Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread 17

[BigChocFrenzy]

Welcome to thread 17 of the daily updates

Resource links:

Uk dashboard deaths, cases, hospitals, tests - 4 nations, English regions & LAs
MSAO Map of English cases
Cases Tracker England Local Government
ONS MSAO Map English deaths
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England
Scot gov Daily data
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths
NI Dashboard
UK govt pressers Slides & data
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats
R estimates UK & English regions
PHE Surveillance report infections & watchlists each Thursday
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK
Worldometer UK page
Our World in Data test positivity etc, DIY graphs
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop
Covidly.com world summary & graphs

We welcome factual, data driven, and civil discussions from all contributors 📈 📉 📊 👍

2919 and 14 deaths

That must be today’s I still have 2659 because I haven’t refreshed the page and that is yesterday’s.

yy same here, 14 deaths and 2919 cases, refresh at 16.26

positive tests reported from 2 Hounslow schools and an unknown number in Wandsworth. I imagine there are others but I happened to hear of those.

The government can spend large sums on increasing testing but wouldnt fund a vitamin D study - and if the study reported here was replicated Covid-19 could be reduced to something that would begin to look more like flu.

I think I'd rather take my chances with high dose vitamin D than with a vaccine, the side effects of vitamin D are known.

4 schools in Dorset affected

Just seen someone post 500 schools on another post affected in UK.

there really should be an official tally of schools affected. I know there is in Wales and there might be in Scotland but not in england/uk as far as I know. Which is bad.

@Frazzled2207

there really should be an official tally of schools affected. I know there is in Wales and there might be in Scotland but not in england/uk as far as I know. Which is bad.

I’d be interested in seeing numbers for Scotland too since they have been back longer

Does anyone remember what the numbers were last Thursday?

@blunderbird 1735 cases and 13 deaths

@blunderbird

Does anyone remember what the numbers were last Thursday?

1,735 cases reported last Thursday (from the dashboard).

I heard on news this morning that this is how Belgium got on top of their sharp rise. Max 5 people meeting from and in households.

I know people had asked if we knew what Belgium did.

So let's hope we see the same thing.

I agree there's a good chance this is returning holiday makers but we need people to take it seriously to stop it getting out of control. It just seems that getting a test is so hard and I worry this will affect compliance. People will happily test for symptoms but if after a few days they feel better and couldn't have a test I fear there is a chance they won't isolate longer. But of course that's just hypothesis and not actual data.

@herecomesthsun

4 schools in Dorset affected

Yes I heard that today. Because I work in a school we are very quickly aware of these things! I'm adjoining county too so even more aware!

alreadytaken Morrisons do 25mg Vit D for £3 for 90. There's loads in my local store.

Still no tests.
That's a big jump in numbers in a week and it's consistently up and with lacking testing too.
The number of affected schools is very worrying and I can only see it getting worse as they've only been back a week.
I feel very pessimistic today and feel like shit generally so being upbeat is not an option.

Vit D is cheap as chips and the NHS has advised us all to take it for years from Oct-April....

@MarshaBradyo not Scotland, but NI schools numbers (published yesterday). NI high schools typically start to go back from around 24 August dependent on year groups, with Primary schools starting to go back around 1 September. www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-54088398

Since we started with higher infection levels (generally speaking) in England than in Scotland, wouldn't this translate into more closures earlier on?

3 kids off in my older DD's class today - all have sore throats. They've been back for 1 week.

She went back for a month in June/July. They did proper social distancing and the class was half the size. No-one got ill at all. I know it's anecdata but still....

pussycat - I have enough to last me and OH until next April, I believe in being prepared :). Still going to get what sun is available this month but when I go out the sun finds a cloud to hide behind.

Just like to point out that although,hopefully, a vaccine would protect you, a big part of them is reducing transmission so you don’t infect anyone else.

If the general opinion is similar to being voiced here and avoiding vaccines then we don’t stand a chance against Covid.

Sunderland apparently has the second highest case rate after Bolton at the moment.

Does anyone have a link for the schools info please? I can't see anything on the bbc, guardian or MEN at last look. The main news seem to be quite quiet on this whereas the local news is being very open about schools.

@IloveJKRowling

Since we started with higher infection levels (generally speaking) in England than in Scotland, wouldn't this translate into more closures earlier on?

3 kids off in my older DD's class today - all have sore throats. They've been back for 1 week.

She went back for a month in June/July. They did proper social distancing and the class was half the size. No-one got ill at all. I know it's anecdata but still....

JK yes absolutely on higher infection levels but SD not as much atm. Too early.

We are testing more and there’s more cases. If half of each school had gone back it would be roughly half the closures due to one or more case coming in.

The effect of SD is in the following weeks as we see whether it’s spreading in schools.

So I’m interested in whether it’s rising in Scotland.

Thanks Lurker will have a look, hopefully it has trend info

Latest numbers for greater Manchester