I always thought herd immunity was the only way out. Then there was lots of positive news re vaccine and cures.
Then I watched Victoria Derbyshire interview 2 scientists/virologists the other week and both said that they were very doubtful a vaccine or cure would be found. Was a 'don't lose all hope, it may happen but very doubtful in the next couple of years'.
So. It leaves us with flattening that bloody curve and keeping it at managed levels. That's what the nightingale hospitals are for. Once there is enough PPE they will open properly for covid patients. The NHS will open up for normal business, we will have track and trace to try and manage outbreaks, everyone else carries on as normal, probably from September.
The world can't stop because some people will die. Not when it is the demographics of the elderly and the infirm who are mostly dying while you have a health service that can cope with the younger and fitter patients.
It will decimate nursing homes. And domicilary care. But they are the ones who would likely die 'within 26 months' usually anyway. That's the average life expectancy of someone who enters a care home. So the government doesn't really mind that.
It's an awful disease. But realistically the world can't stop because even absolute worse case scenario half a million deaths from CV in the UK isn't as bad as what would happen in a deep recession.
The UK government can't ignore that. Atm every country is being judged on CV statistics. But next year and the year after it will be countries being judged on who is starving to death.
It's also going to be interesting watching Scotlands response in comparison to England's response. Nicola sturgeon wants to be more cautious. That's fine but I hope she doesn't expect more in the way of financial support than what is available to England, Wales and NI.