Its probably just her trying to make sense of the world trying to piece together what's real and not (santa v's parents) and what actions adhere to what consequences.[Funnyfarmer]
That's pretty much what I said. She is developing cynicism - "X badly behaved child got Y nice toy" is well on the way to having it sussed.
You have set her up with an expectation that a certain course of action on her part will have certain nice consequences, when actually you are not sure you can fulfill your end of the deal.
She is learning that the promise of a magical Christmas, with the degree of magical quality depending on the appearance of certain toys under the tree, is hot air, that children who do not make the effort to behave get what they want anyway.
It is not fair to her to associate good behaviour with a Christmas reward when you know that Christmas toy shopping is insane.
...she hasn't been sucked in by anything!
But you tried to get a hatchimal last year?
I really don't understand why the way I choose to parent has anything to with condoning people buying and selling products at unfair prices.
I am responding to your posts because they illustrate certain attitudes to Christmas and what lies behind your gift buying approach.
The way you choose to parent has the effect of contributing to your DD's developing sense of cynicism, driving up demand for the 'must have' toys, which in turn has an effect on supply and the mushrooming of profiteering, which leads to your DD's disappointment.
It is very true, as SIngapore says, that the toys are priced as high as retailers can price them. For their part, eBay sellers price them as high as they feel they can. Lots of parents are not able to afford the retail price, let alone the eBay price. Christmas is not really magical. It is about profit, sadly. I am not saying children should be exposed to the nuts and bolts of it as harshly as that, but promising the moon on a stick is an extreme that should be avoided too.