Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 28th Jan

[TheSunIsStillShining]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics Attendance explore-education-statistics. service.gov.uk/find-statistics/attendance-in-education-and-early-years-settings-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-outbreak
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths Dashboard app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZGYxNjYzNmUtOTlmZS00ODAxLWE1YTEtMjA0NjZhMzlmN2JmIiwidCI6IjljOWEzMGRlLWQ4ZDctNGFhNC05NjAwLTRiZTc2MjVmZjZjNSIsImMiOjh9
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe Uk data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK read https_www.ecdc.europa.eu/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ecdc.europa.eu%2Fen%2Fcases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=gbr&areas=fra&areas=esp&areas=ita&areas=deu&areas=swe&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&byDate=1&cumulative=1&logScale=1&per100K=1&values=deaths
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

@Cornettoninja
I meant that often previously there have been similar numbers of dark patches, but concentrated in one area.

What has often happened is that it then gradually ripples outwards, so I'm wondering if the dark areas aren't concentrated will that mean it will ripple outwards still or will it work the other way, and help decrease the numbers in those areas.

[quote herecomesthsun]ONS survey out! www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/5february2021[/quote]
ONS survey shows cases starting to fall, but much more slowly than reported cases, or Zoe app data. It doesn't even for with hospital admissions (which started to fall behind ONS said there had been any fall at all in cases) Any ideas why?

I'm reassured about the falling rates, but Trafford Data Lab has this table about Manchester's hospital Covid patients, which is less reassuring. Is this at least slowing down or about to fall, as it looks like numbers are about to exceed the first wave peak?

19,114 cases
1,014 deaths

Cases are almost 10k lower than last Friday, impressive drop.

I'm an avid lurker on these brilliant threads, but I just noticed the most recent data on the dashboard for Healthcare looks very odd:
coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/healthcare?areaType=nation&areaName=England
Do you think this is a mistake because the number of people in hospital seems to have doubled overnight?

Just seen it and am hoping it is an error!

Something has indeed gone odd with the healthcare numbers - HUGE (i mean 20,000 jump!) in people in hospital, and on numbers admitted and on respiration. I suspect something is double counting somewhere...

Also what's happening with the ventilation number today? Over 6,000.

That seems to only have the jump if you look at it by nation. If you look at it from UK only it looks okay. So I'd assume an error.

@MargaretThursday

That seems to only have the jump if you look at it by nation. If you look at it from UK only it looks okay. So I'd assume an error.

Except ventilation is the same for both.

Weird, the mechanical ventilation numbers shows it even more starkly going from 3328 to 6550 (England). I'd assume error....?

Sorry, lots of cross posting!

Ah just seen they've added this "Due to an issue with the processing of healthcare data for England, the most recent figures are incorrect. We are working to fix the issue and will publish corrected figures as soon as possible."

Phew!

@Firefliess I think the daily reported cases have always been a fraction of the real number.

Extrapolating back, if we have been having well over 1000 deaths per day, we probably had 1-200k cases per day 3 or 4 weeks earlier.

Unfortunately, we don't, for understandable reasons, have very good survey data for the period from 18 Dec- 4th Jan.

However, while cases are certainly coming down, they are coming down from a high peak.

Bear in mind that the ONS data is for the week ending 30 Jan, so we are looking at what was happening 1or 2 weeks ago, also.

So is it:

1. Just a data input error
2. More data from the back of the sofa
3. Discovery of a few hospitals they hoped to ignore

Bear in mind that the ONS data is for the week ending 30 Jan, so we are looking at what was happening 1or 2 weeks ago, also

Going from 1/55 to 1/65 implies an R of 0.95 over 3 tranmissions (which I think is reasonable for 2 weeks?) That's higher than estimated for that time by the other data surely?

@InMySpareTime

I'm reassured about the falling rates, but Trafford Data Lab has this table about Manchester's hospital Covid patients, which is less reassuring. Is this at least slowing down or about to fall, as it looks like numbers are about to exceed the first wave peak?

Those figures are only for one hospital in Manchester. I think looking at the Greater Manchester as a whole, they are on their way down (photo attached from latest weekly Andy Burnham conference)

Sorry - that’s barely legible! See bottom of this page
www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/news/greater-manchester-news/live-andy-burnham-press-conference-19761703.amp

Hospital data seems to be fixed.

Updated healthcare data for England.

@InMySpareTime I don't think looking at data from one hospital trust tells you a lot. Patients are admitted to different hospitals depending where there's space, or even moved between hospitals. I'm aware from my friend who works in our local hospital that as soon as they managed to free up some beds by discharging Covid patients, they were asked to fill them up again from an area 50 miles away, under worse pressure. So the data from the hospitals may not always reflect the number of people who are seriously ill in that local area.

Thanks, that's reassuring.

@sirfredfredgeorge

Bear in mind that the ONS data is for the week ending 30 Jan, so we are looking at what was happening 1or 2 weeks ago, also

Going from 1/55 to 1/65 implies an R of 0.95 over 3 tranmissions (which I think is reasonable for 2 weeks?) That's higher than estimated for that time by the other data surely?

I'm not sure how you calculate the R number from that. However, according to the government site here the R number is 0.7 -1.0 currently, so I would imagine that would be within reasonable range of where we were 2 weeks ago.

I remember seeing a plot (?where) of the REACT and ONS survey data over the past couple of months and they seemed to present a fairly consistent picture.

The table of cases in each council in England is updated with today's data release on the www.covidmessenger.com homepage.

Click the county column to sort by county to quickly see the situation across all councils in your county.

Is there anywhere we can see death numbers by date of death? There must be differences in the time taken to report a death from place to place/time to time/different circumstances, so we don't really know when the highest numbers of deaths occurred.