk/government/news/two-new-megalabs-to-open-in-2021-to-transform-the-uks-diagnostic-facilities. They also add the rapid genome testing capability I believe.

Leamington spa jobs look to.be starting on 1st May or asap.

I haven't looked at The Economist excess deaths for a while now. It's quite shocking; I expected Mexico at 3210 per million, but Peru is now on 4120 per million. That's over 1 in every 250 people already dead and they're still being hammered.
www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-deaths-tracker?gclid=Cj0KCQjw6-SDBhCMARIsAGbI7UgidBl0DKWaqhoaS6gf-AMnSIGTS-X57Y_ufDlJcAWiY6g4iQM9Jp8aAsbnEALw_wcB&gclsrc=aw.ds

Excuse the Daily Mail article, but it’s an important point

www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9478203/Coronavirus-Just-half-carers-vaccinated-London-borough-South-Africa-variant-outbreak.html?fbclid=IwAR02siK0NdUUXUyio1_UW701tcqOOB_sHAgYvB0psDSJQJElBYkt7aZGLbM

2,596 positives/ 34 deaths

[quote JanFebAnyMonth]Excuse the Daily Mail article, but it’s an important point

www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9478203/Coronavirus-Just-half-carers-vaccinated-London-borough-South-Africa-variant-outbreak.html?fbclid=IwAR02siK0NdUUXUyio1_UW701tcqOOB_sHAgYvB0psDSJQJElBYkt7aZGLbM[/quote]
Pretty depressing

Thinking about it, it’s the same kind of issue as that of the need to vaccinate the whole world - we’re not “safe” until everyone’s safe.

preventcovidu.org/the-study/

The Economist have updated their excess deaths tracker: www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-deaths-tracker

So do we think Britain is over-recording covid-19 deaths compared to other countries, possibly due to simply more testing especially every care home having regular tests where deaths are likely anyway? Or maybe we've seen a bigger reduction from other causes - the air pollution break helped more in our shitty cities?

It's also interesting why only some countries see a reduction in deaths during the parts where the virus is waning, it's obviously pronounced here and in Belgium, but other countries seem not to, even areas where the restrictions etc. seem similar - you'd've thought New York and London would be reasonably similar for example.

I think it's more likely than other countries under record deaths, by considerable amounts in some cases. We had a dire shortage of testing capacity right at the start in the UK, but the last 10 months they've been readily available so very unlikely that people would die from Covid without being tested. That's not the case everywhere. Also, some countries have seen their health systems more seriously overrun, or don't have a welfare system to support those who lose their jobs, meaning more deaths from other causes than in the UK. We have probably saved some lives from decrease in air pollution but we weren't a particularly polluted county to start with, not compared with cities in India, or much of South America.

If deaths are correctly recorded then the number of covid deaths should logically exceed excess deaths, because frail people die of something and that something now includes covid. Lockdown reduces deaths from common other causes including to a traffic accidents, workplace injuries and other accidents; the additional deaths from delayed treatment are harder to identify but do exist and will be higher over another year or two best case. I don't really understand why excess deaths haven't dropped in some countries, but perhaps they just haven't had as.much lockdown as the UK.

I won't say exactly where but my friend from a country in the middle East but who lives in UK said that in her home country they will do what they can to keep covid OFF the death certificate where possible. Here it seems not like that!

It's also worth being aware that the UK already had the third wave Dec-Feb; even if Sage don't call it that because it started during second wave, the Kent variant has rinsed through exposed parts of the population. Many other countries are only just getting that wave of Kent variant along with varying amounts of SA, Brazil, California, Breton and India variants; all at the least more transmissible than the earlier variants. This means the UK has logged a proportion of recent deaths that are all to come for European and other countries. Vaccination will also have an impact going forward, hopefully many countries will start to see case and death reductions as the vaccinated percentage rise.

I don't mean "being aware", obviously we're all aware, I mean taking into account when looking at the proportion of deaths right now.

@Keepgoing88

I won't say exactly where but my friend from a country in the middle East but who lives in UK said that in her home country they will do what they can to keep covid OFF the death certificate where possible. Here it seems not like that!

I think that may be an important point - dying from a contagious disease is highly stigmatized in many countries. And with old people it would often be the case that there'd be another alternative health issue that you could legitimately say was also the cause, saving the family the embarrasment. In the UK it's not really stigmatized and families early on were in the press appealing to have Covid put on death certificates. It's somehow seen as a more tragic death than other things, and not something you'd hide in this country.

2206 cases, 35 deaths
Testing up a bit
119,306 first doses, still much lower than we'd like but including this thread's @PatriciaHolmes.
485,421 second doses, much healthier, over 9.5m now.

Some useful data here on the India variant:
outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=B.1.617&loc=IND&loc=GBR&loc=USA&selected=GBR