Bristol...zero cases in 24 hours

[naughtycat]

Okay, I live in Bristol. I wish everyone in the whole of the UK and Ireland well, and I really want us all to combat this shitty virus as soon as possible.

Today, on the local news, they said that for the first time in (I can't remember exactly how long), that there had been literally zero new diagnosis of covid19 in our city!!! I have to admit I felt so happy 😁 like the lockdown has worked! People have followed the rules!

I feel I must emphasis that I don't take away from the pain and suffering, particularly in London and the East Midlands/Birmingham.....but is this not a sign of hope that lockdown has worked/is working ??

Also, I understand that many people are getting infected without needing hospital treatment.....but this must mean that for 24 hours not one person turned up at hospital needing treatment? We must be in/have passed the peak?!)

(Disclaimer: I am an extremely naive and optimistic person. On waiting list for assessment from ASD team. So please don't be mean).

But this is good isn't it??!

Didkdt.....I thought it was a terrible decision to let the Greta march go ahead. Covid would have definitely been spreading there..and yes she ended up infected herself. Most of the youngsters would have had a mild illness.....but look what it's done to us all.

Roostersmum2, I cannot begin to understand what you are going through, living in central London. I'm really sorry everyday to hear what is happening to you guys. I was a student nurse their 20 years ago in Lewisham!!! My thoughts are with you. One day of statistics, if they can give hope....then why not!

My area was on the same figure for a few days then has continued to rise since. It is very naive to believe that this has beaten just because of one day of no TESTED/REPORTED/SHARED cases (none of which means there aren't any cases occurring there), unfortunately

*been

Just saying hi naughtycat, I remember you from another thread you made a few days ago. You're a kind soul. Hope all is well and let's hope for zero across the board tomorrow.

Givemeanaples....thank you. It is really nice to meet kind supportive people here. Lots of love to you

And yes, let's hope for more zeros across the uk. I know it won't happen at once, but gradually it really will start happening. Let's all do our best to social distance....and see the numbers come down. We can do this!

Between Cheltenham, Greta Thunberg's mass event and proximity to the South Wales outbreak (Newport being a key commuter connection into Bristol), I'm sorry OP but Bristol won't get off lightly.

Yes, the high rate of driving (and walking/cycling) due to poor public transport has probably delayed progression, but Cheltenham, Thunberg and Newport sadly ensure a large outbreak in Bristol.

No new cases- that's only people who have been tested. To be tested you needed to be critical just about ( or rich) so I wouldn't count your chickens.

My husband was blue lighted to Southmead hospital in Bristol with Covid symptoms and breathing difficulties and later discharged without being tested, so I would not put too much hope on no positive tests. We assume he has had it, he has subsequently recovered. They have no idea how much community infection is out there.

@middleager

Well that article seems to suggests it’s because more BAME people work in London it in the transport system or in the NHS proportionally.

It’s not because of any genetic reasons which the post seems to imply.

I live in a region at the opposite side of the country which was slow to get its first covid-19 cases. It does make me wonder if lockdown had happened earlier and we'd had testing and kept up contact teaching that lockdown could have been effective In stopping the virus spread totally. That would have meant stopping people traveling into the region from other areas, vespecially London... So practically, wouldn't have worked without a big police and military presence.... but still.

I think we must be 2 weeks behind London and maybe the South West is too. I hope they don't make all future decisions based on the stats coming out of London.

Aww yeah I think maybe it's just statistics and testing that somehow gave us zero!

But I just stupidly positive.

I did notice that figures for Cardiff are massive....like a big hotspot.....thought it was a bit strange that Bristol was so low compared to Cardiff.... but I did kind of accept that and thought 'wow, are numbers are so low!!'

Silly me. But I do want people to stay positive.

For those not good with geography....Bristol and Cardiff are very close neighbours 😆

Its worth remembering that it means that there have been no new cases admitted to hospital, so people can be pretty unwell, assessed by medics, even taken to a&e in an ambulance but if they are not admitted overnight they wont be tested and counted.

Wales is on a different health system, let alone different trusts, so testing and diagnostic regime will be different. As per PPs, it appears that Bristol simply aren't doing a lot of testing.

When a man suddenly died of confirmed coronavirus in Nailsea (a village not far south of Bristol), between that and an outbreak in South Wales, and the Cheltenham event up in Gloucestershire, and the fact that Bristol hangs right on the corner of the M4 to London/Wales and the M5 to Midlands/Devon, it was already over for Bristol.

There is absolutely zero chance that South Wales is heaving with it and Bristol isn't.

This is why the new emergency corona hospital will be located in Bristol. Sorry OP.

No the nightingale hospital in Bristol will take cases from all over the SW

Yes of course.

Also the comments re the rally. That was weeks ago at the end ofFeb

Remember the exponential. Child contracts it, incubates, transmits to 4-6 others, incubates, each of them transmit to 4-6 others, incubates etc etc etc. The exponential increase takes time, offically up to 14 days tranmissable per case. Greta Thunberg herself has/had coronavirus.

The virus washed around Wuhan for around 2-3 months before lockdown, as the exponential takes time.

felt so happy 😁 like the lockdown has worked! People have followed the rules

🤔

I'm in Bath which is close to Bristol and we also seem to have low numbers.

It's quite surprising given the Greta march, Bath half marathon and Cheltenham races all nearby.

I'm in Bristol too OP.

I have a friend who is involved in the Bristol NHS COVID plan 'huddle'. She reflects what you're saying - in the broad sense that so far Bristol is coping way better than expected with far fewer cases. However apparently neighbouring Gloucestershire is not going so well. They may end up taking cases from elsewhere. She emphasised that this may all change very quickly so no complacency.

I'm very surprised that Bristol is not high with COVID cases. There has been panic buying (which has calmed now). However we are a busy city with huge wealth discrepancies. I'm confused as to why it's not taken hold of us (yet).

I think perhaps the utterly crap public transport system may be a reason? Ie Hardly anyone uses it!

Bristol has an infection rate of 50.5 per 100,000, which is low, but well above Peterborough (39.8) Swindon (39.6) Bournemouth (32.1) and Hull (22.3)

news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-uk-tracker-how-many-cases-are-in-your-area-updated-daily-11956258