To be honest, horehound, you doubling down that someone on Mumsnet invented the standard of measuring from 10th death is worth a bit of a giggle. I'd have given it a quick Google before sticking to my guns.
I'm not sure the various universities, analysts and global media outlets publishing the data are eagerly scouring Mumsnet for their graphs!
It's a moot point, anyway. Whether you use the seemingly global standard beginning at 10, which the overwhelming majority of global analyses seem to do, or whether you lop off the beginning of everyone's trajectories (not sure why you would do this except to massage your message), Italy, France and the UK are still extremely similar, and it's really apparent what's coming next.
I don't see the point in the repetitive denialism. The numbers are right there. What were Italy's stats 14, 15, 16, 17 days after the tenth death?
And what were ours?
Or, we can simply take a look at the thread in a week.
A week from today, on April 7th, we will have suffered between 5000 and 6000 deaths, if we continue following the pattern of Italy, and if the data is properly reported without interruption.
Noone wants this to be true.
But we know it is likely.
It is difficult enough that we are all here trying to prepare ourselves emotionally and mentally for that possibility, without others implying that the only way to face this crisis is to deny reality and shut down thought. In others.
There is real value in the people on this thread coming together and discussing what they see. Forewarned is forearmed.