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Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 9th Feb

999 replies

NoGoodPunsLeft · 09/02/2021 07:19

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics Attendance explore-education-statistics. service.gov.uk/find-statistics/attendance-in-education-and-early-years-settings-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-outbreak
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths Dashboard app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZGYxNjYzNmUtOTlmZS00ODAxLWE1YTEtMjA0NjZhMzlmN2JmIiwidCI6IjljOWEzMGRlLWQ4ZDctNGFhNC05NjAwLTRiZTc2MjVmZjZjNSIsImMiOjh9
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe Uk data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK read https_www.ecdc.europa.eu/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ecdc.europa.eu%2Fen%2Fcases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=gbr&areas=fra&areas=esp&areas=ita&areas=deu&areas=swe&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&byDate=1&cumulative=1&logScale=1&per100K=1&values=deaths
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

OP posts:
Thread gallery
55
borntobequiet · 13/02/2021 10:59

I had my first jab yesterday and got another invitation text today. I wondered if it might offer a booster appointment but the date available is only 12 days from the initial one so I assume it’s a mistake.

oneglassandpuzzled · 13/02/2021 11:07

Interestingly our surgery is getting more Pfizer from the week after next. One more AZ clinic this coming Friday in meantime.

Quarantino · 13/02/2021 11:26

[quote MRex]Percentage over 70s who've had the first dose from the BBC, great stats right across England but NI, Scotland and Wales lagging a bit:
ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/976/cpsprodpb/15B32/production/_116928888_vaccine_doses_eng_over7011feb-nc-1.png[/quote]
Not sure if it's been discussed already but this twitter thread
twitter.com/Davewwest/status/1360099727845560323?s=19

points out that using the ONS 2019 population figures as a denominator can lead to 102% of certain demographics having been vaccinated... so they are likely to be out by a small amount! Thread points out that using GP registration numbers would have different issues.
Not really a big deal, just thought it was interesting when we're focusing on the %s. I've always wondered about using the population data, and how that's affected by disproportionately large numbers of older people dying in the past year.

MRex · 13/02/2021 11:29

I thought the percentage comes from NIMS, which is populated with hopefully non-dead people. The "extras" are residents who go to vaccination sites in a different area, no?

Quarantino · 13/02/2021 12:13

The graph in the picture says 'estimates from ONS and NRS' for Eng and Scot, Wales are from Welsh Immunisation System.
Looking at the twitter thread, there is a link to the data (warning - this takes you directly to an Excel download
t.co/DEIIHF0qYe?amp=1 )

which is NIMS data but the reference is:
The estimated populations given are provided for reference and based on the latest available ONS populations as published at: www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationestimates/datasets/lowersuperoutputareamidyearpopulationestimates
(i.e. June 2019)

MRex · 13/02/2021 14:39

Sorry, I'm not reading properly. Here is the sheet it's come from, regional percentages by age band. Also good to see care homes 93.2% (somehow minus any who had covid in the last 28 days):
www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/

ancientgran · 13/02/2021 16:01

Also minus any homes that have been missed.

Quarantino · 13/02/2021 16:14

13,308 / 621
another ~0.5m vaccines

ancientgran · 13/02/2021 16:21

Big fat lovely zero for new cases in South Hams today. Lots of yellow as well.

JanFebAnyMonth · 13/02/2021 16:43

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/feb/13/new-do-not-resuscitate-orders-imposed-on-covid-19-patients-with-learning-difficulties?CMP=fbgu&utmmmedium=Social&utmsource=Facebook&fbclid=IwAR08TsODm-E0mJrSI-tlJ-WjdVLWJlxC3MTIKKbWNOIZHynCmf4zePyFo8E#Echobox=1613225062

Truelymadlydeeplysomeonesmum · 13/02/2021 16:54

This isn't just a covid thing. My friend has a daughter with a life limiting illness and who is severely disabled. Every time she gets a chest infection or is very unwell in hospital they deal with this.

A member of the family have to stay with her all the time. Else new doctor will come on shift and try to mark up as do not resuscitate. Bloody frightening but what families of disabled people go through all the time with hospital care.

pinkpip100 · 13/02/2021 17:38

@JanFebAnyMonth

This is so worrying. It was called out during the first wave, I can't believe it is still happening.
Monkeytennis97 · 13/02/2021 17:56

@pinkpip100 as the mother of a severely learning disabled son this makes me feel sick.

pinkpip100 · 13/02/2021 18:00

@pinkpip100 as the mother of a severely learning disabled son this makes me feel sick.

Same here @Monkeytennis97

ancientgran · 13/02/2021 18:12

I just don't understand it, I have LPA for elderly relative, 88 with very advanced dementia, she has no quality of life, her last enjoyable thing in life was food and that has gone now and I was talked through the reasons for DNA and that it would be unlikely to be successful and asked if I would agree. Not sure what they'd have said if I'd said no but how can they just put them on young people with a learning disability when I needed to agree for someone who is very much end of life. It must be a nightmare for parents worrying about this.

JanFebAnyMonth · 13/02/2021 18:21

I'm sorry monkey and pink.

Doomsdayiscoming · 13/02/2021 20:20

Question: for “patients in hospital” data on gov website.

Is that people being treated for covid specifically, or those that have tested positive in hospital (but may have a broken leg or something)?

Firefliess · 13/02/2021 20:41

@Doomsdayiscoming

Question: for “patients in hospital” data on gov website.

Is that people being treated for covid specifically, or those that have tested positive in hospital (but may have a broken leg or something)?

Both.
Quarantino · 13/02/2021 23:17

Is there any 'reasoning' published for the DNRs? It sounds crazy! Sorry for anyone having to deal with this.

mrshoho · 14/02/2021 07:20

[quote CoffeeandCroissant]An updated NERVTAG paper on the severity of the “Kent” variant has been published.
www.gov.uk/government/publications/nervtag-update-note-on-b117-severity-11-february-2021?utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=govuk-notifications&utm_source=b6297c0b-901b-4db7-9b7e-9d22914d25c3&utm_content=immediately

It says additional analyses “strengthen the earlier finding of increased severity”.

It is now considered “likely” as opposed to a “realistic possibility”.

For anyone concerned by reading this, I would say it’s important to note the “limitations” section in this paper.

Hospital outcomes appear to be no different – and all but two analyses are based on Pillar 2 (community) data.

There is still quite a lot of uncertainty.

via mobile.twitter.com/fact_covid/status/1360223733789712386[/quote]
Even with the limitations I do find these outcomes concerning. Has the government acknowledged the findings? So far I've only ever heard them say that the new variant does not appear to cause higher mortality or severity of illness but this report says the opposite.

Doomsdayiscoming · 14/02/2021 07:51

@Firefliess

Both?

This is a major revelation to me. So the number of people in hospital with covid is not comparable to Wave 1 when testing was limited?

So we probably already have far less in hospital than Wave 1. And in Wave 1 it probably was a peak way higher than 20k???

Firefliess · 14/02/2021 08:17

@Doomaday i think the numbers in hospital with Covid are broadly comparable to the first wave. Firstly because the large majority of people in hospital with Covid are there because they're receiving treatment for it. At my local hospital they recently got to more than half of available beds being Covid patients - the rate of Covid in the general population is only around 1%, so they're not likely to be admitting that high a proportion of people with broken legs who happen to have Covid. But secondly, testing all hospital patients on admission was something we did start doing pretty early on, well before mass testing was rolled out to other people.

Doomsdayiscoming · 14/02/2021 08:23

[quote Firefliess]**@Doomaday* i think the numbers in hospital with Covid are broadly comparable to the first wave. Firstly because the large majority of people in hospital with Covid are* there because they're receiving treatment for it. At my local hospital they recently got to more than half of available beds being Covid patients - the rate of Covid in the general population is only around 1%, so they're not likely to be admitting that high a proportion of people with broken legs who happen to have Covid. But secondly, testing all hospital patients on admission was something we did start doing pretty early on, well before mass testing was rolled out to other people. [/quote]
Yeah you are right.

Did we start that test on admission by July?

But my thinking is that there might be more routine testing, picking up people who are in hospital, and caught covid there (because I assume you are much more likely to in a hospital), and this is inflating the numbers. As these people aren’t particularly unwell, and get discharged once their primary ailment is fixed, thus one more off the total.

I am not covid denying, although it does sound like it. And no doubt those on the front line of the intensive care wards must feel like it isn’t getting any better, but if you step back, perhaps the trajectory is better than most realise?

Just feels like we are going to be sub 10k in hospital by March 8th.

JanFebAnyMonth · 14/02/2021 08:32

Anyone know what the end of a headline story I caught on R4 this morning was about a a number of people being infected at a funeral and three subsequently dying? I wondered if it was more research about the Liverpool variant as I think that was what happened there?

ATieLikeRichardGere · 14/02/2021 09:47

@mrshoho they announced their earlier findings that it may have been 30% more deadly at one of the daily briefings I think on the 22nd January and there was lots of news follow up.