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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

Labour are totally toast in Thursday’s elections

499 replies

Nicewoman · 02/05/2026 02:38

I can’t wait for Thursday. Labour are finished. Not a single moment too soon. Happy Dayz

OP posts:
Thread gallery
14
EasternStandard · 03/05/2026 10:14

Pianopiece · 03/05/2026 10:12

Is that all you have in reply?

Not entirely sure you can say Labour won’t like whatever the result is. The Tories ran for the hills after their disastrous 14 years because they knew those having to pick up the pieces in this term were going to be unpopular and faced with massive challenges. By the same token more and more people experiencing the inadequacies of Reform at a local level will be a good thing for Labour come the next election which is some way off.

The Tories are toast and irrelevant.

Well yeh that’s how the votes work. You feel strongly as shown in your posts but more will feel similarly but about Starmer and Labour.

NoWordForFluffy · 03/05/2026 10:14

We all know the results for Labour are going to be terrible and there is not going to be a "good " result by any measure. What many, or even most, left wing folk are focused on is keeping Reform out as far as possible. That is the battle to win at the moment IMHO.

Quite a few centrists like me also want to keep Reform out. It's not the sole preserve of the left.

herbalteabag · 03/05/2026 10:16

Labour, Lib Dems and Greens are all quite popular here. The worry is that the voting will be split, allowing Reform to win seats.

Pianopiece · 03/05/2026 10:20

EasternStandard · 03/05/2026 10:14

Well yeh that’s how the votes work. You feel strongly as shown in your posts but more will feel similarly but about Starmer and Labour.

But also re Reform and the Tories.

There will be a huge amount of apathy, low voting, tactical voting to keep out Reform
and the Tories, local issues….

Think at your peril that these elections will give a taste of the next general election which is
a long time ahead .

anniegun · 03/05/2026 10:20

Vote Reform if you want St Georges crosses on your roundabouts and councillors to spread racist comments "Melt them all down and fill in the potholes" - The bizarre racist rant from Sunderland Reform candidate – HOPE not hate

ConcernedForWales · 03/05/2026 10:21

Hallowedturf · 03/05/2026 10:08

Odd comment - given you thanked me for sharing a link, just now.

Odd comment given I haven't thanked you for sharing a link. I did thank upstartled for doing so?

Hallowedturf · 03/05/2026 10:23

Assuming that Reform are so terrible as some posters assert, should they prevail in many areas of England on Thursday, people do accept what a damning indictment that would be on Labour?

Following the logic.

Hallowedturf · 03/05/2026 10:26

ConcernedForWales · 03/05/2026 09:04

Ah, got you. So 78% don't think she looks like a PM in waiting. Will have a look at the survey, thank you.

@ConcernedForWales

An aide-memoire.

ConcernedForWales · 03/05/2026 10:32

Hallowedturf · 03/05/2026 10:26

@ConcernedForWales

An aide-memoire.

Which demonstrates I didn't thank you for posting a link. I thanked Upstartled for posting a link.😊 I did thank you for the clarification on the bullet point.

Anyway.

ConcernedForWales · 03/05/2026 10:35

anniegun · 03/05/2026 10:20

Vote Reform if you want St Georges crosses on your roundabouts and councillors to spread racist comments "Melt them all down and fill in the potholes" - The bizarre racist rant from Sunderland Reform candidate – HOPE not hate

Bloody hell, that is absolutely disgusting.

But Reform isn't racist.

TatianasCabbagePie · 03/05/2026 10:43

Hallowedturf · 03/05/2026 10:03

Firstly, why do you find it necessary to be so rude and patronising?

...because rudeness is the weak person's imitation of strength.

Pianopiece has such a weak argument that she attempts to bolster it by implying that any disagreement from others must reflect some kind of defect in the person rather than their argument.

Examples she has used include, suggesting that people have been sleeping for 14 years, suffering from amnesia or that they don't understand the difference between general elections and local elections.

The last example is interesting, because Pianopiece has demonstrated that she is ignorant of the difference between local elections and elections of the devolved nations.

EasternStandard · 03/05/2026 11:28

Pianopiece · 03/05/2026 10:20

But also re Reform and the Tories.

There will be a huge amount of apathy, low voting, tactical voting to keep out Reform
and the Tories, local issues….

Think at your peril that these elections will give a taste of the next general election which is
a long time ahead .

The focus is more immediate, will Starmer go after Thursday and how soon will someone else mount a challenge.

Changingplace · 03/05/2026 11:38

EasternStandard · 03/05/2026 11:28

The focus is more immediate, will Starmer go after Thursday and how soon will someone else mount a challenge.

I think it will push him over the edge along with the Mandelson situation.

I’d like to see Burnham make a move, apparently he now has good support in Westminster and MPs willing to orchestrate a situation for him to become an MP and put Bev Craig up for Manchester mayor from council leader.

Not sure what would happen in the meantime though, or how quickly all of that could potentially move.

DenizenOfAisleOfShame · 03/05/2026 11:44

Changingplace · 03/05/2026 11:38

I think it will push him over the edge along with the Mandelson situation.

I’d like to see Burnham make a move, apparently he now has good support in Westminster and MPs willing to orchestrate a situation for him to become an MP and put Bev Craig up for Manchester mayor from council leader.

Not sure what would happen in the meantime though, or how quickly all of that could potentially move.

I just can’t see Burnham being able to get into Westminster to run for Labour leader unless Starmer manages to cling on for a year or more. The machinery’s just too slow. And who’d give up a safe enough Labour seat to let Burnham in anyway? (Barring illness or scandal.)

A sitting MP in a rock solid Labour seat would need to be offered something - like a peerage - but to get it they’d have to gamble on Burnham winning the seat and then winning a leadership challenge. Hardly much of an offer.

And that’s without internal Labour skirmishing. They’ve been pretty effective at nobbling each other recently.

Changingplace · 03/05/2026 11:46

DenizenOfAisleOfShame · 03/05/2026 11:44

I just can’t see Burnham being able to get into Westminster to run for Labour leader unless Starmer manages to cling on for a year or more. The machinery’s just too slow. And who’d give up a safe enough Labour seat to let Burnham in anyway? (Barring illness or scandal.)

A sitting MP in a rock solid Labour seat would need to be offered something - like a peerage - but to get it they’d have to gamble on Burnham winning the seat and then winning a leadership challenge. Hardly much of an offer.

And that’s without internal Labour skirmishing. They’ve been pretty effective at nobbling each other recently.

I did think this too until I read this piece yesterday, I totally agree I didn’t think it would be realistic in a timescale but if he has enough support maybe it is?

www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/may/01/andy-burnham-westminster-return-plan-within-weeks

NoWordForFluffy · 03/05/2026 11:47

Changingplace · 03/05/2026 11:38

I think it will push him over the edge along with the Mandelson situation.

I’d like to see Burnham make a move, apparently he now has good support in Westminster and MPs willing to orchestrate a situation for him to become an MP and put Bev Craig up for Manchester mayor from council leader.

Not sure what would happen in the meantime though, or how quickly all of that could potentially move.

I'm not sure the timings would work for Burnham. Because he'd have to be an MP to be put forward for a leadership contest, and I can't see Starmer lasting long enough to allow this to - potentially - happen. I'm pretty sure a by-election would take a while (this link says the Writ is usually issued within 3 months of the vacancy coming free, with the by-election being held 21-27 days after: https://www.parliament.uk/about/how/elections-and-voting/by-elections/).

Depending on how long after Starmer is forced out resigns, the deadline for standing to be new Labour leader could be before Burnham is elected (assuming he is).

It's going to be a close run thing (and why Burnham needed to stand in G&D, to be certain of timings).

NoWordForFluffy · 03/05/2026 11:48

Jinx, @DenizenOfAisleOfShame!

I'll read the link now to see why I'm wrong! 🤣🤣

NoWordForFluffy · 03/05/2026 11:50

Changingplace · 03/05/2026 11:46

I did think this too until I read this piece yesterday, I totally agree I didn’t think it would be realistic in a timescale but if he has enough support maybe it is?

www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/may/01/andy-burnham-westminster-return-plan-within-weeks

Archive link for anybody who's not a cookie fan: archive.ph/V6dn4

DenizenOfAisleOfShame · 03/05/2026 11:58

Changingplace · 03/05/2026 11:46

I did think this too until I read this piece yesterday, I totally agree I didn’t think it would be realistic in a timescale but if he has enough support maybe it is?

www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/may/01/andy-burnham-westminster-return-plan-within-weeks

It’s an interesting piece, especially given where it appeared.

But I’m still not convinced. There’s a lot of what looks like puff from different Labour camps in it. And I’d be inclined to think Starmer would try to scuttle Burnham at all costs. Look what he did with the NEC! Going early would be one way to frustrate Burnham’s ambitions.

As for not looking like the Tories at war, that ship sailed months ago. Labour’s consumed with plots, deals and back-stabbing.

NoWordForFluffy · 03/05/2026 12:00

I agree with everything you've said, @DenizenOfAisleOfShame.

Scotiasdarling · 03/05/2026 13:43

MrsBennetsPoorNervesAreBack · 02/05/2026 14:53

Rayner might not have any formal qualifications but I'm pretty sure that she has educated herself on how our political system works and that she has a solid grasp on which issues are governed at a national level and which are governed at a local level. Those who vote for Reform in my local community seem to lack such an understanding, presumably because they are much less engaged than Rayner and haven't bothered to learn.

But not it seems educated enough to know that even politicians have to pay tax. Has she paid it yet?

NoWordForFluffy · 03/05/2026 13:53

Scotiasdarling · 03/05/2026 13:43

But not it seems educated enough to know that even politicians have to pay tax. Has she paid it yet?

I think she claims she's waiting on HMRC to decide, though Stamp Duty is one you're meant to work out and pay yourself, so I'd have expected her to get the specialist advice she dodged previously and just pay it if owed.

nam3c4ang3 · 03/05/2026 13:56

It’s not a general election so not as important I guess? But yes - any election where Labour are absolutely decimated will be interesting to watch. KS won’t leave tho - he will blame anyone including his grandmother for the results if they are bad.

OonaStubbs · 03/05/2026 14:03

I don't know who I will vote for. I know it's a cliché but they literally are all as bad as each other at the moment.

MrsBennetsPoorNervesAreBack · 03/05/2026 14:09

Scotiasdarling · 03/05/2026 13:43

But not it seems educated enough to know that even politicians have to pay tax. Has she paid it yet?

Has the HMRC investigation concluded yet?