Do you honestly think a successful COVID vaccine will happen within the next 18 months?

[DreamChaser23]

I feel that it is not guaranteed and this may be something that we have to be used to for many years to come..

No.

Might never happen, might be available by September. Oxford professor on C4 news said an optimistic opinion was that there was a 50/50 chance that the current Oxford university programme would be successful, that seems to be the only project that would be ready to go this year.
I think that there's a decent chance that a vaccine will be available by this time next year. But I'm an optimist and not a scientist!

Very possible but unlikely.

An effective treatment is more likely than a vaccine, and would have a similar effect once it was widely available.

Think of the money which could have been made from a private sector annual vaccine for the common cold. That still never happened. I, and I'm sure billions of others, would have paid good money for that each year, so it wasn't a matter of money.

No, previous record for a vaccine is four years so I think that is more relastic, and yes may not be one at all there isn’t fit ever virus.

Yes I do.

Yes.

Big Pharma is throwing everything they have got at this, and the scientists at Oxford led by prof Sarah Gilbert are making very bullish noises about their progress.

The common cold hasn’t halted the global economy. If you think ‘billions’ (!) would have paid good money for it you’re an absolute fruitcake..

That's gonna be a massive fall from grace if the Oxford trial fails.

Within the next 18 months - yes.
By this September - no.

Both guesses obvs.

The common cold hasn’t halted the global economy. If you think ‘billions’ (!) would have paid good money for it you’re an absolute fruitcake..

Fruitcake's lovely, thanks. But, yes, I absolutely think billions would have paid not to get colds each year. The amount I catch from my child, I've have paid staunch money...and still would. Colds are horrid and do in fact cost the economy in absences and loss of productivity. They also cost the health system in GP visits, and secondary infections. They might be "common", but they aren't necessarily mild.

I think regardless of the results for Oxford to have moved this quickly and be able to know if the vaccine works by September will be an incredible feat of science.

Yes, I'm confident that there will be both a vaccine and a successful treatment in probably somewhat less than 18 months.

There are a huge number of trials going on with vast amounts of money being thrown at this, the world's best brains all working on this and lots of very promising early results.

I would put money on it.

Maybe, but maybe not, and if not things will go back to normal anyway and we will just get on with our lives as we're were befor with one more disease around to add to the hundreds of others

And even if they could they would not get a virus for common cold... Far too much money is made from cold medicine for them to want to get rid of it!

I think there’s a good chance, yes.

There are something like 400 strains of the common cold. It’s not a good comparison.

Tail end of that - yes. Before or this year - no.

That's gonna be a massive fall from grace if the Oxford trial fails.

Exactly. Which is why it’s reasonable to assume they have very good reason to be so publicly confident.

No. I think it's unlikely.

I feel that it is not guaranteed

Tbh that's a statement of the bleeding obvious, no one knows but if we can believe what we read scientists working in the field seem family positive, I'm sure everyone is working as hard as they can on it, if it doesnt happen it won't be for want to trying but we can't rely on it so we need to keep on looking for ways to live with the virus.

I honestly dont see how there will ever be one. It's similar to both SARS and the common cold. We've never found a vaccine for either of those.

Yes I do. It was already looking good for the Oxford vaccine, but now very positive large animal results are back, so there is even more positivity about it.
By repurposing a vaccine they have already proved safe, incredible amounts of hard work, and throwing a lot of money at it, the Oxford team have done since early January what would normally take three years. It's astounding.
The bigger question is how many successful vaccines can scientists develop, and how quickly can they then be produced and distributed. Then it'll be a case of watching which vaccine populations have the longest lengths immunity from their vaccine.

I think that convalescent plasma will be a treatment option before a vaccine is ready - blood containing antibodies donated by people who have recovered from coronavirus given to those who are struggling with it to tide them over.

I think we will have both a treatment and a vaccine by year end at the very latest.And likely one or the other by sept or Oct.

It's similar to both SARS and the common cold. We've never found a vaccine for either of those

This isn’t quite the full story, we didn’t find it for SARS because we didn’t need it it died out, so they stopped, and the common cold is made up of many viruses, so you’d only be able to vaccinate and prevent about twenty percent Of cases, and it’s just the cold, it doesn’t need a vaccine that costs billions.

We also ha e successfully vaccinated against corona viruses in animals..