Israeli elections seem so complicated (proportional representation).
According to a new poll by the Times of Israel's sister site, opposition frontrunner Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party has opened up a significant lead over Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud, but neither camp is projected to win a majority in the Knesset.
The biggest change in the new poll is that it shows Yashar winning 26 seats compared to 20 for Likud. Last week, the gap was 24 to 20.
Coming in third in today’s poll is former prime minister Naftali Bennett’s opposition B’Yachad party with 11, followed by the hawkish opposition Yisrael Beytenu with nine.
Next are four parties with eight seats each: the Haredi Shas and United Torah Judaism, both of which support Netanyahu; the left-wing Democrats; and the Arab-led Joint List.
Then come two far-right, pro-Netanyahu parties: Otzma Yehudit with seven and Religious Zionism with six.
The Arab-led, historically Islamist Ra’am would win five, followed by the Reservists with four.
Two parties would fall short of the 3.25% of votes needed to enter the Knesset: Winter’s People of Israel, with 2.8%, and Benny Gantz’s centrist Blue and White, with 1.2%.
The poll was conducted on October 14 and 15 and surveyed a total sample of 500 respondents with a margin of error of ±4.4%.
https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/toi-poll-eisenkot-opens-up-big-lead-on-netanyahu-but-both-blocs-short-of-majority/