Serious answers only.. how long do you think the lockdown will last?

[feefee322]

How long will lockdown last?? Only 3 weeks?! Were meant to move house

12 weeks with social distancing lasting until the end of the year with people slowly being allowed back into normality. I don't think anyone will be going on holiday this year as travel restrictions will remain in place too.

What about seeing family?
If this goes more than a year my parents might not live that muc after that anyway.
Do I have to accept I probably will never see them again? Even though they are only 5 miles away?

More people need to comply. My friends neighbours are having different groups of people around every day. It’s beyond selfish & scary. She has medical issues too & should be isolating properly, let alone this ongoing party not to mention the anti social music, shouting & language.

My friend is losing his cool, but doesn’t want to stir up trouble. I said he should report the number of people socialising there, but we aren’t sure who/where to, the council seems the logical first step, but they don’t want to know in a good day 😩

I imagine this is going on up & down the country, inconsiderate, selfish bastards passing it around. Lockdown will have to stay in place so much longer if people don’t just bloody well STAY HOME

Schools opening in September is optimistic, June is delusional thinking

AmelieTaylor your friend could call the police.

Stupidanduseless What about seeing family? If this goes more than a year my parents might not live that muc after that anyway.
There will be softer lockdown after a while so you will see them. I’m not sure about me seeing mine. They live in different country, in their early 80s, have health issues but quite stubborn and don’t like following rules. They have fewer cases at the moment than UK so their attitude is “this is just a virus”. I don’t think the reality hit them. We usually visit once a year over summer holidays but I don’t think it will happen this year even if the measures will be soften I wouldn’t risk travelling.

I think six weeks altogether and schools will go back in early May.

@AmelieTaylor you are supposed to report it to the police.

You’ve had the virus? Confirmed? Tested?

Many threads on this, it’s likely worst case fix or six weeks as we are now, then a slow lifting to take us up to the twelve weeks, with people being told to get back to work, all companies operational, except hospitality, , as the first restriction lifting, and schools taking those kids where parents can’t work from home, the rest at home.

But yes, if imperial who advises the government are right, the peak is next Sunday, then a slow decline, so extension for a couple of weeks max to confirm it after that, then slowly raise the restrictions and save the economy whilst maintaining social distancing.

Bluntness god I hope you are right. I don't know how long I can cope with this.

I think there will be a gradual lifting of restrictions over the next 4 to 6 months

I agree with PP. Restrictions will be lifted end May/June. Softer restrictions over the summer, then another bout of restrictions imposed over winter.

Hopefully we will have a fully tested vaccine by this time next year but I do think people need to get their heads round the idea that this will be more or less a way of life for a year.

There is no way anyone can even make a wild guess - the UK has not reached the peak yet or the surge - China took much more restrictive action so you really can't compare the length of their lockdown to the European models

in china the lockdown took just over 2 months I think, but they were far, far stricter than we're being and so knocked it on the head sooner. Surely ours has to be longer to really get anywhere

As I understand it China is imposing new restrictions on people going into the country because they don't want it reimported, have another outbreak and have to reintroduce lockdown again.

I can see this thing going on for at least a year as populations who thought they were clear, relax, get reinfected, and have to go back to stricter regimes.

One thing I am absolutely certain of is Trump's "Easter deadline" is suicidal wishful thinking, driven more by internal American politics (his desire to be re-elected in November) and economics (his donors/backers are not as stinkingly over-rich as they were three weeks ago and the deaths of thousands of their fellow citizens is less important to them than the health of their stock portfolios).

I’d say 10 to 12 weeks initially

I actually think schools could be opened earlier (July-August) to get parents to work and to prevent summer travelling.

We were due to go to a remote Scottish island in June, this has now been cancelled and the people who own it have said the Scottish government said lockdown is likely to go up to the middle of July. Don’t know if this applies to the rest of the UK, and may change depending on how effective it is.

Not a clue op, we’re also meant to be moving house July, and I’m starting uni in September 😩 so god knows.

Luckily we’re all fine so I keep that in mind when I feel like crying

12 weeks, but I think 6 weeks minimum and they might relax them a bit after 6 weeks but it definitely won’t be back to normal life in 6 weeks.

I’m a teacher. I think schools will be the last thing to open normally.

They are so overcrowded. Class are overcrowded due to lack of funds. It’s difficult to stand 10cm away from people. Social distancing in any format is impossible in a big school.

China had a super strict lockdown with extensive contact tracing and are only now in a slow release of the lockdown 3-4 months later.

Our lockdown is too soft to have much impact, we're bearly testing. 3-4 months we'll still be in crisis with stricter lockdown as we realise how badly the govenment have fucked this up. If we have widescale testing and contact testing by that point we might get out the other side by 6 months.

unless we get a treatment sorted, which i think is the most likely possibility. Or the antibody test actually does what the government says and the virus doesnt mutate in the meantime.

Otherwise its until and if we can get vaccine sorted 18 months. This just becomes the new normal and people get used to coping.

Obviously it depends on when the peak comes. I personally think around 4-6 weeks after that peak.

I just can’t see the government propping up wages for much longer than the 12 weeks they have already offered. Imagine the state of the economy if this goes on for months!

I don’t think on and off restrictions/lockdown will work either. People will just stop sticking to it if they are allowed out one week but then not the next!

I hope they open the schools after summer half term. If it's over by then.
It's heartbreaking for yr6 and yr 11 and yr13 otherwise. When they open bars, cafes, nightclubs, dating, clothes shops, malls and all businesses go back to normal then they should reopen the schools. Kids are not to be kept imprisoned while society goes back to normal.
It's not good for their MH.

That half term should be recovery time for them with lots of sport, team games, craft and games and music. Den building. And tears and reflection where needed.
All subjects can be taught in a fun problem solving group way. I teach maths and it can be. Esp easier in schools with groups, rather than 1 on 1 at home.
English plays interviews case studies
Maths games and scenarios etc
Humanities, science, technology, re, art, music. No exams will free the system and the professionalism of teaching staff know how to do above and are good at it.

Just until the summer to recover.
Then back to usual for September.

All those people planning to move house should stop now before they lose any more money.
It'll be banned soon. Stay put where you are.