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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

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14
GasperyJacquesRoberts · 11/02/2026 11:40

Ereshkigalangcleg · 11/02/2026 11:34

Can you link the Williams Institute figure please? I want to know how they derived that number - survey/extrapolation etc.

there are lots of different numbers of mass shootings. I’m talking about ones where three or more people have been killed. All experts seem to agree the number of female mass shooters (not just school shooters) is very small. 3 of them are TIFs.

I already cited the source but here it is again - https://williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu/publications/trans-adults-united-states/

But oh look - once again you're making claims and providing zero sources. I'm shocked, shocked I tell you.

...well not that shocked.

Ereshkigalangcleg · 11/02/2026 11:40

Yes, the ONS had to admit their own data wasn’t robust.

Ereshkigalangcleg · 11/02/2026 11:42

GasperyJacquesRoberts · 11/02/2026 11:40

I already cited the source but here it is again - https://williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu/publications/trans-adults-united-states/

But oh look - once again you're making claims and providing zero sources. I'm shocked, shocked I tell you.

...well not that shocked.

I’m not all that interested in your poorly informed opinions personally. Do another half arsed google and think what you like. I am interested in looking at how the WI got that 1% figure.

YourAmplePlumPoster · 11/02/2026 11:42

If you want to find out who did it, its on X. MSM lying as usual.

FuckRealityBringMeABook · 11/02/2026 11:43

GasperyJacquesRoberts · 11/02/2026 11:35

Thank you. According to that, then, 2019 - 2025 there have been 1,726 school shootings. Of which four(?) have so far been identified on this thread as being perpetrated by trans-identifying people.

Apparently 4 out of 1,726 is an overwhelming majority for some people.

The questions are is this an increasing trend and are trans people over-represented in the demographics of school shooters (i.e. both categories skew young, so maybe not). You might even argue we don[t know the gender of school shooters past, only their sex.

I agree that the BBC has to wait for facts and not report on officially unsubstantiated social media gossip. Remember how Christoper Jefferies was thrown to the lions by unscrupulous press outlets.

DownhillTeaTray · 11/02/2026 11:43

Ereshkigalangcleg · 11/02/2026 11:42

I’m not all that interested in your poorly informed opinions personally. Do another half arsed google and think what you like. I am interested in looking at how the WI got that 1% figure.

'Advanced statistical modelling' from biased sources, innit

Using data from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, the Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System, and advanced statistical modeling,

likelysuspect · 11/02/2026 11:44

FuckRealityBringMeABook · 11/02/2026 11:43

The questions are is this an increasing trend and are trans people over-represented in the demographics of school shooters (i.e. both categories skew young, so maybe not). You might even argue we don[t know the gender of school shooters past, only their sex.

I agree that the BBC has to wait for facts and not report on officially unsubstantiated social media gossip. Remember how Christoper Jefferies was thrown to the lions by unscrupulous press outlets.

Not that I believe in the word or construct of 'gender' but what you say is interesting in that school shooters/mass shooters of the past, how many went on to later claim trans identity?

I think many get killed perhaps so that may skew it.

GasperyJacquesRoberts · 11/02/2026 11:45

Ereshkigalangcleg · 11/02/2026 11:42

I’m not all that interested in your poorly informed opinions personally. Do another half arsed google and think what you like. I am interested in looking at how the WI got that 1% figure.

Sure, it's much easier for you to continue making wild-arsed claims if you don't need to back them up, isn't it?

AnSolas · 11/02/2026 11:47

GasperyJacquesRoberts · 11/02/2026 10:55

I'm not a "TRA" so please don't use that slur with me.

If you think my numbers are wrong then fine, give your sources. The wikipedia article simply counts school shootings without any mention of the perpetrator's views on sex or gender. Should I assume it's wrong? How many school shootings in the US do you think have happened since 2019?

I used the Williams Institute simply because that was the one that came up first in a google search I just did. I'd never heard of it before and I'm not so engrained in the minutia of the trans / anti-trans wars to instantly recognise it as one that takes any particular side. What do you think the percentage of the US population is that's trans-identifying?

Note your classification "trans / anti-trans wars" not that it is a Womens Rights issue of #notourcrimes.

You could examine why you phrased it that way.

Why there is no focus on a discussion on Womens Rights to have society and the law recognise that female only single sex should actually mean and be actually female only.

In this case that the killer be recorded as a male and be included in the list of male killers who carried out mass murder of children in their own community.

Ereshkigalangcleg · 11/02/2026 11:50

AnSolas · 11/02/2026 11:47

Note your classification "trans / anti-trans wars" not that it is a Womens Rights issue of #notourcrimes.

You could examine why you phrased it that way.

Why there is no focus on a discussion on Womens Rights to have society and the law recognise that female only single sex should actually mean and be actually female only.

In this case that the killer be recorded as a male and be included in the list of male killers who carried out mass murder of children in their own community.

If people use the term “anti trans” they are a TRA. It’s an activist term. I’m a feminist, gender critical if I have to have a label. It’s a women’s rights issue and women’s rights is why we are so concerned. I don’t want violent, resentful men having a free pass to women’s spaces which the pp probably thinks is perfectly acceptable.

Ereshkigalangcleg · 11/02/2026 11:52

Also, we can look at the numbers of “trans women” that have committed other violent crimes, and that is vastly higher than women.

FuckRealityBringMeABook · 11/02/2026 11:54

likelysuspect · 11/02/2026 11:44

Not that I believe in the word or construct of 'gender' but what you say is interesting in that school shooters/mass shooters of the past, how many went on to later claim trans identity?

I think many get killed perhaps so that may skew it.

Yes, or that trans has always been more prevalent than we think but that people lived closeted. It's a possibility.

GasperyJacquesRoberts · 11/02/2026 11:57

FuckRealityBringMeABook · 11/02/2026 11:43

The questions are is this an increasing trend and are trans people over-represented in the demographics of school shooters (i.e. both categories skew young, so maybe not). You might even argue we don[t know the gender of school shooters past, only their sex.

I agree that the BBC has to wait for facts and not report on officially unsubstantiated social media gossip. Remember how Christoper Jefferies was thrown to the lions by unscrupulous press outlets.

Depending on how the incidents are categorised, there have been between mid-hundreds to low-thousands of school shootings in the US over the last six years.

If only four of those hundreds/thousands of incidents were perpetrated by any one identifiable demographic then there's simply not enough statistical significance available to predict whether or not there's a trend emerging.

FuckRealityBringMeABook · 11/02/2026 11:59

Agreed, though you would also need to compare the timeline and see if there is an emergent cluster compared to rising rates of trans ID. I am not an expert but I son't think the data is statistically significant yet but still worth keeping an eye on.

ThatCyanCat · 11/02/2026 12:01

ChickenCooper · 11/02/2026 10:42

It is tragic that so many people died at the hands of a hate filled shooter.

The amount of hate against transwomen being expressed on this thread is equally reprehensible.

The statistics do not support the claims made here that transgender people are over represented in school shooting perpetrators.

You should all be ashamed of yourselves.

It is tragic that so many people died at the hands of a hate filled shooter. The amount of hate against transwomen being expressed on this thread is equally reprehensible.

And there we have it, folks... women criticising gender ideology and calling a man a man because they refuse to lie about reality is just as bad as a man committing mass murder.

And they expect us to believe they don't know who the women are.

AnSolas · 11/02/2026 12:03

Crikeyalmighty · 11/02/2026 11:25

You are probably correct - why not say though it was a trans man - I don’t get it, call a spade a spade I say . It will come out anyway.

This is the country which had the State sue (on behalf of a male) multiple women who objected to waxing his balls and something like 40 legal firms would not take the womens money to provide legal representation. The State concluded the it was only because the women did not have the training to wax his ladyballs that he was not discriminated against.
[(Edit) all the women only provided waxing services to women so actively and openly discriminated against men.]

The only reason the local media ran any coverage was that a woman attended the case tweeted and provided the International media with headline stories.

And fyi a "trans man" is a female (the non-bepenised kind of human)

likelysuspect · 11/02/2026 12:04

Oh I missed that!!

Equally reprehensible.

Wow.

I am literally (literal violence and all) on the scale of a mass killer

I never knew?

lifeturnsonadime · 11/02/2026 12:09

likelysuspect · 11/02/2026 12:04

Oh I missed that!!

Equally reprehensible.

Wow.

I am literally (literal violence and all) on the scale of a mass killer

I never knew?

I missed it too.

Fucking abhorrent.

Cankerousa · 11/02/2026 12:10

newuser9090 · 11/02/2026 06:29

The description ‘woman, brown hair, in a dress’ was from an alert to the community to avoid them while the attack was still happening.

I've never seen the words 'Man, wearing trousers'...

Ereshkigalangcleg · 11/02/2026 12:10

I’d missed that hyperbole as well. Ridiculous.

Queenoftartts · 11/02/2026 12:16

newuser9090 · 11/02/2026 06:29

The description ‘woman, brown hair, in a dress’ was from an alert to the community to avoid them while the attack was still happening.

it a description of the attacker just like when Derick Bird and went on the rampage.

Chersfrozenface · 11/02/2026 12:21

Queenoftartts · 11/02/2026 12:16

it a description of the attacker just like when Derick Bird and went on the rampage.

It's not an accurate description, though.

Because the shooter wasn't a woman.

Helleofabore · 11/02/2026 12:22

‘Trans / anti-trans wars’

Blimey. What a dichotomy?

What ever happened to it being a positive to support female people through feminism and to campaign for female people to have protections and equitable solutions?

instead we get told discussions on whether accurate language describing a male person’s crime is considered a trans / anti -trans war. Good to know.

AnSolas · 11/02/2026 12:22

likelysuspect · 11/02/2026 11:35

I think there was some research about this in the UK, wasnt there some issue with this on a census or some formal system somewhere, where huge swathes of communities in London where English was not their first language identified as trans some how because of the wording of something

Probably not making any sense, I read it on this forum at some point

Yes the UK census ran 2 questions which was in part supposed to cover the information gap State agencies has under Equality Act 2010.

The ONS opted for 2 gender identity question on being "trans" the second question asked people to lable themselves.
They were warned in advance that the question was badly worded and would likely produce no usefull information.

This proved to be true and the collected data was downgraded.

The list of lables can even be downloaded and the data is interesting in so far as the staff had to fit them into 4 Gender Identy classes 2 of which have no legal protections under the Equality Act 2010.

Shedmistress · 11/02/2026 12:22

Cankerousa · 11/02/2026 12:10

I've never seen the words 'Man, wearing trousers'...

Lets not forget Derby Evening Telegraph who put out an alert for a sex offender prison escapee described as 'woman might be dressed as a man'.

Readers, it WAS a man.

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