Worried About Coronavirus- thread 34

[RosieSunset]

New thread

Sorry, 200, not 299

Less of an increase in deaths than yesterday.

Obviously bad but not as high as they have been. Still awful that those people have lost their lives 😢

A decrease is good. Any slight reduction has got to be seen as positive.

We'v got to be further off of the Italy curve now.

Yesterday the %of daily tests being positive was 36.38% .

Today it is 34.95%
docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eTKeK9vRxgw0KhvKxPCaDrfaHnxQP-n9TsLzsEymviY/htmlview#

Only 1 death in Scotland is a good sign.

Every day 7000 tests, 2500 new cases. Pretty clear we’re being capped by testing capacity.

It wont be a full 24 hours though because we have lost an hour through the clock change?

It wont be a full 24 hours though because we have lost an hour through the clock change?

No, it's still the full 24 hour period (from 5pm on Friday, March 27 to 5pm on Friday, March 28).

We will see the 23 hour stats tomorrow.

Sorry - meant to say - from 5pm on Friday, March 27 to 5pm on Saturday, March 28.

our Sunday numbers do always seem to be lower than the rest of the week.

Ah I see. So the figures for testing are up to the current date, but death rate figures that are reported today have a cut off time of 5pm yesterday? Is this a change in the way it reports, as I thought the deaths were announced at 2pm included same day deaths up to 9am?

Can the process the same amount of tests at the weekend???

Because on other threads it has that the uk figures including deaths are upto 0900 on the 29th march?

Is this a change in the way it reports, as I thought the deaths were announced at 2pm included same day deaths up to 9am?

Yes, they changed their reporting a few days ago. They always struggled to publish the numbers on time because of the death stats.

The cut off times for the two numbers are now different - 9am for test results and 5pm of the previous day for the number of deaths.

Here is the actual tweet from the Department of Health and Social Care:

twitter.com/dhscgovuk?lang=en

As of 9am 29 March, a total of 127,737 have been tested:

108,215 negative.
19,522 positive.

As of 5pm on 28 March, of those hospitalised in the UK, 1,228 have sadly died.

Thank you @wintertravel1980 .

Note they are only reporting deaths of those who die in hospital.

Let's hope the UK government has learnt from the ventilator and PPE debacle. I hope they're put in early orders for as much remdesevir (and the other drugs showing promise) as possible. Sadly Gilead has had to temporarily halt new individual compassionate use requests. They're struggling with demand.

There's currently very limited stock but I'm confident there's enough for Boris Johnson, Matt Hancock, and any other senior cabinet member.

With drug testing, even with drugs that are known as safe to use in humans, it will take time to collate results. So WHO (or whoever) can say "these are drugs we are potentially testing", but it will still take weeks to generate data that will show whether an individual drug does cause better outcomes.

For example, if a drug delayed the onset of symptoms for a week, but then the symptoms you got were worse, you wouldn't want to take this drug. Again, if a drug delayed the onset of symptoms, but didn't actually improve outcomes long term, you might not want to use this drugs.

I do think there are some promising signs that antivirals will help us fight this, but generating the data to help us decide which ones will be most effective is still a process that will take weeks, if not months.

I'm not sure it would be helpful to put orders in for any drugs at this stage- but hopefully by the end of April there will be more useful data out there, and doctors will be able to use drugs to help patients as well.

It's also hard for countries with overwhelmed medical systems to produce much meaningful data, so a lot of this data needs to come from countries with less people in hospital, again, this will take time.

Some of the drugs are already being used in several countries. In the UK remsedivir, for example, was available to doctors on request but only a very limited supply. I suspect Boris was treated with one of these drugs. So far reports show early treatment is key to the drugs success. They need to be given before it gets to ventilator stage.

I realise we need to wait for conclusive reports before making any mass orders but it gives hope. It should be quicker to manufacture more drugs already develop than wait for a vaccine?

How are you today @ofwarren ?

Thank you beyond I’d forgotten all about graze, I used to use them a while ago, just put an order in for some snacks

I'm ok @Namethecat
Day 6 here.
Day 3 was by far the worst. Felt so out of control with jittery shakes, nausea and a pounding head.
Today I'm mainly breathless with the ground glass lung feeling.
I slept really well last night though, even though my temperature dropped right down and I had night sweats.
The weirdest thing about the virus is it comes in waves. You feel sort of ok and then it will hit you like a brick wall.