Melinda Mills@melindacmills (Oxford Prof)
You asked for a simple & concrete examples of how our #COVIDー19 network #exitstrategy can move from mathematical simulation models to real life examples
– see https://arxiv.org/abs/2004.07052 (pages 14-16)
....
We all need an easy to understand #exitstrategy
to help us gradually return to work and school.
Here is our advice...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2004.07052
We propose 3 social network strategies to #FlattenTheCurve for a #COVID19 #exitstrategy:
(1) interact with similar people (homophily),
(2) strengthen community contact (triadic),
(3) repeated contact in closed networks (safe pods)...
In private life when providing care to elderly
it should be:
(1) same person (don't take turns),
(2) who has fewest ‘bridging ties’ (fewer links to other networks), and,
(3) is geographically the closest.....
https://arxiv.org/abs/2004.07052
For essential workers
it means keeping composition of work shifts constant over long periods of time
and distributing people on shifts based on proximity and similarity
(e.g., residential proximity).....
https://arxiv.org/abs/2004.07052
For workplaces
it means staggered start, break & end times by different departments or units
– keep contact in small groups, but reduce contact between them
https://arxiv.org/abs/2004.07052
For schools
- closed classroom composition,
varied break times,
distribution of children to similar groups (e.g., residential proximity),
keep contact in small groups, but reduce contact between groups
https://arxiv.org/abs/2004.07052
The challenge is to minimize interaction across networks.
If a household of 5 connects across networks they could create infection paths between many unconnected individuals.
@PNAS_News high potential of intergenerational transmission
https://www.pnas.org/content/early/2020/04/15/2004911117 …