Has anyone else seen this
Sir Patrick, Chief Scientific Adviser to the Government, told Sky News:
"We've got a reasonable worst-case scenario... that involves 80 per cent of the population and we think the mortality rate is one per cent or lower. I expect it to be less than that.
"It takes about 12 weeks to reach the peak then maybe about 12 weeks to go away again.
"You expect about 90 per cent of cases in the nine weeks in the middle of that and 50 per cent of cases in the three weeks of the middle of that."
So if they're assuming the established community transmission is starting now - we're looking at peaking at around beginning of June, with 95% of infections between end of May to beginning of July?
DH and I planning to pull DS out of school at Easter and wait for the peak to pass. By then it will be heading towards summer holidays anyway.