Meet the Other Phone. Flexible and made to last.

Meet the Other Phone.
Flexible and made to last.

Buy now

Please or to access all these features

Covid

Mumsnet doesn't verify the qualifications of users. If you have medical concerns, please consult a healthcare professional.

Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread 2

983 replies

Barracker · 29/03/2020 14:33

A follow on thread from here

Please try to keep it data driven, factual and civil. Flowers

www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/

OP posts:
Thread gallery
67
FATEdestiny · 03/04/2020 17:17

@Barracker when you start the next thread (We have about 50 posts left on this one) please could you add a link to the UK figures and worldometer (and any other useful links) in the OP?

It's easier to have quicker access to finding the webpages.

Barracker · 03/04/2020 17:17

It's a log graph, Catsrus

en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Logarithmic_scale

If you plot an exponential growth on a normal scale it looks like the first image.

And on a log graph, the same data looks like the second.

Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread 2
Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread 2
OP posts:
nauticant · 03/04/2020 17:17

would be so important right now to have all the data date stamped

Yes. This is one of those situations were correctly assigning to data elements as much metadata as possible will provide all kinds of benefits in the future that aren't immediately apparent just now.

Barracker · 03/04/2020 17:20

Will do, FATE, good idea.
I'll link
-worldometer
-the FT update page

anything else you'd like linked give me a shout here and I'll include.

OP posts:
nauticant · 03/04/2020 17:20

Exponential functions for this kind of thing are far more comprehensible when presented on a log scale rather than on a linear scale.

FATEdestiny · 03/04/2020 17:20

@Catsrus - that's a log graph. Commonly used in exponential growth statistics graphs. It's not terrible, it's a "maths nerd" thing Blush

TheCanterburyWhales · 03/04/2020 17:22

How can Kate Garraway be showing mild symptoms and in ICU? Confused

seaside15 · 03/04/2020 17:22

www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

The tables here show the dates deaths occurred and has the 84 for yesterday.

itsgettingweird · 03/04/2020 17:24

Her DH is in ICU. She's showing mild symptoms and isolating at home. Sorry if my post wasn't clear.

DuLANGDuLANGDuLANG · 03/04/2020 17:27

@Barracker can you please put the HSJ mapping link on?

This is the topic feed that updates automatically www.hsj.co.uk/coronavirus

And the JHU counter:

coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html

justanotherneighinparadise · 03/04/2020 17:29

Derek Draper looked extremely unhealthy when he was papped in Australia recently. I’m not in the slightest bit surprised he is suffering from virus much more seriously than his wife.

Barracker · 03/04/2020 17:30

Seaside15 Flowers

Please accept an enthusiastic and grateful virtual elbow bump.
Thanks so much for that. It is what I couldn't find.

In fact, that page will be one of the links in the OP of the next thread.

OP posts:
Barracker · 03/04/2020 17:32

Definitely DuLang
So
Worldometer
FT
NHS England Stats page
HSJ
JHU counter

OP posts:
DuLANGDuLANGDuLANG · 03/04/2020 17:36

Perfect! Apologies for the @ but time sensitive, can’t believe we’re almost on thread 3. Thank you for doing this (and absorbing the flack you’ve attracted so stoically).

Barracker · 03/04/2020 17:43

No problems at all.

Does anyone have the link to the new ONS statistics that will be released each Tuesday for COVID-19 deaths outside of hospitals? I'll include that if someone can find it too.

Here are the data notes accompanying the stats page that Seaside15 found:

COVID-19 daily deaths:
This section contains information on deaths of patients who have died in hospitals in England and had tested positive for COVID-19 at time of death. All deaths are recorded against the date of death rather than the date the deaths were announced. Interpretation of the figures should take into account the fact that totals by date of death, particularly for recent prior days, are likely to be updated in future releases. For example, as deaths are confirmed as testing positive for Covid-19, as more post-mortem tests are processed and data from them are validated. Any changes are made clear in the daily files.
These figures will be updated at 2pm each day and include confirmed cases reported at 5pm the previous day. Confirmation of COVID-19 diagnosis, death notification and reporting in central figures can take up to several days and the hospitals providing the data are under significant operational pressure. This means that the totals reported at 5pm on each day may not include all deaths that occurred on that day or on recent prior days.
These figures do not include deaths outside hospital, such as those in care homes. This approach makes it possible to compile deaths data on a daily basis using up to date figures.
In addition to our data, the Office for National Statistics are now publishing weekly counts of deaths in which COVID-19 was mentioned on the death certificate. This publication is to be issued every Tuesday, starting on 31st March. It will include cases outside hospital and will also include some cases where COVID-19 is suspected, but no formal diagnostic test has taken place. ONS data will initially cover England and Wales only and will report on registered deaths up to 11 days before the date of publication.
Disclosure risk for this publication has been reviewed, considering GSS/GSR policy and ONS disclosure policy for births and deaths statistics. It has been concluded that the data is suitable for release in the published form as the data contain limited information, with age breakdowns only provided at a national level and within broad age brackets. Individuals or their attributes cannot be identified from the counts of the numbers of COVID deaths by trust by day. The risk that this data could be combined with other information to infer that a particular patient who had died in hospital had tested positive for COVID-19 has also been considered.
This guidance was developed with advice from the Office for Statistics Regulation in UKSA.

OP posts:
WaitingForSummerAgain · 03/04/2020 17:44

@Barracker thank you for all your input for the last 2 threads. I agree those links would be great.

Does anyone have a link to a spreadsheet that updates with us v Italy and Spain etc, like we get posted sometimes? If someone has one that we can see as View only that would be great, also

WaitingForSummerAgain · 03/04/2020 17:45

@Barracker thank you for all your input for the last 2 threads. I agree those links would be great.

Does anyone have a link to a spreadsheet that updates with us v Italy and Spain etc, like we get posted sometimes? If someone has one that we can see as View only that would be great, also.

DuLANGDuLANGDuLANG · 03/04/2020 17:58

I put the first set of ONS figures on a single image to make it easier to view on a phone. Will try and do the same each week.

Daily numbers, graphs, analysis thread 2
Barracker · 03/04/2020 18:11

THREAD 3

Thanks to all who keep the discussion going Flowers

OP posts:
Barracker · 03/04/2020 18:14
      • DAILY UPDATE * * * Friday April 3rd

Total UK cases: 38,168
New UK cases: 4,450
Total UK Deaths: 3,605
New UK Deaths: 684

OP posts:
abitoflight · 03/04/2020 18:14

Thank you for all your work on this

itsgettingweird · 03/04/2020 18:49

Waiting I think you mean the spreadsheets that FATE has been typing for us. I agree they have been really useful but I've not seen her for a few days.

Ereshkigalangcleg · 03/04/2020 18:56

Fate posted below this afternoon, itsgettingweird

FATEdestiny · 03/04/2020 19:03

Im here Blush
Posted on the new thread.