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AIBU?

Share your dilemmas and get honest opinions from other Mumsnetters.

To think the USA is on the verge of civil war?

257 replies

spitofyou · 19/01/2026 07:22

I was reading this morning about trump readying 1500 troops to deploy to Minnesota following the murder of Renee Good.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2026/01/18/trump-minnesota-insurrection-act/

If this goes through, that’s it right? The insurrection act means he can suspend elections, and the military will be fighting the American people.

AIBU to think it’s inevitable at this point? Trump will never back down.

OP posts:
Thread gallery
13
spitofyou · 19/01/2026 13:29

Deadlykitten · 19/01/2026 12:46

ICE are carrying out the policies people who voted for Trump knew he stood for, and Trump won the elections. So even if you don’t like it that’s how a democracy works. ICE are removing illegal people so if you’re not illegal and they pick you up, you’ll be let go.

Like the legal citizen child who was pulled out of work, and when they realised he was a citizen, they dropped him beaten up in a car park miles away?

OP posts:
HarrietPierce · 19/01/2026 13:31

millymollymoomoo · Today 07:58
"totally agree with ICE
youre illegal you shouldn’t be in the country
simple as"

Says the simpleton.

EasternStandard · 19/01/2026 13:32

spitofyou · 19/01/2026 13:28

Yes I do actually expect the Americans who are sitting on Reddit and the like complaining to go and do something

Ik you do you’re complaining online too, luckily you wanting that won’t do much.

LakieLady · 19/01/2026 13:33

StandFirm · 19/01/2026 10:45

I think the irony of the following sentence in that same post is just breathtaking: 'why do they have right of ownership anyway? There are no written documents, it's only that a boat landed there hundreds of year ago'. Interesting wording... does he understand why Thanksgiving is celebrated every year?

I made exactly that point to a friend I met for coffee this morning.

If "landing a boat" doesn't count, he should be handing the US back to the original indigenous people.

Ihatethistimeline · 19/01/2026 13:36

spitofyou · 19/01/2026 13:21

I find these to be really weak excuses.

It’s not an excuse, it’s a reason and a valid one at that.

Have your seen the footage of Renee Goode being shot 3 times in the head at point blank range for the crime of driving away slowly? Did you see her be labeled a domestic terrorist 2 minutes later by the Trump top team who told us to ignore the evidence of our own eyes? Did you see Fox News state that she was at fault for being a lesbian with pronouns?

People need to dissent in ways that don’t put them in lethal danger. There is an armed private militia group who have been hired with no background checks going door to door, who have been told the law doesn’t apply to them.

KittyEckersley · 19/01/2026 13:40

WaryCrow · 19/01/2026 08:47

@StandFirm , according to the Guardian it’s a billionaire called Lauder who stands to gain primarily. Heir to the Estée Lauder billions. Perhaps women need a new feminist movement rejecting the need for beauty and boycotting Estée Lauder specifically?

Thanks for the civil war episodes recommendation.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/jan/15/ronald-lauder-billionaire-donor-donald-trump-ukraine-greenland

Is that Gyles Brandreth?

Cassan · 19/01/2026 14:04

spitofyou · 19/01/2026 07:29

I think so too. Civil and actual war to delay the elections and keep him in power as he dies.

It’s as clear as day that the man is suffering with some form of cognitive decline. He likely doesn’t have long left and he will do whatever he wants in what time he does have.

I have seen no evidence of cognitive decline- what do you mean?

SorcererGaheris · 19/01/2026 14:04

spitofyou · 19/01/2026 13:21

I find these to be really weak excuses.

@spitofyou

I disagree. It's not at all reasonable to expect people to endanger themselves (or their loved ones.) There's a general understanding that people's safety and lives have to come first.

It's why civilians aren't expected to run into a burning building to save people from fire or jump into the water to save someone from drowning. Yes, they're heroic if they do that, but it's not expected of us and nobody thinks any less of us if we don't endanger ourselves. The responsibility for those things falls upon those who are trained and paid to deal with emergencies.

Crikeyalmighty · 19/01/2026 14:10

I don’t think some people get that people have businesses with ‘sponsors’ and jobs and livelihoods to contend with too -US has a very hire and fire culture and with very few protections. many will be under ‘instructions ‘ from companies with GOP owners/bosses not to make comment/act etc due to customers/sponsors!! Many would be at three at of contracts cancelled etc etc - basically free speech is out the window there unless you have ‘nothing’ to lose. It’s truly dreadful but not hard to see why it is as it is- next thing is I expect some McCarthyism type stuff from any big names if they raise their heads because they aren’t ’true patriots and are a threat’ - I don’t put it past certain idiots here to act the same if in that position too

APatternGrammar · 19/01/2026 14:19

Underthinker · 19/01/2026 12:30

It is, and online discussions like this, talking up the reasons for war don't help massively.

But still I think ultimately, while there will be unrest and perhaps rioting, I don't think enough ordinary Americans or their politicians have the appetite for war.

You think that comments on mumsnet can make a war more likely? I don’t think recognising an increased potential for conflict is causing it to happen. I’m not sure that pretending that it isn’t happening is helpful either.
I don’t think that a full out armed conflict is the most likely outcome either, but the objective potential for it is there in a way it hasn’t been previously. The country could live on the verge of a conflict that never escalates for a long time, which is also not a great situation for its people.

SorcererGaheris · 19/01/2026 14:22

Crikeyalmighty · 19/01/2026 14:10

I don’t think some people get that people have businesses with ‘sponsors’ and jobs and livelihoods to contend with too -US has a very hire and fire culture and with very few protections. many will be under ‘instructions ‘ from companies with GOP owners/bosses not to make comment/act etc due to customers/sponsors!! Many would be at three at of contracts cancelled etc etc - basically free speech is out the window there unless you have ‘nothing’ to lose. It’s truly dreadful but not hard to see why it is as it is- next thing is I expect some McCarthyism type stuff from any big names if they raise their heads because they aren’t ’true patriots and are a threat’ - I don’t put it past certain idiots here to act the same if in that position too

Edited

@Crikeyalmighty

To be honest, I think some people's expectations of ordinary people are too high and unreasonable. They're expecting heroism and greatness from people who are simply average and don't want to be great or to be heroes. Which there's nothing wrong with. I never understand why 'being average' is seen as an insult. It's perfectly fine to be average.

Recently I posted some thoughts about this on social media and I will share them here too.

I'm coming to think that the expectations that some people have 'of the masses' do not correlate with what many - if not most - are inclined towards or capable of. The idea that everyone has the potential for greatness (whatever that is) in some form is not necessarily true, and I believe it has created a climate in which people expect more of your everyday citizen than is realistic.

I think many, if not most, people are average - and there's nothing wrong with that. I consider myself among them. Averageness is not a flaw and it's a shame that it's so often seen as such. Average is just fine.

I think most people are not exceptionally good or exceptionally bad, they're just averagely decent. Most people are not extremely brave - cowardice is something else that is not a failing, it's just an aspect of one's character. If people are too afraid to do something, they're too afraid - it doesn't make them a bad person.

Some people are bewildered that many everyday citizens don't do more to stand up against bullies and tyrants until it's too late, or almost too late. I believe the answer is simply that most people aren't cut out to do so. We're not brave, noble, self-sacrificing heroes and we don't want to be. We're just ordinary, average, okay people. The expectations that others hold are too high.
Aiming for greatness - and celebrating greatness - is something that society should indeed continue to value, but I believe that we also need to start accepting, tolerating and celebrating mediocrity.

SilverSurreal · 19/01/2026 14:23

Cassan · 19/01/2026 14:04

I have seen no evidence of cognitive decline- what do you mean?

Five months ago

https://www.msn.com/en-us/politics/general/psychologist-says-two-notable-changes-in-donald-trump-prove-cognitive-decline/ar-AA1JYw8i

Psychologist Says Two Notable Changes in Donald Trump Prove Cognitive Decline

A senior psychology lecturer at Cornell University, Harry Segal, has identified two behavioral changes in President Donald Trump that he believes strongly indicate cognitive decline.

The remarks, made in an interview with The Guardian and published on August 3, come amid growing public debate over the 79-year-old president’s mental fitness during his second term.

Segal pointed to Trump’s tendency to abruptly switch topics mid-conversation without any logical transition, a pattern he described as “digressing without thinking… without a coherent narrative.” According to Segal, such sudden shifts can signal diminished self-regulation and difficulty maintaining a consistent train of thought—changes that are often associated with neurological aging.

The second behavior he highlighted is confabulation, where a person unintentionally creates inaccurate or distorted memories and believes them to be true. “It’s where he takes an idea or something that’s happened and he adds to it things that have not happened,” Segal explained. As an example, he referenced Trump’s claim that his uncle taught the Unabomber at MIT, an assertion that is factually impossible.

MSN

https://www.msn.com/en-us/politics/general/psychologist-says-two-notable-changes-in-donald-trump-prove-cognitive-decline/ar-AA1JYw8i

SilverSurreal · 19/01/2026 14:23

Although I'm not sure we can spot cognitive decline when there wasn't much there to start?

APatternGrammar · 19/01/2026 14:24

Deadlykitten · 19/01/2026 12:46

ICE are carrying out the policies people who voted for Trump knew he stood for, and Trump won the elections. So even if you don’t like it that’s how a democracy works. ICE are removing illegal people so if you’re not illegal and they pick you up, you’ll be let go.

That’s not how democracy works. Democracy isn’t just about elections. Those in government still have to respect the laws of the country and the consitution, which outlast each elected government. ICE are currently acting outside the law (many things they are doing are only legal for police officers, not them), and this wouldn’t be changed even if every person in the country agreed with what they are doing. If they want the actions of ICE to be legal or constitutional, they need to present legislation.

Underthinker · 19/01/2026 14:25

APatternGrammar · 19/01/2026 14:19

You think that comments on mumsnet can make a war more likely? I don’t think recognising an increased potential for conflict is causing it to happen. I’m not sure that pretending that it isn’t happening is helpful either.
I don’t think that a full out armed conflict is the most likely outcome either, but the objective potential for it is there in a way it hasn’t been previously. The country could live on the verge of a conflict that never escalates for a long time, which is also not a great situation for its people.

No I think comments like this, all over social media, make polarisation worse.

If I wanted 100 more Renee Good's, and 100 more incidents like the ICE Dallas shooting last year, I would post all over social media in the same way some here do.

Ahhhblissful · 19/01/2026 14:32

I dont think trump wants civil war, he wants a war.
Ww3 thats what he wants.

APatternGrammar · 19/01/2026 14:32

Underthinker · 19/01/2026 14:25

No I think comments like this, all over social media, make polarisation worse.

If I wanted 100 more Renee Good's, and 100 more incidents like the ICE Dallas shooting last year, I would post all over social media in the same way some here do.

Edited

Ok, I see what you mean. What would you do instead (genuine question)? I tend to think the polarisation is mostly caused by misinformation, but perhaps you have another perspective.

NewsOfMidLevelPortent · 19/01/2026 14:35

Sometimes I wonder what world other people are living in. Strange how we can have such vastly differing interpretations of the same situation, though I suppose it's not so surprising, given that we're likely looking at different news sources, following different accounts, and so on.

There are a handful of, well, nuts who are obsessed with protesting anything and everything. Then there are some who are being paid to protest. These are the people you see on the streets. The average person is not about to start a war because of ICE working to deport people here illegally. The average person won't lose sleep (much less start a civil war) because a few people are injured or killed as a result of frankly stupid behaviour when dealing with ICE. The average person is also not remotely worried that elections won't happen as and when they are scheduled.

ALittleUnsure1 · 19/01/2026 15:01

SorcererGaheris · 19/01/2026 11:39

@marsaline

It didn't occur to me that they could be taking the piss? Now that you've said it, I suppose that's a possibility, although you don't know for certain. I took them at their word.

I suppose I don't see it as a derailment because my overall point is about how my ability to consume entertainment would be affected IF there was a war. So it is pertinent to the general topic. I specified a particular film as an example of what is good entertainment, but it's not meant to be the crux of what I'm saying overall.

The ways in which a war might affect people is pertinent to this thread. I think some people are surprised that entertainment is the first thing I am thinking about, because for them, that is not the top of their list. And that's fine, for them.

But people differ over what concerns them the most. Entertainment is at the top of the tree for me in terms of what I personally care about and value, so I am naturally the most concerned about that.

I've gone off American series and films because of the American culture now. I can't relate to it, and what I'm seeing in the news disgusts me. I imagine many people would feel similarly if it gets to war. I think the American entertainment industry will soon start pumping out overt propaganda (as we saw during the 90s) and the gulf between what we see in real life and on the screen will become too hard to reconcile. It's becoming a fascist nation. Would you watch nazi German films even if they were technically good?

LakieLady · 19/01/2026 15:02

NewsOfMidLevelPortent · 19/01/2026 14:35

Sometimes I wonder what world other people are living in. Strange how we can have such vastly differing interpretations of the same situation, though I suppose it's not so surprising, given that we're likely looking at different news sources, following different accounts, and so on.

There are a handful of, well, nuts who are obsessed with protesting anything and everything. Then there are some who are being paid to protest. These are the people you see on the streets. The average person is not about to start a war because of ICE working to deport people here illegally. The average person won't lose sleep (much less start a civil war) because a few people are injured or killed as a result of frankly stupid behaviour when dealing with ICE. The average person is also not remotely worried that elections won't happen as and when they are scheduled.

In that case the "average person" better not give a shit if/when they find themselves on the receiving end of violence, abuse or mistreatment by government agents.

If no-one gives a shit, those perpetrating this stuff will become emboldened and they will lose what little respect for constitutional niceties they have.

Remember the Niemoller poem? If not, google it and have a read.

SorcererGaheris · 19/01/2026 15:05

ALittleUnsure1 · 19/01/2026 15:01

I've gone off American series and films because of the American culture now. I can't relate to it, and what I'm seeing in the news disgusts me. I imagine many people would feel similarly if it gets to war. I think the American entertainment industry will soon start pumping out overt propaganda (as we saw during the 90s) and the gulf between what we see in real life and on the screen will become too hard to reconcile. It's becoming a fascist nation. Would you watch nazi German films even if they were technically good?

@ALittleUnsure1

I'll watch whatever I find entertaining. Being entertained is pleasurable to me and my personal pleasure is my main priority.

Jamesblonde2 · 19/01/2026 15:06

SorcererGaheris · 19/01/2026 10:50

@bombastix

'ET' is a reference to the great film 'E.T. The Extra Terrestrial' - ET is a alien who gets left behind on Earth and befriends a 10-year-old boy (Elliott.)

Can’t quite believe we’re talking about ET on this thread. Yeah good film. But irrelevant to the discussion. People will not stop liking music and films Confused

TheGrimSmile · 19/01/2026 15:09

millymollymoomoo · 19/01/2026 07:58

totally agree with ICE

youre illegal you shouldn’t be in the country
simple as

Intelligent

SorcererGaheris · 19/01/2026 15:09

Jamesblonde2 · 19/01/2026 15:06

Can’t quite believe we’re talking about ET on this thread. Yeah good film. But irrelevant to the discussion. People will not stop liking music and films Confused

@Jamesblonde2

Some people have suggested that they will stop liking music and films, or at the very least that they will be encouraged to turn away from them.

The question of whether it will be easy for me to access entertainment (in the event of a war) is relevant.

The reason I gave a short description of 'E.T.' was because the person I was interacting with claimed they had never heard of it, and I took them at their word.

But that specific film is not the crux of what I'm talking about. I'm talking about the effect that a war might have on my ease of access to entertainment, and that is pertinent to this thread.

ALittleUnsure1 · 19/01/2026 15:21

SorcererGaheris · 19/01/2026 15:05

@ALittleUnsure1

I'll watch whatever I find entertaining. Being entertained is pleasurable to me and my personal pleasure is my main priority.

Yes I see