Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 17th March

[boys3]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics Attendance explore-education-statistics. service.gov.uk/find-statistics/attendance-in-education-and-early-years-settings-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-outbreak
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths Dashboard app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZGYxNjYzNmUtOTlmZS00ODAxLWE1YTEtMjA0NjZhMzlmN2JmIiwidCI6IjljOWEzMGRlLWQ4ZDctNGFhNC05NjAwLTRiZTc2MjVmZjZjNSIsImMiOjh9
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe Uk data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK read https_www.ecdc.europa.eu/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ecdc.europa.eu%2Fen%2Fcases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=gbr&areas=fra&areas=esp&areas=ita&areas=deu&areas=swe&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&byDate=1&cumulative=1&logScale=1&per100K=1&values=deaths
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

@TheSunIsStillShining - I think it might have been me that you were thinking of. I have IBD and had the AZ vaccine as a CEV person back in Feb. I’m in the research study for antibodies, they take my blood for it every time I I go for an infusion, but as with all big studies I don’t have any idea what my own results are, it’s just for the greater good of scientific knowledge

Bottom line is, have the vaccine if you can! There’s a useful video on the CCUK website about it, but every scientist and doc I’ve spoken to has said, even if the response is worse than the baseline population, any protection is better than no vaccine!!

@TheDinosaurTrain
Thanks for the info!!
do you know when the study will have any results/publication? Could you ask pls?
My dilemma really stems from the fact that I can keep being careful and can be cooped up for a bit more. (gone stir crazy, but I can deal with it.) So if someone actually needs it, it would be of better use (as they would probably/might have a better immune response).
If I could say give it to Ms. x in my son's school I'd do it.

Sorry for the wrong %.. I read it yesterday in the guardian (I know shame on me to rely on a journalist, should know better.)

Yes the GP hub running the vaccines for parents have announced they have doses for second jabs arriving soon. (Pfizer)

BBC tell me that the Vaccines Minister is in the Telegraph saying that September will see booster jabs offered to over 70s, ECV and HCP. 8 vaccines will be ready by then apparently.

Yes that's interesting re booster jabs. What I don't understand though is why they don't seem to be counting how many of the people who test positive for any of the new variants are at least two weeks post vaccine. If it's considerably more common than it is amongst people testing positive for the Kent strain to be vaccinated, then we know we have a problem. Surely they must be collecting this data? Why wouldn't it be published?

@Firefliess

Yes that's interesting re booster jabs. What I don't understand though is why they don't seem to be counting how many of the people who test positive for any of the new variants are at least two weeks post vaccine. If it's considerably more common than it is amongst people testing positive for the Kent strain to be vaccinated, then we know we have a problem. Surely they must be collecting this data? Why wouldn't it be published?

In the UK there have been really very few of these additional problematic variants, well under 1000: www.gov.uk/government/publications/covid-19-variants-genomically-confirmed-case-numbers/variants-distribution-of-cases-data. From a normal distribution this means very few will have been vaccinated or have a confirmed previous infection. Even the old strains have had some rejections where immunity waned. So I would think that so far there simply aren't the numbers.

As for tracking from Brazil, South Africa, France etc - no idea why there isn't more information. Maybe I haven't searched hard enough, so I'll try again.

When I mistakenly ended up registering my school LFT the other day rather than recording the net result, I'm sure there was a question about whether I'd been vaccinated, so I think they are gathering that data now.

There is this from Brazil, but numbers are so very small that I don't think their 7% reinfection means much: www.imperial.ac.uk/news/217093/brazil-cases-shed-more-light-covid-19/. The Manaus over-statement of number of cases seems to mean most articles are a confused mess mixing up different info.

Previous estimates were about 1% can get reinfected a few months later; some transmit asymptomatically and other s get unwell: www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-00071-6.

Recent months news has: One case of SA variant reinfection in France, one case of SA variant reinfection in Brazil (yes, SA in Brazil!), one in Germany (old man, old infection, not a new variant), 5 total in the USA of which 2 were the California variant in January...

It may still be a small percentage, even if a little higher, but with large surges in infections it's easy for those small percentages to become a noticeable number of people. The percentage whose reinfection leads to them transmitting more, that is likely to be much higher. This is where we need sniffable vaccines to ensure the body's response is primed in the airways! (And something to kill it in the airways too.)

This is where we need sniffable vaccines to ensure the body's response is primed in the airways! (And something to kill it in the airways too.)

Really going to need this for NZ etc. If it's not going to be accepted as a circulating coronavirus that is pretty harmless due to vaccines preventing serious illness. With the current vaccines simply nowhere near effective enough to stop spread, even if they reduce transmission. Increased immunity from the larger numbers who've had it might be enough in much of the world, but not NZ/AUS.

Are there any such candidates about?

Maybe this: www.asph.nhs.uk/latest-news/2610-covid-busting-nasal-spray-begins-uk-trials

Thanks - and nitrous oxide based, clearly targeted at the "youth"!

Haha, I hadn't noticed that. Just deliver it in those little metal cylinders to nightclubs if youth take-up is low.

Thank you for this thread - hope nobody minds me joining. I've been following the data threads for a while but haven't posted before.

I thought the news of the Pfizer trials to halt the development of Covid was really promising, but I haven't seen much mention of this on many news sites. I wondered if any one knew more about it. Apologies if this has already been mentioned.

www.independent.co.uk/news/health/pfizer-trials-oral-pill-covid-b1821549.html

@Mrex Yes take the point that the numbers infected with the new variants are quite low currently. But looking at vaccination rates, we'd done almost a quarter of the UK population (1 dose) by mid February, so protected by the start of March. If we have 100 people infected with the SA variant during March, and the vaccine gives no protection at all against this strain, we'd expect at least a quarter of the infections to be in people who were 2+weeks post vaccination, so 25 of the 100 infections. Obviously it's a little more complex than that if the variants are mainly found in quarantining people who've come from high risk counties (and not very likely to have been vaccinated), or in certain areas or social groups. And you'd need higher numbers of infections to be able to say accurately exactly how much protection the vaccines give (and each vaccine may be different if course...) But it looks to me as if some indication ought to be available pretty soon. I'm quite encouraged to read able the specific known cases of reinfection - it's not medical journal worthy if it's commonplace.

[quote Wainwriter]Thank you for this thread - hope nobody minds me joining. I've been following the data threads for a while but haven't posted before.

I thought the news of the Pfizer trials to halt the development of Covid was really promising, but I haven't seen much mention of this on many news sites. I wondered if any one knew more about it. Apologies if this has already been mentioned.

www.independent.co.uk/news/health/pfizer-trials-oral-pill-covid-b1821549.html[/quote]
Looks interesting. Need to wait for the results of the trial I guess. Trialling something that you only give to people who already have Covid is a lot faster than trials on anything preventative (like vaccines or the nasal spray thing someone's just mentioned) of course, because you don't have to give it to huge numbers and then wait around for them to catch Covid or not. So they should get good clear results quite quickly - April it says. If it works, the next question would be how quickly and cheaply it could be produced at scale.

So we all get vaccinated, snort nitrous oxide in the way into any building or crowded public space, get a test if we're poorly and pop a pill if we're told it's covid. Sorted!

@MRex

So we all get vaccinated, snort nitrous oxide in the way into any building or crowded public space, get a test if we're poorly and pop a pill if we're told it's covid. Sorted!

Do you think it would work in gas form? I hear it's much more fun

Based on the most recent detailed NHS weekly vaccinations summary file and using the NIMS population estimates percentage vaccinated by age band for each council in England.

Broken down by region and sorted by highest percentage of all aged 50+ vaccinated, with the final column showing relative placement as compared with all 314 Councils for which data is provided.

Starting with North West and North East

South East

London

East Midlands

East of England

South West

West Midlands + Yorkshire & Humber