US, Iran and mediators discuss terms for a 45-day ceasefire

[Twiglets1]

As reported by Axios, the U.S., Iran and a group of regional mediators are discussing the terms for a potential 45-day ceasefire that could lead to a permanent end to the war, according to four U.S., Israeli and regional sources with knowledge of the talks.

Four sources with knowledge of the diplomatic efforts said the negotiations are taking place through Pakistani, Egyptian and Turkish mediators and also through text messages sent between Trump's envoy Steve Witkoff and Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi.

• A U.S. official said the Trump administration gave Iran several proposals in recent days, but so far Iranian officials hadn't accepted them.
• The sources said the mediators are discussing with the parties the terms for two-phased deal; the first phase would a potential 45-day ceasefire during which a permanent end to the war would be negotiated.
• The ceasefire could be extended if more time were needed for talks, one of the sources said.
• The second phase would be an agreement on ending the war.
• The sources said mediators think that fully reopening the Strait of Hormuz and a solution for Iran's highly enriched Uranium — either through its removal from the country or dilution — could only be a result of a final deal.
• These two issues are Iran's main bargaining chips in the negotiations and the Iranians will not agree to fully give up on them for only 45 days of ceasefire, two of the sources said.
• The mediators want to see whether Iran could take partial step on both issues in the first phase of the deal. They are also working on steps the Trump administration could take to give Iran guarantees that the ceasefire will not be temporary and that the war will not resume.

www.axios.com/2026/04/06/iran-war-us-tehran-ceasefire-talks

It was obvious that closing the Strait was a card Iran would play. You don't need to be a genius to have foreseen that,

Yet the US was taken by surprise?

It was a known risk which is why previous smarter US administrations hadn't bombed Iran - it had been war-gamed so many times before

And by the way @TopPocketFind I do remember seeing posts on MN where people were actually implying Iran were being smart in doing that and had outwitted the US somehow.

It wasn't their smartest idea. Neither was murdering their own civilians as it got the world's attention focused on the IRGC. Neither was using their proxies to start constant conflicts in the Middle East that only ever seems to lead to more hardship & death for the resident population. Neither was pissing off their own neighbours by attacking them so they may look elsewhere for allies.

If it was a known risk didn't anyone think for a moment that the US would come up with a strategy for how to respond if Iran ever did go so far as to blockade the SoH?

Not sure why you are aiming that post at me @Twiglets1 ?

As strategy goes its been and continues to be chaotic and destructive to the world economy. We know Iran doesnt care about the world economy. We assumed the US might.

You didn't understand my comment.

When I said which genius came up with the idea first of weaponizing the Straight of Hormuz? I was referring to which Iranian genius came up with the idea of weaponing the Straight.

How is that working out for them?

We all understood your message.
We know that Iran's actions were war gamed by the US and a deterrent to previous administrations - rightfully for the reason that they would lose control.

We are looking at months of chaos and significant damage to the world economy.

Agree it is chaotic and destructive to the world economy, maybe more people should have condemned Iran for introducing the strategy?

It's looking now as if economic pressures on Iran will be the thing that will end this war.

After months of damage to our economy.
Ministers this week saying that damage would last from 8 months after the end of the war.
We dont know when the war will end so just how long the damage will last nobody knows.

You don't seem to understand how war-gaming works

Trump administration didn't repeat the games and ignored the previous ones with predictable consequences

I did understand your comment.

https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2026/apr/29/humanitarian-corridor-strait-of-hormuz-iran-war-hits-vital-aid

then your reply made no sense.

Predictable that once again the blame is only on the US and not of course on Iran who first chose to weaponize the Straight of Hormuz.

As I said before you don't seem to understand

If we are going to be petty

It is Strait

I don’t just blame the US
The main fault is with Israel they pushed the US into this war

Its very clear from the NYT article How Trump Took The US To War With Iran that Trump made the error that he thought the Iranian regime would fall before they could close the Strait.

He was clearly warned in advance but ignored it.

Instead the Strait has been closed - as predicted.

And the US now has keep their troops in the ME.

A long drawn out affair causing hardship across the world.

to you

Thank you for saying that - it's so irritating

"He also flagged the enormous difficulty of securing the Strait of Hormuz and the risks of Iran blocking it. Mr. Trump had dismissed that possibility on the assumption that the regime would capitulate before it came to that. The president appeared to think it would be a very quick war — an impression that had been reinforced by the tepid response to the U.S. bombing of Iran’s nuclear facilities in June."

thanks for that article
Wealthy countries start wars and the vulnerable once again suffer

It is the same mistake that Putin made in Ukraine - and now Russia has been fighting in Ukraine for 4 years

This is how serious Trump takes this war

And it affects all of us.