Serious answers only.. how long do you think the lockdown will last?

[feefee322]

How long will lockdown last?? Only 3 weeks?! Were meant to move house

10-12 weeks

June or July till some relaxation and potentially it will get tougher again through the winter. A year overall?

However long it takes for the majority to decide they would rather just isolate the vulnerable and get on with life.
I'm interested to know how long.that is.
It'll be on-off on-off anyway. Initially maybe 3 months? Next peak as schools go back, few weeks after that.

12 weeks

In my opinion it will be relaxed in early July. There will be 6-10 weeks of less stringent measures but still social distancing, hand gel a gogo, some things not open etc etc and then cases will begin to ramp up in early autumn and they will implement another lockdown again.

Just my own thoughts.

6 months

China are opening again there is hope

Maybe 3 or 4 months so late summer, an optimistic early August maybe?

I think 12 weeks.

Same as Bouledeneige

3-6 months is what the minimum shielding operation is expected to last.

Some are saying it’ll still be social distancing even with the less stringent measures, does that still mean not seeing family members?

Not sure, but I don't think schools will go back before September.

I really hope we can go on our already booked summer holiday.

Probably 3 months of this, then cautious relaxation of some restrictions, with tightening of cases rise again.

If widespread serological tests become available then we can relax more quickly, as we can identify who has had it and is therefore immune, and better detect and apply regionally specific strategies.

The science-y answer is it depends on quickly we flatten the curve, and it’s possible things may “unlock” differentially based on region.

But my gut instinct is that it’ll be under a month. I don’t think Boris and the Tories will want to shut down the economy too long. Once they roll these antibody tests out to the community (in a few weeks?) I expect the government to use them to get people promptly back to work. The big question is just how many mild and asymptomatic cases there are have been out there. If these tests validate the idea that it’s 9:1 asymptomatic: symptomatic, then the mortality rate is much lower and threat perception will drop.

Did no one hear Boris speech that we will get this under control in 12 weeks? 12 weeks. Get the date in your diary.

6 - 9 months with a bit of relaxation over summer

Hoping it will be less.

I can do 12 weeks... any longer and we won't financially survive.

I've already had the virus too! Why can't the vulnerable just isolate?! Thai is going to be so costly for the economy

I'm so worried about money

I feel sorry for those who are vulnerable but how are people surviving who are self employed?!

Why can't the vulnerable just isolate?! Thai is going to be so costly for the economy
Because they need to financially survive too. Successive governments with the support of society have demonised the sick and vulnerable now you want to keep them locked away cos you’re alright jack?

Makes more sense to support 80% of their wages than 80% of everyones

June.

What is your sector OP?

OP I'm self employed, I have zero wage coming in and am absolutely panicking, but, I can't just assume that if the vunerable people stay inside this would all go away.
It's other people within our community who have spread this virus to other people already, including vunerable parents or grandparents etc.
It's a bit late in the day now to try and lock all the vunerable people away and get everyone back to work. That ship has sailed unfortunately.

I don't think it's impossible that they'll relax the restrictions after 3 weeks, but all depends on how things develop.

I also think people may do more handwashing, keep at a distance from people, in the future - people's attitudes to hugs and kisses may change permanently. (or at least until a vaccine is developed).