Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread 25

[BigChocFrenzy]

Welcome to thread 25 of the daily updates

Resource links

UK:
Uk dashboard R, deaths, cases, hospitals, tests - by postcode, 4 nations, English regions, LAs
Interactive 7-day rolling cases map click on map or by postcode
UK govt pressers Slides & data
SAGE Table Interventions with impacts and R
Imperial UK weekly tables & extrapolations LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots
School statistics Attendance - Tuesdays
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports
UK testing and NHS England track & trace - Thursdays
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports
ONS England, Wales & NI Infection surveillance report - Fridays
ONS Datasets for surveillance reports
Our World in Data UK test positivity
R estimates & daily growth UK & English regions - Fridays
Modelling real number of UK infections February in first wave

England:
NHS England Hospital activity
NHS England Daily deaths
PHE COVID Clinical Risk Factors Non-respiratory by region, area, district etc
MSAO Map of English cases
Cases Tracker England Local Government
PHE surveillance reports Covid, flu, respiratory diseases - Thursdays
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England

Scotland, Wales, NI:
Scot gov Daily data
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths
NI Dashboard

Miscell:
Zoe Uk data
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK
Worldometer UK page
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment
Local Mobility Reports for countries
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these
📈 📉 📊 👍
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Links added to OP:

• SAGE Table of Interventions with impacts and R
• PHE COVID Clinical Risk Factors by region, area

Links changed

• PHE Covid surveillance is now Covid & flu

It would be strange to have the chief medical officer there for a brexit based announcement I would assume it’s covid

I suspect the briefing will be a Dire Warning. Behave or face another lockdown.

So when we do go into lockdown, in say a week, it will Be All Our Own Fault.

BBC are calling it "coronavirus briefing"

Also I wouldn't be surprised if Manchester is placed in t3 against its will...

@RedToothBrush

Also I wouldn't be surprised if Manchester is placed in t3 against its will...

Me either. It's felt like this for the last day or so. No real movement or discussion.

@PatriciaHolm

I suspect the briefing will be a Dire Warning. Behave or face another lockdown.

So when we do go into lockdown, in say a week, it will Be All Our Own Fault.

This

www.tes.com/news/covid-nine-fold-rise-secondary-student-infections

That ONS study shows asymptomatic spread in primary not likely?

Am I reading it correctly? Do we have an answer (ish) to this particular debate

Thanks for sharing Monkey-up from 0.1 per cent to 0.93 per cent in secondary pupils.

Disappointed it's not going to be the no nonsense Prof Van Tam at the briefing. I secretly have a bit of a science-y pash on for him.

@Piggywaspushed you don’t need to apologize about mentioning schools! And data and evidence do walk hand in hand it doesn’t have to be pure data. I get that it’s quantitatively driven but that doesn’t just mean counting - in fact looking at counting without context is totally useless - and no one should be bullied off any threads for feeling that they can’t mention certain sections! Challenge on evidence based grounds yet. Bullied no.

Interesting so far. Phew no national lockdown.

Definitely a swipe at Burnham then

Yet should read yes.

@MarshaBradyo

Interesting so far. Phew no national lockdown.

He's said precisely fuck all but take a swipe at Manchester.

He said no national lock down. Fine by me!

Can understand Manchester pissed off though. He won’t budge on it.

Johnson is prattling on about instant tests. Operation Moonshot was being trialled in Salford, but its been halted because of a shortage of tests. They instead are being used to aid local testing efforts.

So all this part of what he's saying about these tests is a load of political bollocks to sound good at a time when there is bad news.

some good news numbers down to 15650.

also the tests has gone above 300,000 for the first time.

@MRex I believe from the methodology that prospective participants are written to at a home address. In practical terms anyone could probably sign up if they get contacted via an old address, but anyone who can't decide for themselves by signing the forms is likely to be excluded, as well as anyone who no longer has a separate home address etc. She could definitely sign for herself but she has been in the home for years, the address doesn't sound like a care home so don't know if it is just a mix up based on that, hard to explain exactly but part of the building could be used as a separate private residence but majority is a care home. I know it is a funny address if you try and enter it on one of those automated things where you give the number and postcode and it comes up, well it doesn't if you see what I mean. I must ask the manager if she is still doing it, I can imagine she might get fed up and stop but I suppose that goes for anyone, then again none of my business so I won't.

I'm sure we've trialled many rapid-antigen tests already. There are many available in private clinics and some in NHS settings. It seems like we need to get quicker results to the 300k people who are having them daily at the moment.

Re:Dido Harding appointment - for me this was both nepotism and laziness. There are several prominent, experienced Public Health Directors in regional areas who were asking, asking and asking for test and trace, and contact tracing to be within regional control where there are teams of people full of epidemiology qualified, public health qualified, with very good links to localities... albeit this was weaker than it was 20 years when they appointed PHE... but there were experts already in the job. There were also very experienced Public Health professionals such as Gabriel Scally and others who could have formed an advisory group and easily appointed someone and set up a workable structure. Such a shame.

@RedToothBrush

Johnson is prattling on about instant tests. Operation Moonshot was being trialled in Salford, but its been halted because of a shortage of tests. They instead are being used to aid local testing efforts.

So all this part of what he's saying about these tests is a load of political bollocks to sound good at a time when there is bad news.

Yup. Exactly as I heard it.

@Frazzled2207

some good news numbers down to 15650. also the tests has gone above 300,000 for the first time.

That’s good

Mention of ventilation- that's good.

i do like Patrick Vallance