Meet the Other Phone. Flexible and made to last.

Meet the Other Phone.
Flexible and made to last.

Buy now

Please or to access all these features

Covid

Mumsnet doesn't verify the qualifications of users. If you have medical concerns, please consult a healthcare professional.

Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread 15

999 replies

BigChocFrenzy · 13/08/2020 21:37

Welcome to thread 15 of the daily updates

Resource links:

Uk dashboard deaths, cases, hospitals, tests - 4 nations, LAs, English regions
Slides & data UK govt pressers
UK added daily by PHE & DHSC
PHE Surveillance report infections & watchlists every Thursday with sep. infographic
ONS England infection surveillance report
ONS UK death stats each Tuesday
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK
Daily ECDC country detail UK
Worldometer UK page
Plot FT graphs compare countries deaths, cases, raw / million pop
Covidly.com world summary & graphs
Plot COVID Graphs Our World in Data test positivity etc

We welcome factual, data driven, and civil discussions from all contributors 📈 📉 📊 👍

OP posts:
Thread gallery
104
Cobblersgal1 · 16/08/2020 13:05

Nationwide has its own on-site restaurant. No shops/cafes in area , it’s an industrial estate.

boys3 · 16/08/2020 14:06

This is was the Northampton map published as part of the last PHE surveillance report, so very unlikely to reflect the couple of hundred cases added at the end of last week.

Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread 15
boys3 · 16/08/2020 14:09

is / was ????? - it is the one published last Friday, and it has I would expect been overtaken by the most recent events so likely to look different again when PHE publish the latest detailed level maps next Friday

Reastie · 16/08/2020 16:07

What are your thoughts on the video posted in another thread about a new study suggesting it’s airborne and I believe this is the research paper ?

BigChocFrenzy · 16/08/2020 17:04

@Reastie

What are your thoughts on the video posted in another thread about a new study suggesting it’s airborne and I believe this is the research paper ?
... Looks like it may be a risk in some cirumstances, especially indoors However, main spread is still when people are within 1.5 m

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/08/03/fauci-says-theres-a-degree-the-coronavirus-is-spreading-through-air-particles.html

Fauci, during the interview with JAMA,

said it has become “much clearer” that someone is likely at greater risk if they’re in an indoor space where there’s less air circulation
and “any degree of aerosolization.”

Some experts who have studied aerosolization have indicated there are larger particles discharged when someone coughs or sneezes that might float in the air longer than previously thought

“We need to pay a little bit more attention now to the recirculation of air indoors,
which tells you that mask-wearing indoors when you’re in a situation like that is something that is as important as wearing masks when you’re outside dealing with individuals who you don’t know where they came from or who they are,”

https://www.smithsonianmag.com/science-nature/what-scientists-know-about-airborne-transmission-new-coronavirus-180975547/

Over the past few months, an increasing number of scientists, clinicians, and engineers have called for greater recognition that
aerosols, in addition to larger droplets can transmit the novel coronavirus that causes COVID-19.

While the difference is literally miniscule, acknowledging this route of transmission would result in significant changes in how the public can bring an end to the global pandemic.
In the near term, it would inform social distancing and mask wearing recommendations from local governments,
and in the long term, engineers and architects will need to rethink ventilation and air filtration in the design of everything from schools to cruise ships

OP posts:
Gladiffer · 16/08/2020 17:05

I was just coming here to say about this video. It's really worrying 😕

alreadytaken · 16/08/2020 17:18

cobblersgal1 that's good news, less likely to spread to Nationwide staff then. How big is their car park - the fewer people on buses with Greencore staff the better.

West London was hit hard early on but Croydon has had a higher rate of infection overall. I've been looking at West London and Croydon as places that had early high levels of infection and that may have slower infection rates now.

Watford and Slough have both picked up a few cases recently, nothing dramatic.

alreadytaken · 16/08/2020 17:23

UVC light might possibly be an answer for air conditioning systems but it's harmful to humans so I wouldnt want to be servicing it if it was faulty.

sunseekin · 16/08/2020 18:04

Is this real? 2569 cases in the uk reported today?

www.google.co.uk/search?q=uk+coronavirus+cases&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&hl=en-gb&client=safari

Sunshinegirl82 · 16/08/2020 18:08

Dashboard was showing 1,040 when I looked.

daisybrown37 · 16/08/2020 18:09

[quote sunseekin]Is this real? 2569 cases in the uk reported today?

www.google.co.uk/search?q=uk+coronavirus+cases&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&hl=en-gb&client=safari[/quote]
1040 on the Gov website.

daisybrown37 · 16/08/2020 18:10

[quote sunseekin]Is this real? 2569 cases in the uk reported today?

www.google.co.uk/search?q=uk+coronavirus+cases&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&hl=en-gb&client=safari[/quote]
Was that from when they missed a day due to technical issues and released 2 days at once?

Cobblersgal1 · 16/08/2020 18:11

Nationwide has a massive airport-like car park. Greencore staff seem to walk or bus. The factory had been there decades under different names and supplied M&S. There is a large number of Eastern European staff and many live together in certain areas of the town.

PatriciaHolm · 16/08/2020 18:12

[quote sunseekin]Is this real? 2569 cases in the uk reported today?

www.google.co.uk/search?q=uk+coronavirus+cases&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&hl=en-gb&client=safari[/quote]
Not at all, 1040 today. Look at the official dashboard -
coronavirus.data.gov.uk/cases

That google graph appears to have added 2 days together from when the dashboard wasn't updated a couple of days ago. So it's 2 days old and wrong!

MRex · 16/08/2020 18:37

Really unusual for France to report on a Sunday, is this a permanent change or just because of rising figures?

sunseekin · 16/08/2020 18:43

@PatriciaHolm oh phew, thank you!

Reastie · 16/08/2020 20:28

Thank you choc

whatsnext2 · 16/08/2020 20:41

Possible test for T cells

www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-53764640

boys3 · 16/08/2020 21:43

@BigChocFrenzy

ECDC 4-day incidence has UK increasing to 20 / 100,000

Spain is now 116 / 100,000 !

12 Norway
16 Germany
20 Greece
23 Cyprus
36 France
38 Sweden
43 NL
60 Belgium
88 Malta
88 Romania

BUT
Italy < 9
Immunity levels ? Their massive outbreak in the North did produce 40% antibodies in some places, but the South was not hit badly
Good SD habits after their early experiences ?

I'm not sure a 4 day view is necessarily the best - a Fri-Mon 4 days would probably look different to a Mon-Thurs 4 day view. That said the direction of travel in terms of confirmed case numbers is still clear when looking over a full 7 day period, and comparing it to the previous 7. England shown for 7th to 13th August, as compared with 31st July to 6th August.

Rate per 100,000 up at each decile point, and whilst the 12th and 13th probably don't have complete case data yet, the most recent 7 day period is still over 1,000 cases higher than the previous 7 days.

Still needs to be seen though in the context of stability in hospitalisations, 111 calls, and indeed the most recent ONS survey.

Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread 15
boys3 · 16/08/2020 21:46

from the percentile table a bit more detail at LA level, in descending order of cases per 100,000 between 7th and 13th August.

Cases, cases per 100,000, and which decile group, plus week on week change for each shown. LAs 1 to 45

Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread 15
boys3 · 16/08/2020 21:48

next three groups of 45 LAs

Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread 15
Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread 15
Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread 15
boys3 · 16/08/2020 21:49

and the final 3

Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread 15
Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread 15
Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread 15
BigChocFrenzy · 16/08/2020 22:18

"I'm not sure a 4 day view is necessarily the best"

Sorry, sticky keyboard Blush
That should have been 14-day incidence

OP posts:
boys3 · 16/08/2020 22:40

Grin that would make sense

Derbygerbil · 16/08/2020 22:45

Immunity levels ? Their massive outbreak in the North did produce 40% antibodies in some places, but the South was not hit badly
Good SD habits after their early experiences?

I believe that in contrast to Lombardy, some parts of the south have very low incidences of Covid comparative to much of Europe, presumably due to the timing of Italy’s lockdown. I’m thinking social distancing is more likely to be the reason.

Another possible reason is the amount of testing. I don’t know how much Italy is doing. If it’s testing is low comparative to other countries, that could be a contributing factor.

Swipe left for the next trending thread