Lockdown over sooner than we think - positive outlooks

[oldbeforem]

I keep reading threads about this lasting 6 - 18 months.

I have had an operation cancelled with no date for it to be rebooked.

I need to think positively and believe that this will be over sooner than we think!

Anyone agree?

So many people are just loving the drama of all this. They are literally relishing it

This

Similarly the stasi curtain twitchers so apparent on social media, mumsnet included

This is an interesting point. I am inclined to forgive the curtain twitchers as their enthusiasm stems predominately from a desire to get the whole thing done properly so life can go back to normal. At least, I assume that is what it stems from.

But then I wonder if people had/have similar justifications for informing on their neighbours in all those authoritarian states we read about...

we need to return to a situation where the old and vulnerable can be shielded at home to limit the chance of them catching it and life can slowly otherwise return to normal

Yes.

My friends ds is in Japan and he's just posted a video ((pretty sure he's in Wuhan)) of him and his mates in a bar saying if we can do it you can stay strong etc. They had an 8 week lock down.

BUT we aren't as compliant as their neck of the woods. And we aren't obsessively testing..........on the other hand we dont have multi generations of families living together so less spread under one roof.

I think restrictions will be eased after 8 weeks however I think it's going to take the leisure and tourism industry years to recover from this.

This can’t go into May. Full stop.

When might we reasonably expect flights to be operational again? I need to visit someone abroad and cant see when I will see her next.

“BUT we aren't as compliant as their neck of the woods”

You mean like the Chinese? Because we’re not a communist country.

Thank you @Saladmakesmesad

As it happens I broke my ankle less than 2 years ago and recovered like nothing happened :) I had a cast for 8 weeks, then a boot and before long I was in the gym squatting, lunging and running. I ski and did 26 mile run last summer!

I received fsm vouchers taking us to the 8th of may on Friday . So dont think schools are planning to go back before then

Of course we can do more than 3 weeks. If we come out in 2 weeks, this will be at the flattened curve peak. Then it would explode.

Mum

No because Brits in general are dicks.

And a a good majority aren't going to do the right thing for the greater good.........short term pain for long term gain or not. There'll still be large sections who'll carry on doing what the hell they want. 👍💁‍♀️

The economy can not handle more than 3 weeks.

It takes about 4 weeks for humans to embed new habits. If we have to keep doing this, our old life will be peculiar to return to. We will, for a long time, instinctively avoid passing strangers closely in the street, avoid public transport, avoid pubs and cinemas where strangers sit close to each other. Businesses will realise that they don't need such big offices, because they can make it work with a high proportion of staff working from home. We will realise that it's quicker, cheaper, easier, to FaceTime relatives, rather than travel to visit.

I don't think we're ever going back to how it was. Restrictions and habits will change, and life will be a new shape.

But this is the hardest bit. When it's all new, and we can still see what we've left behind in the rear view mirror.

It will get easier.

@oldbeforem OMG thank you! What a lovely reply. I get my cast off this coming week and into a boot, and I really hope that I have the same recovery pathway as you. Thanks again!

I think anyone who posts here about elderly and so on dying as they would be dead in a year etc, really, come and see the ICU at the hospital where I work.
Absolutely disgusting and incorrect attitude.
You want us to end up like some other countries... sorry your over 70, no ventilator for you? We retire at 67,68... so two years after you are deemed essential you may as well be dead?
Doctors and nurses are dying of this, essential workers, all to save everyone’s lives.
Sorry, had a long day.

Hopefully not for too much longer

First of all, the Imperial College Model was grossly overestimated... which caused mass hysteria and panic. Neil Ferguson based Covid-19 on a 13 year old model. Let us not forget hand and foot disease in 2001 where 6.5 million cows were slaughtered and cost the UK 10 billion pounds. All unnecessary. Then Neil’s model for H1N1 in 2009... He predicted 65 thousand deaths. Wanted schools to close. I think 400 died from H1N1.

Why we’re listening to this man is beyond me.

The government knows that the cure is potentially worse for us than the virus. All of the economic and social impacts of a lenghy lockdown will utimately cause more deaths than those caused by a shorter lockdown. In addition the imperial model shows that a 6 month lockdown followed by the easing of restrictions will cause a large second wave of cases in the winter when the nhs is already at full capacity.

The government will want to ease restrictions in may/june. We will then probably need a second lockdown in october to december.

Let’s just see what happens in 2 weeks. Neil, the god, said now the NHS won’t be reached to the brink.

The economy can not handle more than 3 weeks,
We have no choice it's either the nhs can't cope and so many of us will be ill that it will effect the economy or we do this the lockdown will slowly go back to some sort of normal so that not everyone gets ill at the same time
I'm optimistic it won't be as long people are suggesting and hopefully after the 3 weeks we have relaxed rules but prepare it may be longer .

Well if my 80 year old grandad is likely to die in the next year id prefer it to be with us around and hospitals so full he struggles to get the care he needs ffs have some compassion people

Mumlove5 Yep. Some of the stuff I've read today about his handling of the BSE crisis has shocked me. Plus the model he's using for CV has never been peer-tested, which is troubling.

*and not when hospitals

Eckhart, that is not living!!

I don't think the economy would recover from 6 months in lockdown, and there's no way of knowing but people may be hinting worse case scenarios so that people get used to the idea that it will be longer than 3 weeks.

Watching other countries closely at the moment.